Americans of color have moved to the right over the past decade （Bilingual 英漢雙語）有色人種選民過去十年來已經向右轉移

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By David Leonhardt  October 14, 2024

Good morning. We are covering a Times poll of Black and Hispanic Americans — as well as the Middle East, Russian disinformation in Africa and millennial spending habits. 

Donald Trump supporters in the South Bronx, New York.  Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times

A political misdiagnosis

The Democratic Party has spent years hoping that demography would equal destiny. As the country became more racially diverse, Democrats imagined that they would become the majority party thanks to support from Asian, Black, and Hispanic voters. The politics of America, according to this vision, would start to resemble the liberal politics of California.

It is not working out that way. Instead, Americans of color have moved to the right over the past decade.

The latest New York Times/Siena College poll offers detailed evidence. The poll reached almost 1,500 Black and Hispanic Americans, far more than most surveys do. (Our poll didn't focus on Asian voters, but they have shifted, too.)

A key fact is that the rightward drift is concentrated among working-class voters, defined as those without a four-year college degree: