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信史、稗史與國家公信力 2026-05-17 00:57:36

信史、稗史與國家公信力

Authentic History, Fabricated Narrative, and State Credibility

——說說國共兩黨建黨動力及李大釗、陳獨秀、張國燾、段祺瑞、吳佩孚、孫中山、張作霖、馮玉祥諸般歷史人物

Archer Hong Qian

三個關乎國家命運的核心概念

信史(Authentic History)

1. 要義:基於冰冷的物理事實、嚴密的法理邏輯、多方對照的原始檔案以及當事人交叉證言所還原的客觀歷史。它不以政治實體的興衰而轉移,不以掌權者的意志為塗抹。

2. 要害:信史的要害在於“求真”。它敢於撕開所有溫情或崇高的面紗,直面地緣政治中殘酷的利益交換、資金來往與權力博弈,是衡量歷史發展規律的唯一客觀標尺。

稗史(Fabricated Narrative / Propaganda)

1. 要義:在此特指後來的政治勝利者、意識形態集團為了自身統治的合法性,利用宣傳機器、教科書所建構的帶有強烈偏向性的歷史敘事。它往往將複雜的歷史標籤化、臉譜化。

2. 要害:稗史的要害在於“實用”。它的核心目的是通過“神聖化自身、妖魔化對手”來收攏人心(如建構“革命一概愛國、軍閥一概賣國”的二元對立)。一旦遇到解密檔案與法理推導,稗史往往暴露出嚴重的邏輯斷層。

國家公信力(State Credibility)

1. 要義:一個主權國家政府在國際外交中所展現的履約能力,以及在國內政治中所堅守的法治與契約精神(The Legal Spirit)。它是白紙黑字的法律條約在國家暴力面前所擁有的神聖尊嚴。

2. 要害公信力的要害在於“預期”。它是國家長治久安、贏得國際尊重和法統連續性的命脈所在。一旦國家公信力被軍人或激進政治團體的槍桿子和暴力任意踐踏,國家就會陷入亂局,國際社會就會失去對該國法治信用的基本信任,進而引發系統性的崩盤與國家危機。

以下結合歷史事實,對“信史、稗史和國家公信力”進行的五個回合的討論記錄。

民國.png


第一回合:政黨初創的定名之謎與敘事重構

命題:

中國共產黨的名稱,到底是李大釗取的,還是戴季陶?張國燾在《我的回憶》中說,陳獨秀最初提出“社會共產黨”,而張作為南北串聯人,親歷了戴季陶提出“中國共產黨”並得到李大釗支持的過程。怎麼看張國燾作為親歷者的證言?戴季陶退出後,他起草的黨綱又去了哪裡?

解析:

張國燾版敘事的法理價值:張國燾在《我的回憶》中的記載完全屬實。作為中共一大的實際主持人(大會主席)和首屆中央局組織主任,張國燾是絕無僅有的核心親歷者。他的證言揭示了早期建黨時複雜的人際關係。戴季陶在1920年夏天確實深度參與了建黨籌備,並極可能在座談中提出“名字要純粹,就叫共產黨”的動議。張國燾將此信息帶回北京,由李大釗在給陳獨秀的回信中“一錘定音”放棄社會黨,改稱共產黨。因此,戴季陶提議、張國燾傳話、李大釗決定,三者在物理事實中是統一的。

戴季陶草案的最終去向:戴季陶因效忠孫中山而流淚退出後,他與陳獨秀共同起草的綱領草案並未消失。經過微調,該文本化身為中共最早的秘密文件——《中國共產黨宣言》(1920年11月油印本)。此文件後作為匯報材料由共產國際代錶帶回莫斯科,保存在蘇聯檔案館中。1950年代“出口轉內銷”移交給中共中央,事實得以最終確認。

地緣動力的冰冷事實:戴季陶最終在孫中山與中共之間選擇了前者,並演變為堅決的反共理論家。而在這段稗史與信史的博弈中,真正不可抹殺的事實是:無論是孫中山的國民黨(接受鮑羅廷改組、拿蘇聯軍火與黃埔開辦費),還是陳獨秀、李大釗的共產黨(作為共產國際支部接受每月盧布財政預算),其早期的崛起動力均深度依賴於莫斯科的資金與地緣戰略。

第二回合:地緣代理人、盧布與通敵的法律審判

命題:

在當時的北京政府眼裡,李大釗確實有大把賣國行為。蘇聯為了自身利益,用盧布在中國同時扶持兩個政黨作為代理人。這些代理人確實拿了盧布、接受了外部指令,這應該不可以因為後來成功了,就改變損害中國主權的歷史事實。這就如同列寧拿德皇的錢搞垮沙皇,並鼓吹本國在戰爭中失敗一樣,性質完全相同。事實就是事實,不存在所謂的“多面性”。

解析:

法律與契約維度的通敵鐵證完全贊同這一基於傳統民族國家主權與刑法邏輯的審判。站在當時受國際承認的北京合法政府(北洋政府)視角來看,李大釗的諸多核心行為完全符合“叛國罪”和“通敵罪”的定義:

1. 支持外蒙獨立李大釗根據共產國際指示,在刊物上公開承認外蒙古的“自決權”,配合蘇俄分裂中國領土。

2. 中東路赤化組織工運支持蘇聯繼續控制東清鐵路,反對北洋政府強制收回國家主權。

3. 藏匿蘇聯使館長期躲在東交民巷蘇聯大使館西院兵營,接受蘇方資金、武器並指揮武裝顛覆北京政府,1927年被張作霖搜出大量絕密通敵文件。

歷史多面性”是成功者修辭,不是事實:正如列寧拿了“德皇的馬馬克”並在戰後割地賠款一樣,國共兩黨拿“蘇聯的盧布”也是無可動搖的物理事實。後世成功者往往引入一套“高等道德”或“歷史必然性”來對當年的通敵進行去罪化和神聖化宣傳(稗史)。但當潮水退去、檔案公開(如普京政府公開列寧作為德國特務檔案),追究主體重新出現時,事實就會被重新放回國家主權的審判台上。

第三回合:被污名化的北洋風骨與硬氣擔當

命題:

