今天在网上GOOGLE搜索，偶然找到1996年1月在CND论坛上发表的一段战略分析（http://www.cnd.org/njmassacre/messages/msgs14929.html ）。其全文如下：

The strategy

Message:

The strategy against the jap. will be rather simple.

For the next 25 years, China would focus on economical and technological development. By 2020, China will be at least equal to US in total industrial output and amost twice of Jap. US dominance in the pacific will be gone forever. Due to development of 3rd world countries, Japan's influence on Southeast Asia will greatly diminished. Japanese China will demand Japan to pay for all the losses it caused since 1894, at 8% per annum. Korea will do the same. Japan will refuse to pay. China and Korea will become allies. Russia will have the option to side with China and get some benefit. Military conflict will be initiated by trouble points, such as Jap. occupied Chinese territory such as Diao4yu2tai2. Chinese naval force will reclaim the island, Jap.s will open first fire. Chinese air force and naval forces will launch full scale attack on Jap... US will dare not to intervene, and it will be glad to see Jap. to fall. China sends 2 Million PLA forces occupying Jap and educate Jap.s for 500 years. But we will not kill them, instead Japanese will have the option to work to pay the debts they owe China.

总结地说，我在1996年1月的预见是，：中国将在2020年前工业产量超过美国，第三次中日战争将在这个时间左右爆发，导火索是钓鱼岛。

但在1996年9月9 日，我发表了《钓鱼岛中日决战》一文，将这个时间表提前了约10年。

目前看来，中国的物质生产总量已经超过美国，占全球的20%左右，对日本军国主义的剿灭战的物质条件已经具备，中日决战随时可能打响。

这一决战对缓解中国国内矛盾，改善台海两岸关系，激发香港特区人民的爱国热情，团结全球华人，提高中国的全球地位，保持中国国力的可持续发展，都是极为必要的。