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Pascal的博客  
“朝廷不是让我隐蔽吗?”“你也不看看,这是什么时候了?!”  
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对等死亡战我毒死你美加1亿我死1亿怕啥?! 2020-04-14 15:34:50

The foundational thesis was clear. If China loses 100 million people, 

that‘s only one in 12, but if Canada and Australia lose 100 million, 

that’s everyone, plus a sizable swath of Americans. Ergo, the return 

on investment is well worth it. Biological warfare would be the 

「Strategic Commanding Heights」 of the showdown with the 

United States. That Clausewitz, Sun Tzu, and every other strategist 

would lunge at this was the essence of Guo’s logic.


其基本论点是明确的。如果中共国失去1亿人口,那只是十二分

之一中共人口;而如果加拿大和澳大利亚失去1亿,那就是两国

的全部人口,再加上37,000,000美国人。因此,投资回报是值得

的。生物战争将是与美国对决的「战略制高点」。克劳塞维茨、

孙子和其他所有战略家都会因郭继伟(解放军第三军医大学西南

学院副院长 2015)的逻辑本质而向前冲。


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image.png John Mills


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当我还是个孩子的时候,我就一直不停地看书吸收书本里的知识。我在

一次「旧物出售」活动中买到得一本书激发了我的兴趣。那本书的名字

是「日本如何计划胜利」。


该书于1940年出版(在珍珠港之前),是一位直言不讳且充满活力的日本海军军官,基于1930年代期间的文摘和思想发展,而提出的战胜太平洋地区美国的战略。


这本书很有先见之明,说出了在原始出版发行后不久就会发生的事情。

我一直在想「这是怎么发生的?这是他们的计划和意图,而我们仍然措手不及。」这一位蕴酿中的对手发表并概述了详细计划,为其在20世纪将发生最具破坏性的全球冲突中建立战争之路奠定了基础。我们怎么会忽略这个?我们为什么不准备呢?在一个冒险和前瞻性的参谋人员传达了意图、细节和计划后,第二次世界大战前的美国国家安全机构对这个隐藏在视线中的信号的反应却只是「哼」了一声。


是不是听上去很熟悉?


After a career, and perhaps a second, third, and fourth career in national security (depending on how it‘s counted), I now have seen how these things happen. The world panorama is busy, confusing, and distracting. For senior leaders, planners, and staffers, it’s called the world of VUCA—Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous.


我在国家安全领域职业生涯之后,也许应该说是第二,第三和第四次职业生涯(取决于其计算方式)之后,我现在明白这些事情是如何发生的。这个世界的全景十分繁忙,充满混乱和干扰。对于高级领导人,计划人员和工作人员而言,这被简称为「VUCA」, 可以解释为易变、不确定、复杂和模棱两可。


尽管「VUCA」,国家安全专业人员的责任还是要找出真相,并为美国人民和我们的战略伙伴提供国家安全。但是,意图信号常常被忽略,因为即使是最好、最专业、最清醒的头脑也会受到阻塞,灵敏度经常因多个并发事件而超负荷。


Too much data, too much noise, too much chaff.

数据太多,噪音太多,虚假太多。


最近有一次,在与一位级别高的同事就我所提出发展紧迫的问题进行讨论时,我的同事回答说(我有点改述): 「你绝对正确,这是个被忽视的关键现象,我对此感到非常担忧。但是,我和我们的国家任务团队因任务超负荷而眼睛昏花,所有鳄鱼都正在爬进我们的独木舟。我要按照国家重点规定地确切顺序用桨拍打鳄鱼的头。问题是,你所提的事情尚未列入国家优先列表的目标和主题。」


我们俩都是对的– 一边是复杂的现象,而另一边是眼前的「鳄鱼」。那么,我们如何看待尚未列入名单的这些新鳄鱼呢?一种方法是阅读他们的著作。他们肯定读了我们的。


另一位非常资深的同事最近打趣说:「当我去参加公开演讲活动时,我被大量阅读了我的作品的中华人民共和国的’学者’包围,他们不断的问我很多我什至都不记得了的事情。」他们正在详细阅读我们的著作。那他们的作品呢?


