朱令案的答案可能是在吳今案里

最近，朱令案因為受害者的過世又引發了一場網絡爭論。這個未解的謎案，必定會成為中共司法黑暗的典型案例載入史冊，也會成為後人茶餘飯後談論的話題。

到目前為止，絕大多數人都認為朱令案是一個孤立的案件。因此大家在尋找兇手時，都把注意力集中在朱令周圍的人。大家都在分析朱令和她周圍的人之間的恩恩怨怨。在這樣的思維邏輯下面，她同寢室的孫維就自然而然地成為了一個唯一重大的嫌疑人。再加上孫維不同於一般人的高層背景，孫維的嫌疑越來越大。我覺得，如果朱令案真得只是一個孤立的案件。懷疑孫維的邏輯是成立的，雖然並不是很強烈。我之所以說懷疑孫維的邏輯雖然是成立的，但並不是很強烈，主要是因為孫維作案的動機比較弱。懷疑孫維的人提出的理由就是“嫉妒朱令的音樂天才”。這個理由當然也有可能，但我真得不理解一個人何必這樣呢？如果一個女人為一個男人爭風吃醋而殺另一個女人，倒是很有可能。但因為“嫉妒朱令的音樂天才”而殺人，常識告訴我這樣的人肯定愚蠢透頂！孫維是這樣的人嗎？本人不認識她，當然無法肯定，也無法否定！

雖然孫維因為“嫉妒朱令”而故意殺人的可能性在我看來很小，但是因為無知而惡作劇的可能性卻很大！朱令因為孤傲，與室友還有同班同學的關係好像不是很好，孫維有可能只是想懲罰她而已。可能孫維開始時並不清楚鉈的毒性，以為只會造成有限的傷害。跟朱令合不來的還有其她人。所以，孫維也有可能跟其她人合夥，目的只是惡作劇，讓朱令難受一下而已。這樣的事情，在學生之間其實經常發生，沒有什麽奇怪的。動機並不是謀殺，而是惡作劇。只是她們沒想到，後果會這麼嚴重！

因此，如果作案者真是孫維，作案的動機，更大的可能性應該是惡作劇，而不是目前大多數人認為的“嫉妒朱令的音樂天才”。

以上這些結論，是基於一種假設。假設朱令案只是一個孤立的案件，跟其它案件無關。

但是，當我更多地了解朱令的姐姐，吳今，死得不明不白時，不得不讓我把朱令案和她姐姐的死聯繫在一起了！常識告訴我們，一個家庭裡面的兩姐妹，都死於非命，這本身就是一件非同尋常的事情。再加上吳今之死，充滿了不少難以解釋的不解之謎，更加重了兩案之間的聯繫！如果吳今之死是個明明白白的事故。例如有目擊證人看見了事故發生的過程，一切都合乎邏輯，可以解釋的通，我的確沒有理由把兩案聯繫起來。但事實是，吳今案的疑點有很多。妹妹被人放毒了，姐姐的死又充滿了不解之謎，非要說兩者之間肯定沒有關聯，那才是不負責任的邏輯！在偵辦案件的時候，涉案人的直系親屬，肯定可以提供有價值的線索。更何況其姐姐死得那麼蹊蹺!

吳今之死的大概過程網上有很多，大家可以看這篇和這裡。

人們對吳今之死的主要疑點歸納起來有下面幾點：

1.遺體上沒有明顯血跡。墜崖身亡應該有很多外傷，怎麼會沒有血跡？
2.遺體被發現時，吳今身上的衣服相當整潔。不象是滾落的樣子。
3.遺體被發現時，她的手沒有抓握東西而受傷的痕跡。按理說，失足墜崖的人在慌亂之中應該會亂抓東西。
4.遺體是1989年4月4日發現的。但在前一天，也就是4月3日，吳今父母，還有她的一些同學們已經在那一帶地方找過了，都沒有發現。第二天就突然出現了。奇怪嗎？
5.吳今的個人用品和行李，並沒有在事發現場找到。如果那真是一場失足墜崖的事故，人出事了，但隨身攜帶的行李物品怎麼會不翼而飛了？


