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微趋势,新变量——“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”侧记 2025-01-12 23:41:23

微趋势,新变量

——“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”侧记

 

 

2025年新年伊始,晴空万里,在英属不列巅哥伦比亚大学(UBC)小小教研室里,举办了一场“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”。

 

研讨会由UBC区块链专家王泽华教授主持,全球共生学会的钱宏教授作题为《Earthropocene: Amorsophia MindsNetworking(地球世:爱之智慧孞联网)》抛砖引玉式报告。这份报告是基于近年来AI迅猛发展的状况和钱宏教授新近出版的《SYMBIOSISM 共生: The Mind Power to Agree on An Innovative Life Style 一种约定创新生活方式的精神力量》的观点形成。来自中国和加拿大的学者出席了这次UBC微趋势闭门会议。

 

 

与会者就如何积极面对、认知和适应AI带来的不确定性,对工商文明以来的生产、生活方式及职场的冲击,乃至对轴心时代以来人类“以Subject自居而以他者和世界万物为Object”的自我中心主义及其智慧之爱的全新挑战,以及AI要真正进入社会生活自身存在的“三大瓶颈”,各抒己见畅所欲言。特别是,与会者对继人类建构起了互联网(解决特权、垄断、操纵的“信息不对称”)和物联网(解决万物感应互联自动化)之后,提出建构孞联网(解决无分身份的生命孞念交互奖抑机制)的原由和动因,以及技术、伦理条件,提出了宝贵建议。

 

钱宏教授则重点阐释了他的三个“势在必行”和两个“现实主张”:

 

经由自然世(Naturaropocene)的共生起源,超越人类世(Anthropocene)的共生底线,迈进地球世(Earthropocene)的共生灵魂,势在必行!

 

那么,摒弃人类以Subject自居,将他者和世间万物视为Object的自我中心主义,树立Intersubjective Symbiosism的观念,势在必行!

 

那么,‪在AI猛进的不确定性和“三大瓶颈”显现的今天,‪建立地球世愛之智慧孞联网,平衡“古道尔-马斯克-赫拉利的AI之忧”,人类可以“降本赋能,间道共生”,实现地球生态文明,乃至星际文明,势在必行!

 

就是说,人类应该也可以先办好地球上的事情,而不必移民火星,但可以探索傲游火星,乃至建构星际文明的可能方式!

 

于是,三个势在必行,形成了我们的两个现实主张,第一,是以赤子之心,张开双臂拥抱AI猛进中奇妙无穷的不确定性;第二,是呼唤不无骄傲的工程师与谦卑低调的哲学家心手相握,继续AI攻坚克难,一道建构愛之智慧孞联网(Amorsophia MindsNetworking),迎接Earthropocene的到来!

 

 

早在1970年新春,马克·佩恩的《微趋势Microtrends》就出版了。佩恩在《Microtrends》中阐述了一种理解我们生活方式的新方式。与人们趋之若鹜的宏大趋势相比,微趋势“是与我们直观印象相反的趋势,这些趋势正在塑造着马上就要出现在我们面前的明天。”当时,佩恩利用一些现有的最佳数据,确定了宗教、休闲、政治和家庭生活领域中70多个看似不起眼的却正在改变我们生活方式的微趋势。因为所有追求“确定性”大趋势(以1982年奈斯比特出版的《Megatrends: Ten New Directions Transforming Our Lives》为代表),都是存量。而真正值得关注的可能是非常微少的人新近“涌现”的孞念,赋有这种孞念的微少部分人,在大多数人视野和注意力之外,却正在凝结成新共识、正在采取的行动方式、正在进入生活处境的“Microtrends(微趋势)”,完全可能成为我们理解这个世界至关重要的臻美新变量!

 

古语有言,“风起于青萍之末”。作为一名大学生,我相孞,这场“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”,虽然是一次小型的闭门会议,但它也呈现出“一种理解我们生活方式的新思维、新价值、新方式”Microtrends!

