設萬維讀者為首頁 萬維讀者網 -- 全球華人的精神家園 廣告服務 聯繫我們 關於萬維
 
首  頁 新  聞 視  頻 博  客 論  壇 分類廣告 購  物
搜索>> 發表日誌 控制面板 個人相冊 給我留言
幫助 退出
春秋戈博客  
獨立政治評論人士,操天下的心,吃自家的飯。  
https://blog.creaders.net/u/9039/ > 複製 > 收藏本頁
我的名片
春秋戈博客
註冊日期: 2014-11-06
訪問總量: 2,007,577 次
點擊查看我的個人資料
Calendar
我的公告欄
最新發布
· 羅輯思維:從朱棣說說權力的合法
· 春秋戈:至今不知該幹什麼的軍委
· 習近平王岐山的戰術勝利與戰略失
· 春秋戈:請教石濤,習近平是“死
· 春秋戈:中日兩國青年人,應該多
· 美中黑客協議,美國人發現吃虧上
· 春秋戈:三年不見大智慧,何以驚
友好鏈接
分類目錄
【科技與生活】
· 國有此母,何愁習大大搞不定白宮
· 宋祖英,年輕的嚮往!
· 彈古箏女孩:銅錢飛來似雪片
· 問題在於,在整個會議期間,沒有
· 法新社沒有報道東盟在南海問題上
· 泰國外長真的喜歡王毅?狗血,惡
· 東盟外長會議聯合聲明有關中國南
· 東盟外長會議聯合聲明全文(補第
· 東盟外長會議聯合聲明全文
· 媽的,這倒是最珍貴的歷史照片!
【中國政治評論】
· 羅輯思維:從朱棣說說權力的合法
· 春秋戈:至今不知該幹什麼的軍委
· 習近平王岐山的戰術勝利與戰略失
· 春秋戈:請教石濤,習近平是“死
· 春秋戈:中日兩國青年人,應該多
· 美中黑客協議,美國人發現吃虧上
· 春秋戈:三年不見大智慧,何以驚
· 美國海軍就要進入南海中國人造島
· 春秋戈:習近平王岐山陰謀集團的
· 資料:武昌起義(維基百科)
存檔目錄
10/01/2015 - 10/31/2015
09/01/2015 - 09/30/2015
08/01/2015 - 08/31/2015
07/01/2015 - 07/31/2015
06/01/2015 - 06/30/2015
05/01/2015 - 05/31/2015
04/01/2015 - 04/30/2015
03/01/2015 - 03/31/2015
02/01/2015 - 02/28/2015
01/01/2015 - 01/31/2015
12/01/2014 - 12/31/2014
11/01/2014 - 11/30/2014
發表評論
作者:
用戶名: 密碼: 您還不是博客/論壇用戶?現在就註冊!
     
評論:
習近平訪美將生變
   

按:五角大樓高級幕僚,中國問題專家約瑟夫博斯科8月31日在外交家雜誌發表文章,文章標題就是重新思考奧巴馬與習近平的高峰會。而且還向白宮提出應付習近平來訪的AB兩套方案。無論中國接受任何一個方案,習近平都意味着顏面盡失,一敗塗地。由此看來,中國政府為保住習近平的面子,防止習近平在國際社會面前出更大的洋相,很可能採取推遲或取消此次訪問。

外交家雜誌原文附後:


Rethinking the Obama-Xi Summit


By Joseph A. Bosco

August 31, 201


China-bashing is always in vogue during American presidential campaigns and the 2016 race is no exception.

In 1992, Bill Clinton famously excoriated President George H. W. Bush for “coddling the butchers of Beijing” (though Clinton also demonstrated later how a candidate’s tune can change dramatically once in office).

In this year’s large Republican field, Donald Trump is leading the anti-China rhetoric, lambasting Beijing’s currency devaluation, trade practices, and the spin-off U.S. stock market losses caused by China’s own financial and economic problems.

The role of basher-in-chief comes naturally to Trump, given his outspoken view that Chinese leaders out-smart, out-maneuver, and out-negotiate Washington at every turn. The Chinese are “clever” and “cunning” while U.S. leaders are “stupid” and “incompetent.”

His argument, partially supported by the facts, seems to be that while Beijing touts its “win-win” approach to China-U.S. relations, it always ends up one way: China wins-America loses. Even when the so-called brilliant Chinese leaders stumble and China actually seems to lose, we still don’t win. Intertwined as our economies are by globalization, China simply drags the rest of the world down with it. China’s stock market crash was quickly followed by historic declines in European and U.S. markets.