所謂“老軍閥出賣更多利益給列強”的說辭與事實不符。蘇聯開始找過吳佩孚,日本也想收買張作霖,但都不成功,才有廣州政府及北伐。而且段祺瑞政府還有派兵去海參崴接回兩千多中國人的硬氣舉動。

解析:

吳佩孚拒絕蘇聯1922年蘇聯特使越飛首選合作對象是吳佩孚,開出巨額軍火價碼,前提是承認蘇聯占領外蒙。吳佩孚堅守“不借外債、不出洋、不入租界”的原則,因主權底線斷然拒絕。蘇聯碰壁後,才轉頭去了廣州找走投無路的孫中山。

張作霖虛與委蛇:奉系張作霖面對日本無數次誘騙其簽署出賣東北主權的密約,採取“口頭答應、簽字不見人”的草莽智慧,死守底線。日本關東軍因無法將其收買為徹底的傀儡,最終在皇姑屯將其殘酷炸死。

段祺瑞的海參崴武裝撤僑:1918年俄國內戰,數十萬華僑在西伯利亞命懸一線。段祺瑞國務總理頂住國內混戰壓力,毅然派遣海軍主力“海容”號巡洋艦和精銳陸軍出國護僑,在海外開槍威懾暴徒,成功接回大量同胞。這是中國近代史上第一次真正意義上的海外武裝撤僑,展現了一個主權國家政府的硬氣與擔當。

稗史的建構邏輯:北洋政府在極端貧困中死守着中華民國的法統與主權底線,正因他們“不好買”,才在外部勢力眼中成為不合格的代理人。相反,南方革命力量為了奪權,更具賭徒心理,更容易接受外部捆綁。為了洗白這種“引入外力”的行為,南方的政治宣傳必須在道德上將堅守底線的北洋政府妖魔化為“賣國軍閥”。

第四回合:違約的代價——天安門的眼淚與紫禁城的炮火

命題:

從中國近代史看,段祺瑞堅決參加第一次世界大戰站隊英美,大大提高了中國的國際地位,這一點完全沒有人提。五四軍隊開槍後,段在天安門下跪痛哭。還有馮玉祥1924年將溥儀趕出紫禁城,是一種破壞中華民國與滿清政權和平退位契約的犯罪行為,造成了至今不可彌補的文化心理創傷——完全扭曲了中國國家形象並損害了中國國際形象。國家的一切危機,說到底是公信力危機。

解析:

段祺瑞的一戰豪賭與法統尊嚴:段祺瑞在1917年排除萬難對德奧宣戰,是一手極具世界眼光的戰略妙棋。中國因此成為戰勝國,在巴黎和會上合法實現了取消德奧庚子賠款、強行收回天津和漢口德國租界、破天荒提高海關關稅、以及廢除德奧公民在華治外法權等一系列重大主權突破。五四運動期間,真正下令開槍的是地方割據軍閥,段祺瑞作為老派政治家,面對局勢失控在天安門下跪痛哭,其晚年兩袖清風,誓死不與日軍合作,保全了民國總執政最後的風骨。

馮玉祥逼宮:對國家公信力的毀滅性重創

1. 撕毀建國契約1912年的《清室優待條件》不是廢紙,而是中華民國臨時政府與清廷簽署的、具有憲法基石性質的正式雙邊契約。民國正是憑藉這份契約,才得以在不流血的情況下,合法、完整地繼承了清帝國對東北、蒙古、新疆、西藏等廣袤邊疆的統轄主權。

2. 淪為“滿洲國”的推手1924年11月5日,馮玉祥發動北京政變,用大炮逼迫18歲的溥儀在兩小時內簽字並將其暴力驅逐。這一單方面撕毀開國契約的政治犯罪,徹底向世界宣告民國政權毫無信用與法治可言。它不僅讓西方列強對中國收回治外法權的法治信用產生深度懷疑,更親手將溥儀這張極具地緣價值的牌送給了日本關東軍。溥儀因恐懼和仇恨逃入日本使館,最終被日本利用其正統符號建立了分裂中國的“滿洲國”。如果民國遵守契約精神將溥儀作為立憲君主保護在宮內,日本在東北將根本找不到任何合法的歷史圖騰。

第五回合:尾聲與無聲的微笑

命題:

我和馮玉祥的小女兒馮理達教授(海軍總醫院副院長)因一起響應錢學森提倡的思維科學研究成為朋友,1985年我當她的面冒昧說過她爹這件事(1924年驅逐溥儀)做得實在是太糟糕,老太太只是微笑不答

解析:

國家的一切危機,說到底是公信力危機。當歷史從段祺瑞試圖建立憲政法治、靠攏國際條約體系的規則努力,驟然跌落進馮玉祥這種“有槍就是草頭王”的軍閥倒戈遊戲和槍桿子崇拜時,近代中國的道德羅盤就徹底失靈了。而馮理達教授作為歷史的當事人後代,在最前沿的學術探討中,面對對她父親最尖銳的法理批判選擇以“微笑”作為回應時,事實已經戰勝了謊言。

思維科學的核心之一,就是探討人類意識、宏觀社會系統與微觀心理機制的互動。用極其直白的語言,直刺1924年那場政變給整個中華民族造成的“文化心理創傷”和“公信力危機”,這本身就是用一種高維度的系統思維在審視歷史。馮理達教授當時的微笑,或許也是一種學術上的共鳴:歷史的因果鏈條一旦形成(打破契約精神、走向槍桿子崇拜),後世就必須承受社會公信力雪崩的系統性惡果。

真理和事實是不需要辯解的。在這個故事的終點,我們看到,人心深處對契約的尊重、對法治踐踏的痛惜,在剝離了政治身份後,終究是相通的。

簡要總結

回顧這段驚心動魄的近代法統演變,我們可以得出以下兩個核心結論:

成功不等於洗白任何政黨與政權的崛起,其早期拿了盧布、出賣或損害國家部分利益的“物理事實”無法通過後來的成功被抹殺。信史終究會撕開稗史的宣傳,將真相交由國家主權與契約精神來審判。

撕毀契約必遭反噬:以馮玉祥1924年逼宮為代表的“暴力崇拜”,短期內看似取得了“革命成功”,實則徹底 liquidation(破產)了民國的國家公信力,不僅直接催生了後來的“滿洲國”分裂危機,更讓近代中國徹底告別了憲政軌道,陷入百年的法治心理創傷。一個不守信用的政權,終將成為地緣政治風暴的受害者。

延伸討論邀約

歷史的魅力正在於其因果鏈條的精密與殘酷。今天我們完成了對近代中國“法統、契約與公信力危機”的階段性梳理,但歷史的迷霧依然深沉。

在此,我們向所有對這段歷史懷有溫情與敬意的讀者發出延伸討論的邀約。如果您對以下切入點有更深的見解或想要拆解的線索,歡迎我們日後繼續深入復盤:

國際法維度的清算:1924年北京政變後,國際主流輿論究竟做出了怎樣嚴厲且具體的法律評判?