因為這些疑點，人們就懷疑吳今遺體所發現的地方到底是不是事發的第一現場？遺體是不是被移動過？

其實，還有另外一個細節更加耐人尋味！

吳今和她的同學們計劃周末（1989年4月1日和2日兩天）去北京郊外野遊。吳今在出發的前一天，也就是周五，3月31日，她把一份英文班的英文作業交給一位同學。吳今交代她的同學說，如果周一上課（周一8：00AM的課）的時候她沒來，就請這位同學幫她交了這份作業。這個細節非常重要。請大家記住！

4月2日，他們遊玩結束後準備回京。當時有兩班回京的班車。早上10點和下午某個時候（我不知道具體時間）。吳今是準備乘坐10點的班車回京的。但因為時間還早，她告訴同學們想自己獨自離開去看一個風景，結果這一去就是永別！

這裡有一個非常重要的疑問。這種郊遊都是計劃好了。大家周六去，周日就回來，吳今為什麽會擔心周一來不及上課？還特意把作業托給同學代交？

這說明了一個問題。吳今早在郊遊出發前，也就是周五的時候，就預感到她有可能周日回不來。所以，她有可能周一早上來不及上英文課。

那麼，接下去的一個問題就是為什麽她有這樣的預感？

對這個問題合乎邏輯的解釋就應該是，周日那一天，她還有其它活動！她還有其他同學們都不知道的活動。也可以說是她自己的秘密活動！只有這個解釋才可以解釋清楚她為何會在周五那一天把作業交給她的同學代繳！

那麼，她那一天的秘密活動會是什麽呢？僅僅是去看風景嗎？肯定不是。如果真得只是去看風景，她完全來得及回京，根本就無需擔心周一來不及上課！

唯一的解釋是，她的秘密活動是去見人，去參加某種人的活動。她告訴同學們去看風景只是藉口。因為這活動不知道何時結束。所以她才有來不及周一早上英語班的預感和擔心！

除了這種解釋之外，還有其它解釋嗎？我希望有人能夠講出第二種可能性！

接下去就是更加重要，也是致命的問題。吳今那天想去秘密會面的是什麽人？早就有傳聞說，她落入了京城裡紅二代們的圈套了。那麼吳今那天想去秘密會面的會不會是那些紅二代們？

因此，吳今之死，背後很可能有那些紅二代們的影子！吳今，一位風華正茂的北大才女，很自然會成為京城那些紈絝子弟們的獵殺對象。

如果這些推理都沒有問題，吳今之死背後的不合理和怪異現象，作為妹妹的朱令會一點感受都沒有嗎？姐妹倆感情很好，對於親姐姐的突然過世，朱令的心裡肯定會無數次地問為什麽？因此，朱令十有八九也會感受到姐姐死亡背後的不尋常之處。因此朱令應該多多少少知道了一些姐姐死亡背後的真相。這可能才是她招來殺身之禍的根本原因！殺人滅口，才可以激發真正的兇手挺而走險。朱令並不需要採取具體的行動去調查她姐姐的死因。只要朱令知道了一些真相就會讓兇手寢食難安，就足以逼迫兇手鋌而走險。因此，我的感覺是，朱令案背後真正的兇手，可能也是吳今案背後的兇手。朱令案的答案可能就在吳今案里！

當然，這也只是一種可能性。因此，現在我們有三種可能性：

1.孫維因為“嫉妒朱令的音樂天才”而起殺心。
2.孫維們因為討厭朱令而對她惡作劇導致朱令身殘。
3.吳今的兇手因為害怕朱令知道了一些她姐姐的死亡真相而殺人滅口。

本文純粹是從邏輯角度去分析最有可能的兇手。沒有任何具體的實物證據。純粹從作案動機這個角度去看，哪一種可能性最大?哪一種情況才可以激發兇手去鋌而走險？

在我看來，答案是第三種：殺人滅口！如果真是這樣，今天大家所看到了有關朱令案的很多東西，很可能都是背後的真正的兇手故意放出來的煙霧彈。朱令案的真正的兇手很可能是藏在吳今案里！

============================================================
附件：

下面這篇英文，就是吳今委託她的同學交的英文作業。題目是“To be or not to be".她在這篇作文里談了很多生命的意義和死亡的意義。她寫到了死亡(die)，悲劇(tragedy)，鬥爭(fight)，投降(surrender)....,三天后她就出事了，這是巧合嗎？感覺起來，這不應該是一個大二女生可以體驗到的東西。她怎麼會有這些感受？

從吳今這篇作文里可以感受到。吳今雖然只是大二學生，其生活體驗其實是挺有深度的。這是不是因為她跟那些紅二代們交往密切的緣故？


--------------------------------------------
To be or Not to be

--------The meaning of life, the meaning of death

 

Every one who knows Shakespere must know his most well-known tragedy:

Hamlet and that famous line: To be or not to be, that's a question. As

for Hamlet, to be or not to be is quite a dilemma: he was doomed to be

a tragedy, whether to live or to die. Perhaps everyone will confront

the similar choice to Hamlet in his life sooner or later. To survive

or to die, to fight or to surrender, to win or to lose. He must make

the decision himself. Fortunately, I haven't come to that crucial

point yet. Up till now, my life is like a smooth sailing. Sometimes I

ask myself: do I find the real meaning of life and death? Though I am

going to be a biologist, I have no definite answer to that. But still

I believe that I did find something in life.

 

 

When I ramble along in the peaceful field, hearing the twittering of

birds, drifting in the fragrance of wild flowers, I will always praise

the beauty of life and feel really happy that I'm still alive. When I

learned the mysterious nature and the evolution of life, I was filled

with admiration by the greatness of nature. Life is a bestowing of

nature, we have no right to smother, it's a part of universe.

I remember one day, when I felt so frustrated by those misfortunes in

life, it seemed that I had done everything wrong and there was no

remedy at all. I left home, wandering along the street, feeling sad

and hopeless. It was then when I caught sight of the sunset. The sun

was like a huge burning ball, flaring and shinning, it was so glorious

and so brilliant. Soon the whole sky was flaming, the sun gathered its

last energy burning thoroughly, like the solemn end of a tragedy. It

sunk slowly under the horizon, soon darkness fell around me. I stood

there unawaring of where I was. Tears ran down my face. A voice cried

out in my heart: "I will wait, till the sun rises again, till the

first sunshine on my shoulder." Perhaps that's the meaning of life.

Everyone has his own sun and his own dream, and everyone has own

brilliant moment when his sun shines gloriously. We'll struggle and

suffer in order to reach that brilliant moment. Nothing can stop us,

no matter how hard, no matter how many times we fail. That dream,

deeply rooted in our heart, is worthy of devoting our whole life to.

All of us want to see the sun shines again and want to catch that

glorious moment to appreciate the real beauty of life.

 

 

Life is like a long river, it will end someday and somehow. No one can

escape from that eternal end, when that day comes, we'll say goodby to

this colored world. A man's life is a man's song. Whether it's sad or

happy, fierce or quiet, it's his own song. A song written in his own

way with his soul, with his life. A man lived, did what he should do,

found what he want, fulfilled his dream. He then died calmly. Because

he knew that there was nothing to regret. He had seen evil and good,

ugly and beautiful. Now it was all over, it was time for his play to

close and gave the stage to newcomer. His song was going to end, but

it would never diminish, it would become a tiny part of the chorus of

the universe, and that will sing forever. Another man lived, struggled,

but never reached his dream, for him, life was a perpetual nightmare,

then he saw the twilight, they glimmered far in the distance, though

he had no time and he would never got there, his heart was quiet, for

he knew he had tried his best. His song might only be a faint cry but

he knew it was just the prelude to the grand movement of that chorus.

He died happily, hearing the song were sung continue.

The world is beautiful, because of warm sunshine and also because of

its rain and storm. Only a man who has been drenched with tears can

understand the real meaning of happy. Once a famous writer said in one

of his novel: there is no real happy in life, but just one situation

compared with another. The whole meaning of life lies in two words

"hope and wait".

 

 

To be or not to be, it's all depends on a man's own attitude to life,

on whether he appreciates the morning sunshine, whether he want to

explore the beauty of nature. If the thunderstorms come, it all

depends on whether he still firmly believes that the sun will rise

again. Yes, the sun is going to shine, and it will shine even more

brilliant. Do not cry, just wait and hope and fight.

Life and death and the sunshine make the world. As they go round

generation by generation, day by day, the world go round. Let's sing

out our own song lauding life, lauding world.