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占领华尔街运动将向何处去? 2011-10-16 11:20:40

 

看到这个周末一个月前从美国爆发的占领华尔街运动已经席卷了全球,不仅在美国各地,在欧洲各个主要城市也引发了大规模的游行集会的一系列新闻报道,让我想起60年代在美国那影响了一代人,最后导致美国从越南撤军的反战大游行。

 

呼喊着我们代表99华尔街需为一切危机负责将金钱踢出选举要工作,不要战争重塑美国等口号,目标直指华尔街毫无节制的贪婪、美国政府不负责任的放纵,以及民生维艰的萧条现状。示威者将不满的怒火喷向深陷贫富悬殊、金权交易、党派恶斗、战争泥淖的美国政治经济制度和社会体系。表达着他们要求“改变美国不公平不合理的政治经济制度”这一明确的政治诉求。

 

不过,看到在一些城市的示威游行引发的纵火,抢劫,暴乱,也让人深思,这场运动将向何处去,最终会达到什么样的后果?

 

有人说这只是一些乌合之众的小打小闹,成不了气候?我倒不这么看。

 

从这场运动的影响范围越来越广,参与人数越来越多;从前两天很多共和党候选人对这场运动的贬低和攻击,到这两天的纷纷改口;从纽约市被迫收回周五对占领华尔街运动的清场令,到麻省州长去探望这些抗议者;从美国将在今年12 31日从伊拉克彻底撤军。。。我看到了这场运动的潜在威力,我看到了它对美国大选,对政府及两党政策的可能影响。。。

 

当然,如何掌握火候,控制这场运动的方向,让它不仅仅是一个泄怒的场所,不只是为了在媒体前露露噱头,不让它被少数人操纵变成一场暴乱,而是把它成为一场和平,持久,觉有影响力的运动,让更多的人参与进来,也是对这场运动发起者和组织者的挑战。

 

今天旧金山记事报有一篇文章“How Occupy can survive winter of discontent,对运动的发起者和组织者提出了以下一些建议。

 

  1. Sustaining a movement
  2. Leadership first
  3. Message clarity
  4. Call to action

 

我想如果这场运动的发起和组织者真能做到以上几点,有明确的领导和组织结构,有统一的目标和行动纲领,这场轰轰烈烈的民主运动就能在大选之年,为早日结束战争,减少金权交易,党派恶斗,贫富差距,为改变美国不公平不合理的政治经济制度发挥一定的作用。

How Occupy can survive winter of discontent

By: Kathleen Pender, Chronicle Columnist

If the protesters occupying Wall Street and other locales want to achieve something beyond media attention, they might take some advice from America's branding and marketing gurus.

I know that's asking a lot from a movement inspired by the anticapitalist, anticonsumerist magazine Adbusters. It's like asking a teenager to get fashion tips from her mother.

But the principles of marketing are the same "if you are trying to sell Coca-Cola or a new idea," says Russ Meyer, chief strategy officer with branding firm Landor Associates.

Meyer and other experts say the movement needs strong, credible leadership and a simple, clear message that motivates people to take action.

"Organizations that are powerful and effective, like Greenpeace, are very good at messaging, clarity, being relevant and different," Meyer says.

Neither brands nor social movements are built overnight, and this one is "very, very young," says Sarah Soule, a professor of organizational behavior at Stanford University. "I think that anyone would be hard-pressed four weeks into the civil rights movement to have said then which goals of that movement would succeed."

But with winter approaching, there is some urgency.

"Any corporate brand stands for something, whereas they don't stand for anything specific. In two, four, five weeks when it gets really cold, if they don't have a reason for being, even the most ardent people are going to go home," says Miro Copic, a professor with San Diego State University who also runs BottomLine Marketing. "What could be a powerful movement" could be squandered.