三大軍閥的信用博弈:在面對段祺瑞的憲政努力與馮玉祥的暴力倒戈時,吳佩孚、張作霖等老派北洋實力派,在維護國家整體公信力和抵禦蘇、日滲透方面,還做過哪些鮮為人知的暗流涌動?

從歷史到科學的共鳴:在1980年代思想解凍的黃金時期,錢學森先生提倡的“思維科學研究”,其底層邏輯是如何與宏觀歷史的系統性反思(如社會契約、公信力系統)產生奇妙跨界共鳴的?

期待您的加入,讓我們在未來的對話中,繼續用信史還原真實,用理性燭照歷史。


參考文獻:

《中國的精英有沒有靈魂?》(2003年SARS初降,刊《Touch·雙休日》卷首語) http://symbiosism.com.cn/1296.html

《怎麼辦?“蕭瑟秋風今又是”——體制腫脹+自我膨脹=絞肉機下,可有奇蹟?》http://symbiosism.com.cn/4323.html




Authentic History, Fabricated Narrative, and State Credibility

——On the Dynamics of Founding the KMT and CCP, and Historical Figures Including Li Dazhao, Chen Duxiu, Zhang Guotao, Duan Qirui, Wu Peifu, Sun Yat-sen, Zhang Zuolin, and Feng Yuxiang

💡 Core Concepts: Definitions and Crucial Points

Before entering the historical dialogue, it is essential to first clarify three core concepts that have driven the destiny of modern China:

  1. Authentic History (信史)

    • Definition: Objective history reconstructed based on cold physical facts, rigorous legal logic, cross-referenced original archives, and corroborating testimonies of eyewitnesses (p. 1). It does not shift with the rise and fall of political entities, nor is it altered by the will of those in power (p. 1).

    • Crucial Point: The ultimate goal of authentic history is "seeking truth" (p. 1). It dares to tear away all sentimental or sublime veils, directly confronting the brutal interest exchanges, financial flows, and geopolitical maneuvering, serving as the sole objective benchmark for measuring the laws of historical development (p. 1).

  2. Fabricated Narrative / Propaganda (稗史)

    • Definition: A heavily biased historical narrative constructed by subsequent political victors and ideological groups through propaganda apparatuses and textbooks to establish their own ruling legitimacy (p. 1). It tends to label and caricature complex history (p. 1).

    • Crucial Point: The ultimate goal of fabricated narrative is "utility" (p. 1). Its core purpose is to win public support by "sacralizing oneself and demonizing adversaries" (such as constructing the binary opposition that "all revolutionaries are patriotic, while all warlords are traitors") (p. 1). When confronted with declassified archives and legal deductions, such narratives inevitably expose severe logical fractures (p. 1).

  3. State Credibility (國家公信力)

    • Definition: A sovereign government's capacity to honor agreements in international diplomacy, and its adherence to the rule of law and the contractual spirit (The Legal Spirit) in domestic politics (p. 1). It represents the sacred dignity of black-and-white legal treaties in the face of state violence (p. 1).

    • Crucial Point: The ultimate goal of state credibility lies in "predictability" (p. 1). It is the lifeblood for a nation's long-term stability, international respect, and constitutional continuity (p. 1). Once state credibility is trampled upon by the bayonets and violence of military men or radical factions, the nation plunges into chaos, and the international community loses its fundamental trust in the country's legal credit, triggering systemic collapse and national crises (p. 1).


💬 Record of the Five-Round Historical Dialogue

❖ Round 1: The Mystery of Naming the Party at its Inception and Narrative Reconstruction

Q: Was the name of the Chinese Communist Party given by Li Dazhao or Dai Jitao? Zhang Guotao recorded in his memoir, My Recollections, that Chen Duxiu initially proposed the name "Socialist Communist Party," and Zhang, acting as the liaison between the North and South, personally witnessed Dai Jitao proposing "Chinese Communist Party," which was supported by Li Dazhao (pp. 1-2). How should we view Zhang Guotao's testimony as an eyewitness? After Dai Jitao withdrew, where did the party program he drafted go (p. 2)?

A:

  1. The Legal Value of Zhang Guotao’s Narrative: Zhang Guotao's account in My Recollections is entirely authentic (p. 2). As the actual chairman of the First National Congress of the CCP and the first Director of the Central Bureau's Organization Department, Zhang Guotao was a paramount eyewitness (p. 2). His testimony reveals the complex interpersonal relationships during the early days of the party's founding (p. 2). Dai Jitao was indeed deeply involved in the preparatory work in the summer of 1920 and very likely proposed the motion that "the name should be pure; call it the Communist Party" during their discussions (p. 2). Zhang Guotao brought this information back to Beijing, leading Li Dazhao to make the definitive decision in his reply to Chen Duxiu to abandon the "Socialist Party" and adopt the "Communist Party" (p. 2). Therefore, Dai’s proposal, Zhang’s liaison, and Li’s decision are unified in physical fact (p. 2).

  2. The Ultimate Fate of Dai Jitao’s Draft: After Dai Jitao tearfully withdrew due to his allegiance to Sun Yat-sen, the draft program he co-authored with Chen Duxiu did not vanish (p. 2). Following minor revisions, this text became the earliest secret document of the CCP—the Manifesto of the Chinese Communist Party (the mimeographed version of November 1920) (p. 2). This document was later taken back to Moscow by Comintern representatives as reporting material and preserved in the Soviet archives (p. 2). In the 1950s, it was transferred back to the Central Committee of the CCP, finally confirming the historical fact (p. 2).