Not to be out-Trumped, other presidential candidates also lash out at China and the Obama administration’s handling of relations (though, in truth, there has been little deviation in China policy since the latter part of George W. Bush’s term).

Governor Scott Walker has made a more sweeping attack on U.S.-China policy while also recommending a specific response. Echoing Trump’s criticism of China’s currency and trade manipulations, Walker has issued a broader indictment to include Beijing’s extravagant maritime and territorial claims in the South China Sea, its cyber attacks on the U.S., and its grievous human rights record.

To demonstrate the seriousness which Washington attaches to “China’s increasing attempts to undermine U.S. interests,” Walker flatly declares that “President Obama needs to cancel the state visit” by Xi Jinping in September. Withdrawing a presidential invitation would certainly send a message of disapproval to the Chinese leader over a range of affronts directed at the United States.

The motivation to respond in a dramatically tangible way to China’s hostile actions is well-founded, but may be too blunt a breach of diplomatic protocol and could prompt undeserved international sympathy for China along with criticism of Washington.

A better approach might be to leave the Xi invitation open but to make clear that this will not be the usual summit characterized by what Walker labels as “pomp and circumstance” and anodyne joint statements that minimize and blur the differences between the governments.

Instead, Obama should put Xi on notice that this meeting will be a new “new model of great power relations” different from what was announced at their California summit in 2013 C call it New Model of Relations 2.0. He should demand genuine progress on eliminating China’s aggressive challenges on a broad range of issues, with particular emphasis in four areas. Short of Xi’s specific commitments to alleviate U.S. concerns, Washington will take actions of its own.

Obama should offer two summit alternatives to Xi.

Version A (preferred):

South China Sea: China announces its intention to dismantle its military and related structures on its artificial islands and disavows any intention to make territorial claims based on that construction. It also agrees to work with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to create a formal Code of Conduct to govern the competing maritime claims based on the United Nations Law of the Sea Convention.

Taiwan: China renounces the use of force or coercion against Taiwan no matter how the Taiwanese people decide their political future and their relationship with China. It also agrees that Taiwan should participate fully in international organizations, including the United Nations.

Cyber warfare: China agrees to cease all cyber thefts against the U.S. government and all cyber espionage against American businesses.

Human rights: China agrees to release Liu Xiaobo and his fellow dissidents as well as the human rights lawyers who defend them and encourages the freedom of expression they pursue.

Setting: Obama will host Xi at the White House with full honors, 21-gun salute, a formal state dinner, and toasts praising his mature leadership and peaceful intentions as qualifying him for the Nobel Peace Prize.

Version B:

Without the necessary Chinese commitments to more responsible, peaceful behavior, the U.S. will publicly act in four areas.

Commence robust Freedom of Navigation exercises within twelve miles of the manmade islands and take all necessary measures to prevent interference with freedom of the seas and overflight.

Declare its firm intention to defend Taiwan against any form of Chinese aggression.

Treat cyber attacks as a form of aggression and undertake appropriate retaliatory actions.

Launch a concerted and sustained campaign to expose China’s human rights record and support freedom of expression in China, including increased funding for Voice of America and Radio Free Asia.

Setting: Camp David, no fanfare, business meetings at which U.S. lays out its complaints regarding PRC hostility and its intentions to resist them. Xi responds in kind with China’s charges against U.S. “containment” and “interference.”

While Xi will certainly want the full red carpet treatment envisioned in Version A of the summit, he is highly unlikely to accept the conditions required to earn it. As for Version B, he may wish to use the opportunity to shore up his domestic support among Communist hardliners and the military.

But he will surely chafe at the minimalist trappings of the meeting and for that reason alone, he may decide to cancel the entire event. If so, the diplomatic onus will be on China and an unpleasant and probably unproductive meeting will be avoided without unacceptable cost to the U.S. More importantly, China’s leaders will have learned that the old illusory “win-win” game will no longer work and they will need to get serious about joining the international order.

Joseph A. Bosco is a member of the U.S.-China task force at the Center for the National Interest and a senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He previously served as China country desk officer in the office of the secretary of Defense from 2005-2006.

 
關於本站 | 廣告服務 | 聯繫我們 | 招聘信息 | 網站導航 | 隱私保護
Copyright (C) 1998-2026. Creaders.NET. All Rights Reserved.