Occupiers at various times and places have demanded an end to corporate bailouts, wars, animal testing and lobbying. They have called for student-loan and mortgage forgiveness, single-payer health care, higher taxes on millionaires and corporations, and higher wages for the middle class. They want banks out of the brokerage business and Wall Street criminals in jail.

Sustaining a movement

While this come-one-come-all attitude has helped the movement to grow, it won't help it survive.

"Every brand needs to do two things," says Peter Sealey, adjunct professor at the Peter Drucker School of Management at Claremont Graduate University and former chief marketing officer for Coke.

One is to create awareness. Sealey gives Occupy Wall Street an A-plus on this test.

The other is to articulate a promise or benefit. At Coke the promise was "delicious and refreshing," he says. Sealey says the protesters fail this test. "They don't know what they want to do. It's a boiling cauldron of dissent."

The group needs "an organizational structure, a leader, an ability to say here are all the issues on our agenda, let's start with these two."

Having no focus "results in more people joining the mob. It also results in more disharmony," he says.

The Tea Party was successful because "it had one promise - lower taxes and smaller government. If you agreed with that, you could join," Sealey says.

Leadership first

Silicon Valley marketing pioneer Regis McKenna says the group needs to first identify leaders who can set goals and then deliver a simple message or find someone credible who can. "The biggest thing you need when you are a new movement is credibility," he says.

The leaders do not have to be famous, although "the shortcut is to get someone who is known," he adds.

Many celebrities - including rapper Kanye West, documentary filmmaker Michael Moore, comedian Roseanne Barr, and actors Susan Sarandon and Mark Ruffalo - have shown up at protests.

But Copic says celebrities can be polarizing. He would not make one the face of the movement "unless you could get someone like Tom Hanks," who has one of the highest Q Scores (which measures likeability) of any star.

"They need a person from within to be the spokesman," Copic says. This person should be "empathetic, articulate, and come across as an ordinary person."

Message clarity

Although it's up to leaders to develop a message, experts say some ideas show promise.

"Great brands can be summed up in three or four words," Meyer says. He sees potential in "We are the 99 percent," because it focuses the discussion on the income gap and how it has been growing. "I'm seeing 'I am the 99 percent' a lot on Facebook and other social networks. I think there is something there," he says.

Copic says the group's message could be "the American dream is dead," followed by a few facts to support it.

This sums up the protesters' key points: Wages are low, the median income is down, millions can't find work. On the other side, companies are reporting record profits, CEOs are making several hundred times the wages of the lowest-paid employee, companies are holding billions of dollars offshore instead of creating jobs here, and all these banks got bailouts and are doing nothing with it.

"We used to be the land of opportunity. Our opportunity is dying. It's kind of like that song 'American Pie,' " he says.

Call to action

Finally, leaders need to tell supporters how they can help. Should they write their congressman? Boycott a bank? Donate money?

"Frustration without an outlet tends to peter out at a certain point," Copic says.

I asked Phil Radford, executive director of Greenpeace, how he gets supporters to act. He says when Greenpeace runs a campaign, "we ask where is the individual we want to target, what do we want, what message influences them."

Radford says that movements are different from campaigns. Social change is "often nonlinear. Sometimes people just stand up. It's not exactly how you would plan a PR campaign."

The student movement in the 1960s didn't have a leader for a long time, he says, even though the media kept asking, "Where is your leader, and what is your one demand?"

Another TiVo?

Radford says Occupy Wall Street "should evolve naturally, and the many leaders on the streets will bring more clarity to it over time."

Copic fears if it takes too long, it could turn out like TiVo. Like many tech companies (except Apple), it had a superb product but didn't know how to market it.

"Nobody knew how to describe it. If you asked early adopters why it was cool, you might get four different answers," he says. TiVo itself struggled to define it. "Their initial ad campaign was 'Program your own network.' "

Even though its product is superior to other digital video recorders and its name is used generically, it has a small share of the DVR market.

"It was a huge missed opportunity," he says.