「超限战」-一个没有规则的战争


关于CCP病毒,我们看到了人们对历史的遗忘和即将发生的事情的忽视。尽管许多人因「俄罗斯,俄罗斯,俄罗斯」或其他抱怨和自恋的愚蠢而分心,但「大国竞争者」的意图和战略正摆在我们面前。


两个中共国空军上校在90年代会面,开始对话,制定和设想与美国的决定性冲突。它不受任何现有国际公约的约束。一切都摆在桌子上。结果是什么? 1999年出了一本让人毛骨悚然的书:「超限战」。


从根本上说,中共国要赢得条件就是: 不受到限制,遵循或遵守民族国家之间公认的战争准则。对他们而言,这些是西方规则,是用来使西方强大的,基本上是给美国所享有的优势。 (对中共国而言)是在面前摆了一桌毫无边界的选择。


这个「搏击具乐部」的第一条规则就是– 没有规则。


郭继伟(「中国人民解放军第三军医大学」的一名医生和官员) 于2010年发表的一篇论文,标题为「生物主导战」。这第二篇文件更及时,鉴于时事,而且我会说更加令人不安和担忧。


其基本论点是明确的。如果中共国失去1亿人口,那只是十二分之一中共人口;而如果加拿大和澳大利亚失去1亿,那就是所有的人,再加上一大批美国人。因此,投资回报是值得地。生物战将是与美国对决的「战略制高点」。克劳塞维茨、孙子和其他所有战略家都会因郭继伟的逻辑本质而向前冲。


尤其是如果没有规则,为什么不呢?

如果那个还无法引起您的注意,那我不知道什么才会。我在2010年参与了高级别的国家安全事务,我可以向所有人保证,生物战,无论是进攻性还是防御性,都不属于前100个国家安全问题、主题或行动之列。


警惕

上校、上尉和其他专业工作人员在上高级专业学校之前、期间和之后,他们的写作都可能比较前卫,原因有两个。一个是,他们想在下一届晋升委员会之前吸引更多的注意力,另一个是,他们觉得现在仍然有资格说些之前级别不够格不能说的话,或在达到下一级别后就不能说的话。


A parallel exemplar to the CCP telegraphic writings previously mentioned was when I was in Singapore and the speaker from some PRC ministry with an overly long title was giving a speech. The frenzied way she shook her fist at the camera (ignoring the audience) and shouted, while smiling in a bizarre, almost crazed manner, was definitely theatrical—and way over the top; so much so that she looked like she was about to climb over the speaker‘s podium and lunge at the camera.


与上述中共电报著作类似的例子是当我在新加坡时,来自某中共国部委,超长头衔的发言人的讲话。她疯狂地用拳头对着镜头摇晃(无视观众),大声喊着,而同时又以一种怪异的,几乎是疯狂的方式微笑着,绝对是超过度的戏剧化。她看起来好像要爬上演讲台,朝相机冲过去。


演讲结束后,我问我旁边的同事那疯狂的表演到底是什么。她轻笑了一下,说道:「她不是在和我们说话,而是在为北京中央委员会表演。她所在乎的只是被国内打多少分。」这是在极权制度下实施和推行社会信用评分概念很早之前就发生了的事情。


我想让你们从这篇文章中得到的信息是什么?阅读极权主义者的著作,并牢记于心。他们阅读、研究和分析我们的。自由的代价是保持警惕– 保持警惕的一部分是对写作、言论和意图都要有意识。


这次传染是他们战略的一部分吗?我不确定这是否最后会水落石出,但是极权主义者不受任何宪法观念、尺度的束缚,并且可以完全脱离公民社会的轨迹,即使这代表剥夺十二分之一人民的公民权力。


Col. (Ret.) John Mills is a national security professional with service in five eras: Cold War, Peace Dividend, War on Terror, World in Chaos, and now—Great Power Competition. He is the former director of cybersecurity policy, strategy, and international affairs at the Department of Defense.


作者:约翰·米尔斯(已退休)上校是一名国家安全专业人员,在以下

五个时代服务过:「冷战」,「和平红利」,「反恐战争」,「混世」,

以及现在的「大国竞争」。他是国防部网络安全政策,战略和国际事务

的前主管。


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Today, U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) announced the Justice for Victims of COVID-19 Act to hold the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) responsible for causing the COVID-19 global pandemic.