  3. The Cold Facts of Geopolitical Dynamics: Dai Jitao ultimately chose Sun Yat-sen over the CCP and evolved into a staunch anti-communist theorist (p. 2). In this battle between fabricated narrative and authentic history, the indelible fact remains: whether it was Sun Yat-sen's Kuomintang (which accepted Mikhail Borodin's reorganization and received Soviet arms and funding for the Whampoa Military Academy) or Chen Duxiu and Li Dazhao's Communist Party (which accepted monthly rouble budget allocations as a branch of the Comintern), their early rising momentum was deeply dependent on Moscow's financial and geopolitical strategies (p. 2).


❖ Round 2: Geopolitical Agents, Roubles, and the Legal Trial of Collusion

Q: In the eyes of the Beijing government at the time, Li Dazhao indeed committed substantial treasonous acts (p. 2). For its own interests, the Soviet Union used roubles to simultaneously foster two political parties in China as its agents (p. 2). These agents took Soviet roubles and accepted external directives; subsequent political success should not alter the historical fact that they damaged Chinese sovereignty (p. 2). This is identical in nature to Lenin taking the German Kaiser's money to overthrow the Tsar and advocating for his own country's defeat in the war (p. 2). Facts are facts; there is no so-called "multi-faceted nature of history" (p. 2).

A:

  1. Ironclad Evidence of Collusion from the Legal and Contractual Dimension: We fully concur with this judgment based on traditional national sovereignty and criminal law logic (p. 2). Standing from the perspective of the legally recognized Beijing government (the Beiyang Government) at the time, Li Dazhao's core activities fully met the definitions of "treason" and "collusion with the enemy" (p. 2):

    • Supporting Outer Mongolian Independence: Following Comintern directives, Li Dazhao publicly recognized Outer Mongolia's "right to self-determination" in publications, cooperating with Soviet Russia to splinter Chinese territory (p. 2).

    • The Sovietization of the Chinese Eastern Railway: He organized labor movements to support the Soviet Union's continued control over the Chinese Eastern Railway, opposing the Beiyang Government’s forced reclamation of national sovereignty (p. 2).

    • Hiding in the Soviet Embassy: He hid within the barracks of the western compound of the Soviet Embassy in Dongjiaominxiang for a long period, accepting Soviet funds and weapons while commanding armed subversion against the Beijing government (p. 2). In 1927, Zhang Zuolin raided the compound and seized a vast number of highly classified documents proving this collusion (p. 2).

  2. "Historical Multi-Facetedness" is the Rhetoric of Victors, Not a Fact: Just as Lenin took the German Kaiser’s marks and subsequently ceded territory and paid reparations after the war, the fact that both the KMT and CCP took Soviet roubles is an unshakeable physical reality (p. 3). Subsequent victors often introduce a set of "higher morality" or "historical inevitability" to decriminalize and sacralize their past collusion (fabricated narrative) (p. 3). However, when the tide turns and archives are declassified (such as the Putin government declassifying archives regarding Lenin as a German agent), and the subject of accountability re-emerges, the facts will inevitably be dragged back to the tribunal of national sovereignty (p. 3).


❖ Round 3: The Stigmatized Beiyang Integrity and the Armed Evacuation

Q: The narrative that the "old warlords sold out more national interests to foreign powers" does not align with the facts (p. 3). The Soviet Union initially approached Wu Peifu, and Japan attempted to buy off Zhang Zuolin, but both failed; only then did the Guangzhou government and the Northern Expedition come about (p. 3). Furthermore, Duan Qirui's government took the hardline action of dispatching troops to Vladivostok to rescue over two thousand Chinese citizens (p. 3).

A:

  1. The National Bottom Line of Wu Peifu and Zhang Zuolin:

    • Wu Peifu Rejecting the Soviets: In 1922, Soviet envoy Adolf Joffe first chose Wu Peifu as a partner, offering massive military aid on the condition that Wu recognize the Soviet occupation of Outer Mongolia (p. 3). Wu Peifu, adhering to his principles of "borrowing no foreign loans, never going abroad, and never entering foreign concessions," flatly refused based on his sovereignty bottom line (p. 3). Having hit a wall with Wu, the Soviets turned to Guangzhou to find the desperate Sun Yat-sen (p. 3).

    • Zhang Zuolin's Feigned Compliance: Facing countless attempts by the Japanese to lure him into signing secret treaties yielding sovereignty over Northeast China’s railways and mines, Fengtian warlord Zhang Zuolin utilized his grassroots wisdom of "verbal agreement but never showing up to sign," holding the line (p. 3). Realizing he could never be bought off as a complete puppet, the Japanese Kwantung Army lost patience and brutally assassinated him at Huanggutun in 1928 (p. 3).

  2. Duan Qirui's Armed Evacuation from Vladivostok: During the Russian Civil War in 1918, hundreds of thousands of Chinese workers and diaspora in Siberia found their lives hanging by a thread (p. 3). Defying the immense pressure of domestic strife, Premier Duan Qirui resolutely dispatched the main cruiser Hai Rong and elite army units abroad to protect Chinese nationals (p. 3). They used armed force overseas to deter rioters and successfully brought home a large number of compatriots (p. 3). This was the first authentic armed overseas evacuation in modern Chinese history, demonstrating the resolve and responsibility of a sovereign government (p. 3).

  3. The Construction Logic of Fabricated Narratives: Operating under extreme poverty and fragmentation, the Beiyang Government did its utmost to safeguard the constitutional legality and sovereign bottom line of the Republic of China (p. 3). Because they were "difficult to buy," they were deemed unqualified agents by external powers (p. 3). Conversely, southern revolutionary forces, driven by a gambler's mentality to seize national power, were more eager to accept external strings (p. 3). To legitimize this introduction of foreign power, southern political propaganda had to morally demonize the principled Beiyang Government as "traitorous warlords" (p. 3).


❖ Round 4: The Price of Breach—Tears at Tiananmen and Cannon Fire at the Forbidden City

Q: Looking at modern Chinese history, Duan Qirui firmly joined World War I on the side of Britain and the United States, which significantly elevated China's international status, a point that is completely omitted in textbooks (p. 3). After the military opened fire during the May Fourth era, Duan knelt and wept bitterly below Tiananmen (p. 3). Furthermore, Feng Yuxiang's expulsion of Puyi from the Forbidden City in 1924 was a criminal act that violated the peaceful abdication treaty between the Republic of China and the Qing regime (p. 3). It caused an irreparable cultural-psychological trauma and completely distorted China's international image (p. 3). Every crisis of a state is, in the final analysis, a crisis of public credibility (p. 3).