Soule advises the group to "leverage their connection to organized labor" because "unions are highly organized and know how to launch sustained movements and articulate clear goals."



Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/10/15/BUQP1LHHAQ.DTL&ao=2#ixzz1ay9fI3wX

 



 

 

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作者:星光 留言时间:2011-10-18 08:15:32
kcho1348,同意你的那些感受,握手!
回复 | 0
作者:星光 留言时间:2011-10-18 08:14:05
华人讲得有理。这场运动不管最后结局如何,已经让人们认识到资本社会的种种弊端,而要探究改革之路。这洒下的星星之火,必会燎原。。。
回复 | 0
作者:星光 留言时间:2011-10-18 07:31:01
秋念11,知道你说的这一系列棘手问题并不好解决,但在民意的逼迫下,让政客和华尔街们收敛一些,改变一些,并不是件坏事。
回复 | 0
作者:星光 留言时间:2011-10-18 07:27:45
西岸说得有理,如果能影响到大选结果,那也算是有很大威力了。
回复 | 0
作者:星光 留言时间:2011-10-18 07:25:56
老-穆

别忘了,参加这一运动的有些是经历过六十年代反战的老运动员。。。
回复 | 0
作者:kcho1348 留言时间:2011-10-17 08:40:09
I did not understand why Obama gave hundreds of billions to the banks when they lost money due to the bubble they created by using offshore shell companies they created.
It is a crime to sell CDO, ABS, MBS, from one offshore company to another offshore company and these companies were created by themselves, it is a fraud.
When Obama gave them hundreds of billions taxpayers money to bail them out, they continue to pay themselves hundred of billions bonus.
Now, I know; the reason is very simple, they donate money to politicians to get them elected, and it is a pay back to donors.
Obama also gave hundreds of billions to Unions, such as General Motor, teachers unions, etc… that is why General Motor is 70% owned by U.S. government, that is why the president of AFL-CIO union said few weeks ago during Obama visited to Detroit, Jimmy Hoffa said that union are the foot soldiers, they are going to vote.
According to Forbes: Labor cost per hour, wages and benefits for hourly workers, 2006:
Ford: $70.51 ($141,020 per year); GM: $73.26 ($146,520 per year); Chrysler: $75.86 ($151,720 per year).
Now, I know, Obama gave taxpayer’s money to Unions, so he can get the vote.
When Obama announced his candidacy in front of Springfield Illinois, the same place Abraham Lincoln announced his presidential candidacy. I was so impressed and I worked very hard to elect Obama.
Now, I think Obama is another bullshxt artist. Not a statesman, without vision, he is destroying U.S.A.
Let’s look the top 1% closely; they are politicians, CEO with millions dollars bonus, union bosses, investment bankers, Wall Street hedge fund managers. Do they really deserve it?
According the Small Business Administration, only 2% of the Population owns all the businesses that employ other 98%. Most of the small business owners are having a hard time….
As a small business owner myself, I think very few small business owners belongs to the top 1%. You can not believe the bureaucracy in the state of California, lots of paperwork and forms to fill, shortly after that paperwork, the Franchise Tax Board sent more forms, asking how many people do you hired, how much sales, pages after pages, and all sorts of regulations, inspections, permits, licenses from Federal, State, County, and City government.
That is why we have this ‘occupy wall street’ movement….
What the hell is this?
What a sad joke!!!
回复 | 0
作者:华山 留言时间:2011-10-17 05:02:37
博主讲的几条像 Leadership first, Message clarity,Call to action 都是用于 Sustaining a movement 的。

我与楼上两位观点相同,即这场运动的前途是悲观的,它不像以往成功的运动,其诉求只涉及某一具体可操作的层次,譬如从越南撤军,尽管很没面子,但不伤筋动骨。而此次的目标直抵资本主义核心---资本利益,这是资本,政府生存的底线,决不会看到任何妥协和改良。

