今天在網上GOOGLE搜索,偶然找到1996年1月在CND論壇上發表的一段戰略分析(http://www.cnd.org/njmassacre/messages/msgs14929.html )。其全文如下: The strategy Message posted by DXY (dyue@cs.umn.edu) on Sun Jan 28 18:51:57 PST 1996Message: The strategy against the jap. will be rather simple. For the next 25 years, China would focus on economical and technological development. By 2020, China will be at least equal to US in total industrial output and amost twice of Jap. US dominance in the pacific will be gone forever. Due to development of 3rd world countries, Japan's influence on Southeast Asia will greatly diminished. Japanese China will demand Japan to pay for all the losses it caused since 1894, at 8% per annum. Korea will do the same. Japan will refuse to pay. China and Korea will become allies. Russia will have the option to side with China and get some benefit. Military conflict will be initiated by trouble points, such as Jap. occupied Chinese territory such as Diao4yu2tai2. Chinese naval force will reclaim the island, Jap.s will open first fire. Chinese air force and naval forces will launch full scale attack on Jap... US will dare not to intervene, and it will be glad to see Jap. to fall. China sends 2 Million PLA forces occupying Jap and educate Jap.s for 500 years. But we will not kill them, instead Japanese will have the option to work to pay the debts they owe China. 總結地說,我在1996年1月的預見是,:中國將在2020年前工業產量超過美國,第三次中日戰爭將在這個時間左右爆發,導火索是釣魚島。 但在1996年9月9 日,我發表了《釣魚島中日決戰》一文,將這個時間表提前了約10年。 目前看來,中國的物質生產總量已經超過美國,占全球的20%左右,對日本軍國主義的剿滅戰的物質條件已經具備,中日決戰隨時可能打響。 這一決戰對緩解中國國內矛盾,改善台海兩岸關係,激發香港特區人民的愛國熱情,團結全球華人,提高中國的全球地位,保持中國國力的可持續發展,都是極為必要的。 |