The bill would strip China of its sovereign immunity and create a private right of action against the CCP for reckless actions like silencing whistleblowers and withholding critical information about COVID-19. The plan would also create the Justice for Victims of COVID-19 Task Force at the State Department to lead an international investigation into Beijing’s handling of the COVID-19 outbreak and to secure compensation from the Chinese government.

"There is overwhelming evidence that the Chinese Communist Party’s lies, deceit, and incompetence caused COVID-19 to transform from a local disease outbreak into a global pandemic. We need an international investigation to learn the full extent of the damage the CCP has inflicted on the world and then we need to empower Americans and other victims around the world to recover damages. The CCP unleashed this pandemic. They must be held accountable to their victims."

Senator Josh Hawley

Senator Hawley was the first member of Congress to call for an investigation into the CCP’s cover-up of the COVID-19 pandemic and recently joined Senator Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) in introducing the Li Wenliang Global Public Health Accountability Act to authorize sanctions on foreign officials who suppress or distort information about international public health crises.

The Justice for Victims of COVID-19 Act will:

  • Make the Chinese government liable for civil claims in U.S. courts by:

    • Creating a private right of action against the Chinese government for any reckless action it took that caused the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, such as its decisions to withhold information and to gag doctors;

    • Stripping the Chinese government of sovereign immunity for these actions so that plaintiffs can sue; and


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  • Establish the Justice for Victims of COVID-19 Task Force at the State Department to:

    • Lead an international investigation to determine how Beijing’s decisions to distort and conceal information about the COVID-19 outbreak—including by using the World Health Organization to parrot its lies—caused this global pandemic; and

    • Lead an international effort to secure compensation from the Chinese government, including by preparing options to compel Beijing to provide restitution, if at first it resists international demands for the same.


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https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/14/state-department-cables-warned-safety-issues-wuhan-lab-studying-bat-coronaviruses/


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作者:Pascal 留言时间:2020-04-14 18:15:50

A woman wearing a protective suit at a hospital in Wuhan, China.A woman wearing a protective suit at a hospital in Wuhan, China.A woman wearing a protective suit at a hospital in Wuhan, China.

Two years before the novel coronavirus pandemic upended the world, U.S. Embassy officials visited a Chinese research facility in the city of Wuhan several times and sent two official warnings back to Washington about inadequate safety at the lab, which was conducting risky studies on coronaviruses from bats. The cables have fueled discussions inside the U.S. government about whether this or another Wuhan lab was the source of the virus — even though conclusive proof has yet to emerge.

In January 2018, the U.S. Embassy in Beijing took the unusual step of repeatedly sending U.S. science diplomats to the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), which had in 2015 become China’s first laboratory to achieve the highest level of international bioresearch safety (known as BSL-4). WIV issued a news release in English about the last of these visits, which occurred on March 27, 2018. The U.S. delegation was led by Jamison Fouss, the consul general in Wuhan, and Rick Switzer, the embassy’s counselor of environment, science, technology and health. Last week, WIV erased that statement from its website, though it remains archived on the Internet.

Full coverage of the coronavirus pandemic

What the U.S. officials learned during their visits concerned them so much that they dispatched two diplomatic cables categorized as Sensitive But Unclassified back to Washington. The cables warned about safety and management weaknesses at the WIV lab and proposed more attention and help. The first cable, which I obtained, also warns that the lab’s work on bat coronaviruses and their potential human transmission represented a risk of a new SARS-like pandemic.

“During interactions with scientists at the WIV laboratory, they noted the new lab has a serious shortage of appropriately trained technicians and investigators needed to safely operate this high-containment laboratory,” states the Jan. 19, 2018, cable, which was drafted by two officials from the embassy’s environment, science and health sections who met with the WIV scientists. (The State Department declined to comment on this and other details of the story.)

The Chinese researchers at WIV were receiving assistance from the Galveston National Laboratory at the University of Texas Medical Branch and other U.S. organizations, but the Chinese requested additional help. The cables argued that the United States should give the Wuhan lab further support, mainly because its research on bat coronaviruses was important but also dangerous.

As the cable noted, the U.S. visitors met with Shi Zhengli, the head of the research project, who had been publishing studies related to bat coronaviruses for many years. In November 2017, just before the U.S. officials’ visit, Shi’s team had published research showing that horseshoe bats they had collected from a cave in Yunnan province were very likely from the same bat population that spawned the SARS coronavirus in 2003.