其余二条也是运动不能持续的因素:一是失业率是白人两倍的黑人兄弟们没有有组织的行动,这对警察构不成有效的威胁。拿了一倍半加班费的警员们更加兢兢业业地维稳,运动不会失控。当然这归根到底是奥巴马形象工程的功劳。还有一条是天气:纽约夜间气温已到10度以下,风力增强。这不是64季节。一场提前到达的风雪也能清场,双方都有台阶下,骨子里偷着笑的是华尔街。

但是如果美国华尔街的贪婪不改变,政府庇护华尔街的政策不改变,也就是说资本制度不改变,贫困不解决,我们会看到茉莉花还会盛开,因为毕竟,通过这次启蒙,人们已经看到了问题背后的实质。
回复 | 0
作者:秋念11 留言时间:2011-10-16 23:17:13
当然,资本是贪婪的,但是资本贪婪几百年了。。。里根时代,人民富裕的把几百美元西装10美元就YARDSALE掉,资本就不贪婪了?问题是全球化没法和穷国竞争了。。。农民工进了城,抢了饭碗。。。美国不好不错,中国欢迎你,你来吗?你现在赚10美元嫌少,中国恐怕只有5元。。。

不劳而获习惯了。。。希腊人怎么不占领了?因为破产在先不好意思,所以西方必须抢时间了。。。

无论共和党,民主党,还是占领党,都在瞎闹。。。回避好逸恶劳的根本问题,就是文化问题。。。你丫借20万读书,现在没工作。。。这和炒房最后一棒其实易回事。。。前面人赚了,你最后一棒。。。你炒房失败,找政府。。。
回复 | 0
作者:老-穆 留言时间:2011-10-16 22:55:41
上一次呢,是把私人的债,转到了公家的头上,这次呢,咱们看看还能把债转向哪儿。

哈哈哈!
回复 | 0
作者:西岸 留言时间:2011-10-16 21:28:20
这个运动是不可能有任何直接结果的,因为方式不符合美国的民主程序,因此不会被认为是民主政府需要认真对待的。
可以出现的结果是对下届大选和换届选举的影响,类似茶党运动,在上届换届前的结果也是影响选举。
如果这个运动坚持到明年大选,最低限度会增加年轻人的投票率,那么民主党就会赢,因为美国年轻人主体是自由派,认同民主党大政府理念。08上届能赢得轻松,就是因为投票率达到了美国历史最高,70%,就是从来不投票的年轻人很多出来投票了,相对而言占选民不到四分之一的共和党就是绝对少数了。
这也是为什么共和党尽一切可能ridicule这个运动的原因。尽管抗议的人也不满意08,但原因不同,是恨08没有勇气下狠手。
回复 | 0
作者:老-穆 留言时间:2011-10-16 19:08:50
等到“former chief marketing officer for Coke”,“Silicon Valley marketing pioneer”,“chief strategy officer with branding firm Landor Associates” 等市场部专家出来教民众如何 “sustain a movement” 的时候,你就知道这个 movement 是不会有希望的。

为啥?

因为你的对手在教你跟他交手的技巧,你还会赢吗?这就和中宣部在传授民运技巧同样滑稽。

这才是民主愚民被当场洗脑的闹剧啊。

哈哈哈哈!
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· 橙色的世界,欢乐的海洋!
· 让人感叹的老朋友!
· 办公室小记-- 减压
· 都市的狂欢,快乐的海洋!
存档目录
2021-04-13 - 2021-04-13
2019-02-07 - 2019-02-20
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2016-11-24 - 2016-11-24
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2013-12-07 - 2013-12-07
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2010-12-02 - 2010-12-12
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2010-10-10 - 2010-10-24
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2008-08-09 - 2008-08-27
2008-07-01 - 2008-07-31
2008-06-04 - 2008-06-29
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2007-02-01 - 2007-02-24
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2006-12-08 - 2006-12-29
2006-11-01 - 2006-11-20
2006-10-26 - 2006-10-31
 
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