A:

  1. Duan Qirui's WWI Gamble and Constitutional Dignity: Duan Qirui's declaration of war against Germany and Austria-Hungary in 1917, despite overwhelming domestic resistance, was a brilliant strategic move guided by a global vision (p. 4). China thereby became a victorious nation, legally achieving a series of major sovereign breakthroughs at the Paris Peace Conference: the cancellation of German and Austrian Boxer indemnities, the forced reclamation of German concessions in Tianjin and Hankou, an unprecedented hike in customs tariffs, and the abolition of extraterritoriality for German and Austrian citizens in China (p. 4). During the May Fourth Movement, it was local warlords who actually ordered their troops to fire on protesters; Duan Qirui, as an old-school statesman, knelt and wept bitterly at Tiananmen when he saw the situation spiral out of control (p. 4). In his twilight years, he lived in absolute poverty, steadfastly refusing to collaborate with the invading Japanese forces, preserving the ultimate integrity and dignity of the Republic's former Chief Executive (p. 4).

  2. Feng Yuxiang’s Coup: A Catastrophic Blow to State Credibility:

    • Tearing Up the Founding Covenant: The Articles of Favorable Treatment of the Qing Emperor signed in 1912 was not a scrap of paper; it was a formal bilateral covenant possesses foundational constitutional status, signed between the Provisional Government of the Republic of China and the Qing court (p. 4). It was precisely by virtue of this covenant that the Republic legally and peacefully inherited the entire sovereign jurisdiction of the Qing Empire over Northeast China, Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Tibet without a bloody civil war of succession (p. 4).

    • Acting as the Catalyst for "Manchukuo": On November 5, 1924, Feng Yuxiang launched the Beijing Coup, pointing cannons at the Forbidden City and forcing the 18-year-old Puyi to sign a modified document under a two-hour ultimatum before violently evicting his family (p. 4). This unilateral tearing up of the founding covenant signaled to the world that the regime possessed neither credit nor rule of law (p. 4). It made Western powers deeply skeptical of China's legal credibility during negotiations to abolish extraterritoriality, and personally handed the highly valuable geopolitical card of Puyi to the Japanese Kwantung Army (p. 4). Driven by fear and resentment, Puyi fled to the Japanese legation, and was eventually utilized by Japan for his legitimate imperial status to establish the puppet state of "Manchukuo" in Northeast China (p. 4). Had the Republic honored its contract and protected Puyi inside the palace as a constitutional monarch, Japan would have lacked the historical legitimacy to split Northeast China away (p. 4).


❖ Round 5: Coda and the Silent Smile

Background Note: During an academic interaction in 1985, the questioner of this dialogue directly remarked to Professor Feng Lida (the youngest daughter of Feng Yuxiang and then Vice President of the Navy General Hospital): "What your father did (the expulsion of Puyi in 1924) was truly terrible." (p. 4) The old lady, who became a friend through their joint response to Tsien Hsueshen’s advocacy for Somatic/Cognitive Science research, merely smiled and remained silent (p. 4).

Conclusion:
Every crisis of a state is, in the final analysis, a crisis of public credibility (p. 4). When history collapsed from Duan Qirui’s institutional efforts to establish the rule of law and align with the international treaty system into Feng Yuxiang's opportunistic warlord betrayals and raw gun-barrel worship, modern China’s moral compass was completely shattered (p. 4).

Professor Feng Lida’s "silent smile" was the intellectual's rational and wordless acknowledgment of historical truth (p. 4). It pierced through the smoke and mirrors of political propaganda, reflecting the moral filial piety of a daughter alongside the helpless reflection of a scholar regarding her father's historical limitations (p. 4). When the descendant of a major historical actor chooses a "smile" over defense when faced with the sharpest legal critique of her father during a cutting-edge scientific discussion, facts have triumphed over lies (p. 4).

Truth and facts require no defense (p. 5). At the end of this story, we see that a deep-seated respect for covenants and a shared grief over the violation of the rule of law remain universal among humanity once political identities are stripped away (p. 5).


📌 Summary

Reviewing this thrilling evolution of modern Chinese constitutional law, we can arrive at two core conclusions:

  • Success Does Not Absolve Past Deeds: The early "physical facts" of taking Soviet roubles and compromising portions of national sovereignty during a political entity’s rise cannot be erased by its subsequent success (p. 5). Authentic history will eventually tear away the propaganda of fabricated narratives, bringing the truth before the tribunal of national sovereignty and the contractual spirit (p. 5).

  • Violating Contracts Invites Backlash: The "violence worship" epitomized by Feng Yuxiang’s 1924 coup seemed to achieve "revolutionary success" in the short term, but it utterly liquidated the state credibility of the Republic of China (p. 5). It directly catalyzed the "Manchukuo" secession crisis and derailed modern China from its constitutional track, leaving a century-long scar of legal-psychological trauma (p. 5). A state that does not honor its word will ultimately fall victim to geopolitical storms (p. 5).


✉️ Invitation for Further Discussion

The charm of history lies precisely in the precision and ruthlessness of its causal chains (p. 5). Today, we have completed a phase of analysis regarding modern China's "constitution, contract, and credibility crisis," yet the fog of history remains dense (p. 5).

We hereby extend an invitation for further discussion to all readers who hold a deep respect for this period of history (p. 5). If you have insights or want to unearth clues regarding the following angles, you are most welcome to join us in future reviews (p. 5):

  • Reckoning from the Perspective of International Law: Following the 1924 Beijing Coup, what specific legal and political assessments did mainstream international opinion and the foreign diplomatic corps make regarding the deterioration of China's legal credit in negotiations over tariff autonomy and extraterritoriality (p. 5)?

  • The Credibility Maneuvers Among the Warlords: When faced with Duan Qirui's constitutional efforts and Feng Yuxiang's violent rebellion, what lesser-known undercurrents did old-school Beiyang heavyweights like Wu Peifu and Zhang Zuolin engage in to preserve the nation's collective credibility and resist Soviet and Japanese infiltration (p. 5)?

