刺猬与狐狸的隐喻，交互共生的智慧 
热战、冷战、又热战，低效、高耗、泛特权的当今世界，川普与马斯克，在世界政坛与高科的横空出世，面临两大世界性的挑战：一是让践踏生命的世界实现和平，一是让低效高耗不公平的Trust（企业或政府）组织降本赋能！
那么，不妨把“实现和平与降本赋能”，称之为川普与马斯克的“双战”。 既然是“双战”，就需要动态平衡目标与能力的战略、战术，策略、谋略。也就是说，无论“和平，是打出来的，还是谈出来的？”，抑或“降本赋能，是狐狸好，还是刺猬好？”，这并是简单的二分法选择题！ 任何一根筋思维，无论是如“狐狸多知”，还是若“刺猬有一大知”，都不足以应对两大世界性的挑战，甚至可能一招不慎，功败垂成，结果“一如弹指间登上至尊之位，又电光火石间重回卑微”！ 所以，我冒昧地请求川普先生和马斯克先生，不要低估更不必再攻击，拜登过去四年在国际国内政治中象狐狸般狡猾，也不要过高估计自身超级英雄般的进击能量，把自己现任做的事与前任比较，不合适，还会引发不必要的麻烦，完全没有必要。 因为，狐狸式思维善于归纳各种不同信息，重视环境的变化和对自身能力的评估，而不是仅依据“宏伟理想”进行推导（哪怕借助AI算法），但往往模糊了目标和焦点，坐失良机；刺猬式思维则恰恰相反，重视目标的单一性和纯粹性（直接利用AI算力），而忽视多重策略的配合，且往往拒绝批判和反思，一根筋地沉浸在自己先入为主的观念里。“大选结束了，胜利者必须承担国家的全部责任！”（《MAGA 2.0：从保护主义到全球共生战略》http://symbiosism.com.cn/9429.html，惊闻对加拿大关税战开打，作于2月3日新加坡-大阪航班）。 既然是“全部责任”，那就必须清楚：狐狸式思维与刺猬式思维各自有各自的优长与短板，唯有二者交互共生（Intersubjective Symbiosism）——把刺猬的方向感和狐狸对环境的敏感性结合起来，才能通过现实常识孕育践行为成功的大战略。 我特别要对川普总统说，我相信你有Passion、有Vision、有Mission、有Expasion，更有Action，带领美国进入新的“黄金时代”！ 如果你真的想让“美国再次伟大”（MAGA）成为人类生活方式创新与再选择——交互主体共生（Intersubjective Symbiosism）之域的楷模，那么，上文我冒昧说出的“五个忠告”，可能是您完成使命，要注意的必要条件，归结到一句话就是：神选之人，还是人，不是神，愿您真正肩负起当代美国人民赋予您的总统责任，避免MAGA演变成一场悲剧和闹剧！ 把刺猬的方向感和狐狸对环境的敏感性结合起来，才能通过现实常识孕育践行为成功的大战略。 Archer Hong Qian 2025年3月13日于温哥华 The Metaphor of the Hedgehog and the Fox: The Wisdom of Intersubjective Symbiosism Hot wars, cold wars, and then hot wars again. An inefficient, high-cost, and privilege-laden world. In this world, Donald Trump and Elon Musk have emerged as disruptive forces in global politics and high technology, facing two monumental global challenges: Achieving peace in a world that tramples on life. Reducing costs and empowering efficiency in inefficient, high-cost, and unfair Trust-based organizations (corporate or governmental).
We might call these two challenges Trump and Musk’s “dual battle”. Since this is a “dual battle,” it demands a dynamic balance between goals and capabilities, requiring strategy, tactics, planning, and wisdom. In other words, whether “peace is achieved through war or negotiation” or whether “cost reduction and empowerment should follow the thinking of a fox or a hedgehog”—these are not simple binary choices! Any one-track mindset—whether following the fox’s knowledge of many things or the hedgehog’s mastery of one big thing—is insufficient to tackle these two global challenges. Worse still, a single misstep could lead to total failure, with success slipping away in an instant: "One moment, ascending to the throne of supreme power, and in a flash, returning to obscurity." A Humble Request to President Trump and Mr. Musk Thus, I humbly request President Trump and Mr. Musk: Do not underestimate, nor continue attacking, President Biden’s fox-like cunning in international and domestic politics over the past four years. Do not overestimate your own “superhero-like” energy to charge forward. Avoid unnecessary comparisons between the incumbent and previous administrations, as they are inappropriate and could invite unnecessary trouble.
The Strengths and Weaknesses of the Fox and the Hedgehog Fox-like thinking is excellent at synthesizing diverse information, adapting to environmental changes, and assessing one's own capabilities realistically—rather than blindly pursuing “grand ideals” (even with AI-driven calculations). However, foxes often lose focus and miss opportunities. Hedgehog-like thinking, in contrast, is highly focused on a single, pure goal (leveraging AI computational power directly). However, it often lacks multi-strategy coordination, rejects criticism and reflection, and stubbornly clings to preconceived ideas.
As I wrote in "MAGA 2.0: From Protectionism to the Global Symbiosism Strategy" (published on February 3, during a Singapore-Osaka flight, upon hearing about Trump’s initiation of a tariff war against Canada): "The election is over. The winner must now bear full responsibility for the nation!"
(Full article) If "full responsibility" is the mission, then understanding the strengths and weaknesses of both fox-like and hedgehog-like thinking is essential. Only through Intersubjective Symbiosism—combining the hedgehog’s clear sense of direction with the fox’s acute sensitivity to the environment—can realistic wisdom be translated into a truly successful grand strategy. A Special Message to President Trump President Trump, I believe you possess Passion, Vision, Mission, Expansion, and most importantly, Action—qualities necessary to lead America into a new “Golden Age”. If you truly wish for “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) to become a global model for innovation and lifestyle transformation—a world of Intersubjective Symbiosism, then the five critical warnings I humbly mentioned above are essential conditions for you to fulfill your mission. Ultimately, it all boils down to one key truth: "A chosen leader is still human, not a deity." I sincerely hope you will fully embrace the responsibility entrusted to you by the American people, avoiding any scenario where MAGA degenerates into either a tragedy or a farce! Conclusion: The True Art of Leadership Only by integrating the hedgehog’s unwavering sense of direction with the fox’s keen adaptability can true leadership emerge, cultivating wisdom that turns practical action into a winning grand strategy. Archer Hong Qian
March 13, 2025 – Vancouver
|