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“Most importantly,” the cable states, “the researchers also showed that various SARS-like coronaviruses can interact with ACE2, the human receptor identified for SARS-coronavirus. This finding strongly suggests that SARS-like coronaviruses from bats can be transmitted to humans to cause SARS-like diseases. From a public health perspective, this makes the continued surveillance of SARS-like coronaviruses in bats and study of the animal-human interface critical to future emerging coronavirus outbreak prediction and prevention.”

Opinion | Don't broadcast Trump’s press briefings live. They contain more questions than answers.The coronavirus pandemic is too serious to let the president hold freewheeling press briefings in real time, says Post media critic Erik Wemple. (Joshua Carroll, Erik Wemple/The Washington Post)

The research was designed to prevent the next SARS-like pandemic by anticipating how it might emerge. But even in 2015, other scientists questioned whether Shi’s team was taking unnecessary risks. In October 2014, the U.S. government had imposed a moratorium on funding of any research that makes a virus more deadly or contagious, known as “gain-of-function” experiments.

As many have pointed out, there is no evidence that the virus now plaguing the world was engineered; scientists largely agree it came from animals. But that is not the same as saying it didn’t come from the lab, which spent years testing bat coronaviruses in animals, said Xiao Qiang, a research scientist at the School of Information at the University of California at Berkeley.

“The cable tells us that there have long been concerns about the possibility of the threat to public health that came from this lab’s research, if it was not being adequately conducted and protected,” he said.

There are similar concerns about the nearby Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention lab, which operates at biosecurity level 2, a level significantly less secure than the level-4 standard claimed by the Wuhan Insititute of Virology lab, Xiao said. That’s important because the Chinese government still refuses to answer basic questions about the origin of the novel coronavirus while suppressing any attempts to examine whether either lab was involved.

Sources familiar with the cables said they were meant to sound an alarm about the grave safety concerns at the WIV lab, especially regarding its work with bat coronaviruses. The embassy officials were calling for more U.S. attention to this lab and more support for it, to help it fix its problems.

“The cable was a warning shot,” one U.S. official said. “They were begging people to pay attention to what was going on.”

No extra assistance to the labs was provided by the U.S. government in response to these cables. The cables began to circulate again inside the administration over the past two months as officials debated whether the lab could be the origin of the pandemic and what the implications would be for the U.S. pandemic response and relations with China.

Inside the Trump administration, many national security officials have long suspected either the WIV or the Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention lab was the source of the novel coronavirus outbreak. According to the New York Times, the intelligence community has provided no evidence to confirm this. But one senior administration official told me that the cables provide one more piece of evidence to support the possibility that the pandemic is the result of a lab accident in Wuhan.

“The idea that it was just a totally natural occurrence is circumstantial. The evidence it leaked from the lab is circumstantial. Right now, the ledger on the side of it leaking from the lab is packed with bullet points and there’s almost nothing on the other side,” the official said.

As my colleague David Ignatius noted, the Chinese government’s original story — that the virus emerged from a seafood market in Wuhan — is shaky. Research by Chinese experts published in the Lancet in January showed the first known patient, identified on Dec. 1, had no connection to the market, nor did more than one-third of the cases in the first large cluster. Also, the market didn’t sell bats.

The Opinions section is looking for stories of how the coronavirus has affected people of all walks of life. Write to us.

Shi and other WIV researchers have categorically denied this lab was the origin for the novel coronavirus. On Feb. 3, her team was the first to publicly report the virus known as 2019-nCoV was a bat-derived coronavirus.

The Chinese government, meanwhile, has put a total lockdown on information related to the virus origins. Beijing has yet to provide U.S. experts with samples of the novel coronavirus collected from the earliest cases. The Shanghai lab that published the novel coronavirus genome on Jan. 11 was quickly shut down by authorities for “rectification.” Several of the doctors and journalists who reported on the spread early on have disappeared.

On Feb. 14, Chinese President Xi Jinping called for a new biosecurity law to be accelerated. On Wednesday, CNN reported the Chinese government has placed severe restrictions requiring approval before any research institution publishes anything on the origin of the novel coronavirus.