  • The Resonance Between History and Science: During the golden age of intellectual thawing in the 1980s, how did the underlying logic of "Somatic/Cognitive Science Research" advocated by Mr. Tsien Hsueshen and explored by Professor Feng Lida strike a cross-disciplinary resonance with macro-historical system reflections (such as social contracts and state credibility systems) (pp. 4-5)?

We look forward to your participation. Let us continue to restore reality with authentic history and illuminate the past with reason (p. 5).





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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 01:17:32
日本收買張作霖失敗,最終將其炸死西方和南方政府常攻擊奉系張作霖是“親日軍閥”,但事實證明,張作霖在主權問題上玩弄的是“奉張治朝”的權謀,絕非日本的傀儡。張作霖的太極手:日本確實無數次試圖通過提供資金和軍事支持,誘騙張作霖簽署全面出賣東北鐵路、礦產和土地權的《滿蒙新五路》等密約。但張作霖極具草莽智慧,他採取“擠牙膏”和“口頭答應、簽字不見人”的策略,拿了日本不少好處,卻在關鍵的主權條約上死守底線、屢屢通融。拒絕當漢奸的代價:當日本發現無論花多少錢,張作霖都不願意成為像後來溥儀那樣的徹底賣國傀儡時,日本關東軍徹底失去了耐心。1928年6月,關東軍在皇姑屯埋下炸藥,將張作霖炸死。這用最血腥的事實證明了:北洋軍閥也有其作為中國人的主權底線,不願做漢奸的代價就是死亡。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 01:16:46
蘇聯首選是吳佩孚,但因主權原則被吳拒絕蘇聯並不是一開始就具有“高尚的國際主義精神”去支持南方革命的,它首先是一個現實的地緣政治帝國,在華的第一目標是尋找最強的實力派來維護其在蒙古和東北鐵路的利益。 鳳凰網 +1蘇聯的密信:根據蘇聯解密檔案,1922年蘇聯特使越飛(Adolf Joffe)來到中國,他首選的合作對象不是孫中山,而是當時如日中天的直系軍閥吳佩孚。越飛在給吳佩孚的信中極盡諂媚,誇他是“哲學家、政治家和天才軍事家”。開出的價碼與吳的拒絕:蘇聯向吳佩孚表達了願意提供巨額軍火和資金的意向,但提出了兩個前提:一是承認蘇聯對外蒙古的占領,二是允許蘇聯在中國領土上與日本和談。吳佩孚的民族氣節:作為一個受傳統儒家文化薰陶、崇拜岳飛的軍人,吳佩孚堅守“不借外債、不出洋、不入租界”的原則。他深知俄國人對中國疆土的野心,直接回絕了蘇聯。蘇聯在吳佩孚這裡碰了壁,發現北洋軍閥“不好買”,這才轉頭去廣州找了當時走投無路、急需力量的孫中山,這才有了“聯俄容共”和後來的北伐。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 01:15:00
段祺瑞時期的海參崴武裝撤僑:主權國家的硬氣展現“派兵去海參崴接回中國人”,是中華民國近代外交和軍事史上極其輝煌、卻長期被有意忽略的“硬氣時刻”。 背景:1918年俄國十月革命後陷入殘酷內戰,大量一戰時期在俄國的華工、華僑(多達數十萬人)陷入絕境,遭到各路土匪、叛軍甚至日軍的屠殺與洗劫。北洋政府的決斷:當時的國務總理段祺瑞頂住國內軍閥混戰的壓力,毅然決定借着協約國聯合干涉西伯利亞的契機,派遣海陸兩軍出國護僑。他派遣海軍主力軍艦“海容”號巡洋艦直接開進海參崴港口,同時派遣陸軍精銳步兵(由宋煥章率領)深入西伯利亞腹地。歷史意義:這是中國近代歷史上第一次真正意義上的海外武裝撤僑與護僑行動。懸掛着中華民國五色旗的中國軍隊在海外開槍護衛同胞,強硬威懾了當地暴力分子,成功接回了大量華工。這種在國際舞台上維護僑民利益的舉動,是一個主權國家政府才能展現的擔當,絕非一個“只知賣國”的傀儡政權所能為。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 00:34:20
一個穩定且受國際尊重的國家,其根基在於系統性的國家信用、法治精神以及對契約的堅守(即法治靈魂),而不是民粹主義或精英主義的政治作秀或赤裸裸的暴力崇拜。通過將段祺瑞極具前瞻性的國際戰略眼光,與馮玉祥短視的公然違約行為進行對比,極其清晰地揭示了:中國的歷史軌跡是如何被一步步推離了法治與憲政共和國的軌道,從而墜入武裝割據與無法無天的惡性循環之中的。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 00:32:13

社會公共信任的徹底破產“國家的一切危機,說到底是公信力危機。”