 


与会者认为,AI,特别是人形机器人,如果取代了人类多数标准化、复制化、集约化的工作和职业,必定意味着经济学上的“稀缺性问题”得到基本解决,“全民基本收入”(Unconditional Basic Income)的梦想,也就成为现实。而且,更重要的是,没有了稀缺性,资本垄断和权力操纵,以及资本、权力沆瀣一气的价值,将随之消失,物欲特权也就没有意义。人们的生活眼界,会变得更加宏阔深远,富有个性化、独创性、小即美的精神诉求,将成为人类社会的生活基调。所以,一定要相孞人的适应能力——爱之智慧的生命自组织连接平衡力,不用担心传统产业和职业被AI和人形机器取代!试问,工业革命砸掉了多少传统“饭碗”,但是人类整体生活水平是提高了,丰富多彩了?还倒退了,单调乏味了?显然是几何级数地提高了和更加丰富多彩了!

 

标准化、复制化、集约化是工业革命或工业文明,在生产生活上带来高效和极大的物质丰富(300年间创造的财富是过去所有世代的总和),所以手工业、传统农业不堪一击。但是,正如工业文明的发展,依然离不开少数非职业人士在科技、人文、艺术和哲学上的创造性工作。那么AI时代呢?AI除了取代标准化、复制化、集约化的劳动,还将取代部分创造性的工作,但是,正如王教授所说真正创造性工作,AI是不可能取代的,甚至部分“非标准的手工艺”活也不能取代。

 

所以,问题不在AI会不会取代人的工作或职业“饭碗”,而在于今天的AI大佬们,企业家、工程师和伦理学、社会学家们担心的AI猛进的“不确定性”和AI自身发展的“瓶颈”问题带的盲目而恶性竞争。而这就是,我们继人类建构起了互联网(解决特权、垄断、操纵的“信息不对称”)和物联网(解决万物感应互联自动化)之后,提出建构孞联网(解决无分身份的生命孞念交互奖抑机制)的原由和动因。


 

最后,王泽华教授还从工程的角度和数学的角度,分析回答了与会者关于当AI用光了网络公开信息之后,大概率要挖掘个人正在产生的新信息时,怎么办的问题。

 

短短一个半小时的闭门会议,气氛热烈,孞心满满,一致认为:“共生是正在进行的未来,AI必定造福人类”。

 

(学生耶米粒自UBC报道,摄影:曹建平)





Microtrends, New Variables

—Notes from the “International Symposium on Addressing the Uncertainties and Three Major Bottlenecks of AI's Rapid Advancement”

At the beginning of 2025, under clear blue skies, a small-scale yet impactful symposium titled “Addressing the Uncertainties and Three Major Bottlenecks of AI's Rapid Advancement” was held in a modest seminar room at the University of British Columbia (UBC).

The symposium was chaired by UBC blockchain expert Professor Zehua Wang, with Professor Hong Qian of the Global Symbiosis Society delivering the keynote address, Earthropocene: Amorsophia MindsNetworking. The presentation was based on insights from Professor Qian’s recent book, SYMBIOSISM: The Mind Power to Agree on An Innovative Life Style. Scholars from China and Canada participated in this closed-door symposium.

Key Discussions

Participants engaged in lively discussions on how to recognize, adapt to, and actively address the uncertainties brought by AI’s rapid development. Topics included the impact of AI on production and lifestyle paradigms established since the Industrial Revolution, its implications for workplaces, and the challenges AI poses to humanity’s longstanding self-centric perspective of seeing itself as the Subject and everything else as the Object.

The symposium also explored the “three major bottlenecks” AI faces in fully integrating into social life:

  1. The extreme asymmetry between energy consumption and efficiency;

  2. The inherent shortcomings of systems thinking in information sources, channels, and outcomes;

  3. The limitations of current AI methods, which rely on data, algorithms, computational power, and neural networks but fail to achieve the depth of wisdom, love, and consciousness embodied in Amorsophia.

A significant focus of the discussion was the rationale and prerequisites for constructing a “MindsNetworking” (孞联网). Following the Internet’s resolution of information asymmetry and the Internet of Things’ (IoT) automation of interconnected objects, MindsNetworking aims to establish an interaction mechanism that rewards or restrains based on intent, eliminating identity-based biases and fostering balanced coexistence between life and AI.

Three Imperatives and Two Practical Proposals

Professor Qian elaborated on three imperatives and two practical proposals:

  1. To move from the symbiotic origins of the Naturaropocene, surpass the symbiotic baseline of the Anthropocene, and embrace the symbiotic soul of the Earthropocene is imperative.