The origin story is not just about blame. It’s crucial to understanding how the novel coronavirus pandemic started because that informs how to prevent the next one. The Chinese government must be transparent and answer the questions about the Wuhan labs because they are vital to our scientific understanding of the virus, said Xiao.

We don’t know whether the novel coronavirus originated in the Wuhan lab, but the cable pointed to the danger there and increases the impetus to find out, he said.

“I don’t think it’s a conspiracy theory. I think it’s a legitimate question that needs to be investigated and answered,” he said. “To understand exactly how this originated is critical knowledge for preventing this from happening in the future.”

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作者:Pascal 留言时间:2020-04-14 17:38:41

l’Ambassade de Chine en France a publié sur son site un long texte intitulé “Rétablir des faits distordus - Observations d’un diplomate chinois en poste à Paris”

法国外长勒德里昂(Jean-Yves Le Drian)召见中国驻法大使卢沙野。外长表示,我明确表示不同意近来中华人民共和国驻法大使的某些言论;一些公开发表的意见不符合法中两国良好的双边关系。法国外交部表示,有些评论与抗击新冠病毒有关。驻法大使馆网帖上曾出现“法国养老院护理人员擅离职守,集体逃离,导致老人成批饿死、病死”的言论。

4月12日,驻法大使馆网站刊登一篇题为“把颠倒的事实再颠倒过来 —一名中国驻法国使馆外交官对新冠肺炎疫情的观察(之四)”。文中赞许中国在抗疫上采取了最全面、最彻底、最严格的防控举措。但同时也批评“西方国家一些标榜客观公正的媒体、专家和个别政客不思为遏制本国和全球疫情蔓延献计献策,却把精力用在污蔑、抹黑、攻击中国上。

这篇文章中有一段写道:“我们看到在西方国家,政客们为了自己的选票相互攻讦;提出“群体免疫”策略,让普通百姓以生命之躯抵抗病毒屠杀;相互抢夺防疫物资;将公款购得的防疫物资卖给私营企业谋利;让养老院的老人签署“放弃急救同意书”;养老院护理人员擅离职守,集体逃离,导致老人成批饿死、病死;航母舰长由于呼吁上级允许被病毒感染的水兵上岸治疗而被解职……种种这些,却未见西方主流媒体大量报道,深入调查,揭露真相。这些标榜公正客观的媒体和专家良心何在?职业道德何在?”

法新社报道说,4月14日法国外交部在一份公报中表示,此次新冠病毒疫情关乎到很多国家和全社会。面对病毒及其对我们经济带来的后果,我们不应给争辩留有余地。外交部公报还表示,法国坚定地致力于互助、团结并希望加强国际合作。

4月4日,中国驻法国使馆发言人就法国全天候电视台BFMTV电视台评论员不当言论发表谈话。清明节当天,中国降半旗致哀,缅怀逝者。法国BFMTV电视台一位评论员在播放致哀画面时发表不尊重逝者的言论。4月14日,中国驻法大使卢沙野在接受央视新闻采访时表示:“疫情当头,大家处境困难,火气就比较大,德法之间也闹起矛盾。此前法国电视台评论员发表了某些辱华言论。使馆发现后,以使馆发言人的名义公开做出了表态,对这种行为进行谴责。这家电视台公开道歉,对这位评论员予以停职。”

驻法大使卢沙野还表示,“在西方舆论中,有时会出现对华歧视。使馆随时关注舆情,对攻击、抹黑、造谣的言论,使馆及时予以批驳,澄清事实,以正视听。使馆这么做起到了一定作用。”4月14日,中国驻法大使卢沙野在中国网发表另一篇题为《中法合作抗“疫”, 千里同好坚于金石 》的文章。法国前常驻北京记者哈斯基(Pierre Haski)推文表示,14日的文章要比此前“过激言论”友好得多。

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【他山之石】
· 中央军委排兵布阵平台灭美.4600
· 你小子不是死不打苗躲过一劫吗.
· 盖茨吐真言.终于找到党卫军首脑
· 传福音!种疫苗与苗后心脏猝死没
· 18年前先知卡扎菲.穆斯林将不费
· 美国政府拟公布中共最高层在美资
· 美参议员披露.15名联邦高官2018
· 美投资家喊话米莱.拆掉中共高超
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