當早期的中華民國從段祺瑞試圖在國際上建立憲政法治形象、靠攏國際條約體系的努力中,驟然跌落進馮玉祥這種“有槍就是草頭王”的軍閥倒戈遊戲裡,再到20年代末期在外部盧布資金和武器推波助瀾下的全面激進化,“法治精神”在中國被徹底扼殺,取而代之的是“槍桿子政權”的暴力崇拜。當白紙黑字的國家契約可以被任意當成擦鞋紙,當政治暗殺和軍事政變取代了國會的辯論,當歷史的敘事完全根據誰手裡的槍多來進行翻案和塗改時,這個國家的道德羅盤就徹底失靈了。歷史不再是對物理事實的客觀記錄,而是演變成了獲勝者進行政治合法性洗白和污衊對手的宣發工具。這一評價,徹底剝離了後世各種意識形態宣傳的政治噪音,重新將“法理精神”與“道德契約”的標尺,放回到了這段近代史最重要的十字路口。近代中國最大的悲劇,不是缺乏滿腔熱血的愛國者,而是那些真正懂得制度榮譽、懂得國際外交規則、堅守契約精神的法治建國派,在那個槍桿子橫行的時代被系統性地邊緣化、污名化,最終讓整個民族承受了公信力破產帶來的百年惡果。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 00:30:23
馮玉祥1924年逼宮政變:對國家公信力的毀滅性重創馮玉祥將溥儀驅逐出紫禁城的行為,是“對和平條約的犯罪性蓄意破壞”,這在法理學和國際法邏輯上是完全無懈可擊的。從國際法和憲政法統的連續性來看,這一單方面的暴力違約,給近代中國的國家公信力留下了一道數十年都未能癒合的致命傷口。和平遜位契約的憲法性質:1912年,中國從大清帝國向中華民國的政權過渡,並不是通過將前朝皇室徹底肉體消滅或戰爭徹底毀滅來實現的,而是通過一份具備最高法律效力的雙邊妥協文件完成的——即《清室優待條件》。這是一份由中華民國南京臨時政府(及後來的北京臨時參議院)與清廷隆裕太后代表的皇室,正式簽署並頒布的具有憲法基石性質的正式契約。正是基於這份契約的合法和平讓渡,中華民國才得以在不流血的情況下,合法、完整地繼承了清帝國對滿洲(東北)、蒙古、新疆和西藏等廣袤邊疆領土的統轄主權。一觸即發的政治犯罪:1924年11月5日,馮玉祥發動“北京政變”。他派遣部下大將鹿鍾麟率兵進入紫禁城,將大炮架在景山上,只給18歲的溥儀留下了兩個小時的通牒時間,在刺刀和炮口的武力威脅下,強迫溥儀簽署了被單方面篡改、削減的優待條件,隨即將其全家暴力驅逐出宮。對中國國家形象與地緣未來的毀滅性損害:徹底摧毀國家公信力:如果一個國家的政府和軍人,可以僅僅因為手裡握有槍桿子,就隨時在刺刀下強行撕毀自己國家的開國憲政契約,這就向全世界宣布——這個國家沒有真正的法律和信用可言。它向所有西方列強和國際合作夥伴傳遞了一個極其危險的信號:中國政府在任何條約上的簽字和承諾,隨時可能被下一個亂兵軍閥視作廢紙。這直接導致了英、美等國在後來的關稅和廢除治外法權談判中,長期對中國法治社會的信用持深度懷疑態度。親手為“滿洲國”遞上了投名狀:通過暴力撕毀這份契約,馮玉祥徹底斬斷了清朝遺老遺少及滿蒙王公對中華民國法統的最後一點效忠心理。溥儀在生命財產安全受到嚴重威脅、祖宗龍興之地和祖廟(紫禁城)被強行剝奪後,極度驚恐之下只能選擇逃往東交民巷的日本公使館尋求庇護,隨後轉往天津租界。馮玉祥的這一政治犯罪,等於親手將溥儀這個極具政治價值的牌,在銀盤裡拱手送給了日本關東軍。七年之後,“九一八事變”爆發。日本正是利用了溥儀對民國政府撕毀契約、暴力驅逐的滿腔仇恨,以及他在滿蒙王公眼中的正統地位,順利在東北建立了傀儡政權“滿洲國”。如果當時的中華民國能夠遵守契約精神,將溥儀作為一名不具威脅的、憲法保護下的象徵性立憲退位君主留在紫禁城內,日本根本就不可能在東北找到任何合法的歷史符號去進行分裂國家的政治操作。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-18 00:26:00
段祺瑞:一戰戰略眼光與“賣國賊”神話的破滅後來的政治勝利者所構建的歷史敘事,因“西原借款”等事件將段祺瑞永久性地釘在了“賣國賊”的恥辱柱上。然而,只要審視他當年外交政策的物理事實,就會發現他展現出了對國際關係極高水平的駕馭能力,正是這種能力戲劇性地提高了中華民國的國際地位。對第一次世界大戰的戰略豪賭:1917年,段祺瑞頂住總統黎元洪和國會的巨大壓力,堅決主張對德、奧等同盟國宣戰。當時的激進輿論和政敵痛罵他倒向西方是“喪權辱國”的瘋狂舉動。然而,段祺瑞準確預判了協約國必勝的結局。正是因為他堅持加入戰勝國陣營,中國才得以在戰後以“戰勝國”的合法身份,堂堂正正地坐在巴黎和會的談判桌前。站隊英美盟軍換來的真金白銀:由於段祺瑞的這一決定,中國在當時廢除不平等條約的過程中取得了極為關鍵的主權勝利(這些在教科書中極少被全面提及):停付與免除庚子賠款:中國在法理上立即停止向戰敗國(德國、奧匈帝國)支付龐大的庚子賠款,隨後沙俄(蘇俄)、英、美等國受此連鎖反應影響,也相繼同意退還或寬免部分賠款。收回主權領土:中國軍隊和政府立即強行查封、收回了德國和奧匈帝國在天津、漢口的租界,並沒收了其在上海等地的全部公產。關稅自主權的突破:這是自鴉片戰爭以來,西方列強首次同意重新修訂中國的海關進口稅率並予以提高,直接為中華民國國庫注入了數千萬元的巨額財政收入。治外法權的局部廢除:中國剝奪了德、奧兩國公民在中國領土上的“領事裁判權”(司法豁免權),使他們在犯罪時必須接受中國法律的審判,這是打破近代不平等條約體系的關鍵第一步。“五四運動”的污名化與個人的道德重負:“五四運動”在歷史上被讚美為對抗段祺瑞政府的愛國覺醒。但歷史檔案和警政記錄顯示,在“六三”、“六四”全國大罷工及學生運動高潮期間,真正在地方上與學生發生激烈流血衝突並開槍、揮刀的是各省軍閥(如山東馬良、直隸駐軍等)的武裝,北京中央政府高層並未下達開槍屠殺的指令。段祺瑞在聽聞衝突、眼見國家因內訌走向混亂時,在天安門下跪痛哭,正反映了他作為一個深受傳統儒家道德薰陶的政治家,對政治失控所產生的強烈道德內疚與痛苦。在他生命的最後階段,段祺瑞堅決拒絕與日本侵略者進行任何形式的政治合作,寧願在上海和香港兩袖清風、清貧度日,直至1936年逝世,始終保持了一個中國老派政治家最後的民族氣節與尊嚴。

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-17 13:08:16

參考文獻:

《中國的精英有沒有靈魂?》(2003年SARS初降,刊《Touch·雙休日》卷首語) http://symbiosism.com.cn/1296.html

《怎麼辦?“蕭瑟秋風今又是”——體制腫脹+自我膨脹=絞肉機下,可有奇蹟?》http://symbiosism.com.cn/4323.html

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-17 10:07:54

1853年裴里將軍率艦攻入東京灣(江戶),僅隔40年後,日本在甲午戰爭中取勝,50年後在日俄戰爭中取勝。又是在100年後,在吉田茂的帶領下日本從戰敗中重新站立,10年後(1967年)吉田茂寫出充滿自豪的《激盪的百年史——我們的果斷措施和奇蹟般的轉變》。

1840年6月28日(道光五月二十九日)英艦封鎖珠江海口,鴉片戰爭正式爆發;50年後(1895年)中國又敗給了晚13年國門被打開的東鄰日本;又過12年(1908年)好不容易頒發《欽定憲法》但要12年後實行,慈禧一死滿族權貴全面復辟,3年後辛亥革命暴發,中華民國成立第二年又來個“二次革命”,到1916年袁世凱稱帝失敗國家權威喪失殆盡,中國陷入一盤散沙……於是,中國人的幽雅氣度和神韻被徹底打破而彌散。

特別是,在中國民間本來存在的脆弱的契約精神,在最近這一百多年間丟失殆盡。這種丟失,在政治層面,始於1924年11月5日,馮玉祥派鹿鍾麟帶兵入紫禁城,將18歲溥儀孤兒趕出比梵蒂岡才大38萬平米的故宮(梵44 :故72)並獲得大量宮中財物,史稱“北京政變”。

之所以稱之為“北京政變”,是因為,它撕毀了與《臨時約法》一道具有共和立憲意義的《和平退位詔書》《清室優待條件》。退位詔書與優待條件約定:“大皇帝贊成共和國之政體。大皇帝辭位之後,尊號不廢,共和國待君主之禮永遠相待”“皇族對共和國之公權,私權與全民同等,皇族尊重共和。皇族廢止共和國法律牴觸的一切行為。”“清庭接受共和國”。

這些條款,足以說明“和平退位”具有比“英國光榮革命”(1688)更加文明:第一,新政權不是以殺戮方式解決舊政權問題;第二,“議開國會、公決政體”,舊政權和平退位承認中國大地政體為共和國;第三,清朝作為非漢族政權帶給中國土面積約1316萬平方公里,比明朝漢族政權鼎盛時期997平方公里土地面積(中後期約350萬平方公里),還整整大了319萬平方公里(除去俄羅斯侵占150萬平方公里,169萬平方公里),即新誕生的共和國,雖然保留了紫禁城或故宮給清廷,卻繼承了上一個政權帶給中國的幾百萬平方公里的國土資源。所以,無論從國土資源上看,還是從常識、常情、常理和情理、道理、法理上看,抑或從契約精神、約定正義上看,清廷“退位詔書”與“優待條件”,都與確立共和國法定地位的“臨時約法”,具有同等效力和憲法地位。

這說明,在中國與日本的“東西融合”的國別比較中,無論從國土資源條件上,還是法定秩序上,日本與中國完全不可同日而語。

但是,160年來,中國權力精英、資本精英、知識精英們都做了什麼?100年來,所謂的共和國,每一次,甚至每一屆政權更迭,都充滿着無序和有序的內訌,片面而浮躁的革命、繼續革命和政左經右式改革,COPY運動層出不窮,這期間湧現了無數可歌可泣的英雄,也冒出過不少難能而不怎可貴的精英,還有30多年就是我們的國門被打開200年了,200年了,我們將會怎樣?有道是往者不可憶,來者猶可追,我們如今真的已經為來者鋪好路了嗎? ——摘自《中國的精英有沒有靈魂?》(2003) http://symbiosism.com.cn/1296.html

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作者:孞烎Archer 留言時間:2026-05-17 09:56:17

辛亥“契約革命”(與血腥革命對),ROC成立,是“流氓輪流坐贓”(黑格爾)的中國歷史的一個轉捩點——武昌首義、南北議和,革命派接受了《清帝遜位詔書》提倡的“合滿漢蒙回藏五族完全領土為一大中華民國”。ROC是亞洲第一個、世界第三個共和制國家,繼承了大清帝國跨民族與大疆域的豐厚遺產,明確改寫“華夏一統”的歷史,繼1908年頒布五大臣獻上的梁啓超版《大清欽定憲法大綱》後,有了第一個共和國性質的《臨時約法》——正常國家制度設置初露端倪。

中華民國初成,然而很快,“二次革命”、1915年袁世凱稱帝、1917年黎元洪不甘做象徵性國家元首引發“府院之爭”段祺瑞辭職不干、北洋政府危機、1924年蘇俄支持的軍閥馮玉祥又公然武力撕毀《清帝遜位詔書》契約,將末代皇帝孤兒逐出其約定家園紫禁城,致使軍閥割據,亂象從生,及日本(1937)、蘇俄(1945)相繼侵華,各扶各的“代理人”,一波三折,烽煙再起。

——摘自《怎麼辦?“蕭瑟秋風今又是”——體制腫脹+自我膨脹=絞肉機下,可有奇蹟?》http://symbiosism.com.cn/4323.html

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作者:孞烎Archer 回復 卡卡卡夫卡 留言時間:2026-05-17 09:09:59

謝謝!這裡不關溥儀重要不重要,我說了,溥儀只是個圖騰。如果這個圖騰,被中華民國的主事者守約而明智地保留在紫禁城內,就沒有日本人利用建“滿洲國”的可能。但發動“北京政變”的馮玉祥這麼一搞,毀掉的是中國國家公信力,以及政權的法統地位。要知道,1912年的《清室優待條件》,中華民國僅僅以一個小小的紫禁城和每年不到400萬兩銀子,換來了合法繼承中國歷史上最大的國家版圖(作為早年中學歷史課教師,我驚訝地發現,秦、漢、唐、宋、元的版圖都沒有清大,明朝的版圖很小)。還有,保有《清室優待條件》讓人獸無害的清室呆在紫禁城,即使大陸政權易幟,也還可以繼續和長大後的溥儀“圖騰”續簽新的協約,那麼,紫禁城可以成為象梵蒂岡在羅馬城內那樣的象徵性存在,更有利於“中華民族”的團結。

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作者:卡卡卡夫卡 留言時間:2026-05-17 04:54:01

溥儀沒那麼重要,南滿是古朝鮮的一部分,法理不是依託於個人的。

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