  2. To abandon the self-centric worldview of Subject and Object and adopt the philosophy of Intersubjective Symbiosism is imperative.

  3. To construct the Amorsophia MindsNetworking to balance the AI concerns raised by thinkers like Goodall, Musk, and Harari and to foster ecological and interstellar civilizations is imperative.

From these imperatives arise two proposals:

  1. Embrace the wonders and uncertainties of AI’s rapid progress with an open heart;

  2. Encourage engineers and philosophers to join hands, overcoming challenges together to construct the Amorsophia MindsNetworking and usher in the Earthropocene era.

The Power of Microtrends

As early as 1970, Mark Penn’s Microtrends highlighted the significance of small, emerging variables in shaping the future. The symposium echoed this idea, emphasizing that real change often stems not from grand trends but from the “microtrends” where new consensus and innovative actions are forming.

Professor Zehua Wang also addressed a pressing technical question: what happens when AI exhausts publicly available information online and begins mining real-time personal data? His insights from both engineering and mathematical perspectives offered valuable guidance for future considerations.

The ancient saying goes, “A gale arises from the edge of a tiny reed.” As a university student, I found the UBC International Symposium on Addressing the Uncertainties and Three Major Bottlenecks of AI's Rapid Development deeply inspiring. Although it was a small, closed-door event, it embodied a new way of understanding our lifestyle through new thinking and new values—Microtrends!

The Future of Work and the Role of Artificial Intelligence

The consensus among the participants was clear: If AI, particularly humanoid robots, can replace most standardized, replicable, and intensive jobs, it will fundamentally solve the economic problem of resource scarcity. This breakthrough would bring the dream of Universal Basic Income (UBI) closer to reality.

More significantly, once scarcity ceases to be an issue, entrenched systems of capital monopoly, power manipulation, and their collusion will lose their relevance. Material privilege will no longer hold meaning. People's perspectives on life will expand beyond material accumulation, prioritizing individuality, creativity, and the philosophy of “small is beautiful.” This spiritual pursuit is poised to shape the new framework of human society.

From this perspective, we must embrace humanity’s innate adaptability—the self-organizing and outward-balancing power endowed with Amorsophia. There is no need to fear that traditional industries and jobs will be replaced by AI and humanoid robots. Consider the Industrial Revolution: it disrupted countless traditional “rice bowls,” yet did it lead to societal regression or monotony? On the contrary, it dramatically improved overall living standards and brought vibrancy and diversity to human life.

Standardization vs. Creativity: Lessons from the Industrial Revolution

The Industrial Revolution’s advances in standardization, replication, and intensification significantly boosted productivity and material abundance. In just 300 years, it created more wealth than all prior generations combined. However, traditional crafts and agriculture were rendered vulnerable. Despite this, the Industrial Revolution still relied on a minority of individuals engaged in creative work in science, humanities, arts, and philosophy.

What about the AI era? AI will undoubtedly replace standardized, replicable, and intensive labor while also taking over some creative tasks. Yet, as Professor Zehua Wang pointed out, true creativity cannot be replaced by AI. Even certain non-standardized artisan crafts will remain irreplaceable.

The Real Challenge

The real issue is not whether AI will replace certain human jobs, but rather the uncertainties of AI's rapid development and the bottlenecks in its evolution, which may lead to blind and harmful competition. These concerns are shared by today’s AI entrepreneurs, engineers, politicians, and ethicists.

This is why, following the construction of the Internet (to address “information asymmetry” caused by privilege, monopoly, and manipulation) and the Internet of Things (to automate interconnectivity among objects), humanity must now propose the creation of MindsNetworking. This network aims to address the problem of establishing symbiotic mechanisms of reward and restraint for cross-entity intent interactions.

Final Reflections

Finally, Professor Zehua Wang analyzed and addressed a pressing question from both engineering and mathematical perspectives: What happens when AI exhausts all publicly available information online and begins mining real-time, personally generated data?

In just ninety minutes, this vibrant and idea-rich closed-door symposium concluded with one shared belief: “Symbiosis is the future in progress, and AI will undoubtedly benefit humanity.”

(Report by Yemili, a UBC student; Photography by Jianping Cao)








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· 终结战争,重建全球共生新秩序计
· 从平等主体承诺,到交互主体共生
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· “疲惫的世界欢欣鼓舞”——2024圣诞
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