朱令案的答案可能是在吴今案里

最近，朱令案因为受害者的过世又引发了一场网络争论。这个未解的谜案，必定会成为中共司法黑暗的典型案例载入史册，也会成为后人茶余饭后谈论的话题。

到目前为止，绝大多数人都认为朱令案是一个孤立的案件。因此大家在寻找凶手时，都把注意力集中在朱令周围的人。大家都在分析朱令和她周围的人之间的恩恩怨怨。在这样的思维逻辑下面，她同寝室的孙维就自然而然地成为了一个唯一重大的嫌疑人。再加上孙维不同于一般人的高层背景，孙维的嫌疑越来越大。我觉得，如果朱令案真得只是一个孤立的案件。怀疑孙维的逻辑是成立的，虽然并不是很强烈。我之所以说怀疑孙维的逻辑虽然是成立的，但并不是很强烈，主要是因为孙维作案的动机比较弱。怀疑孙维的人提出的理由就是“嫉妒朱令的音乐天才”。这个理由当然也有可能，但我真得不理解一个人何必这样呢？如果一个女人为一个男人争风吃醋而杀另一个女人，倒是很有可能。但因为“嫉妒朱令的音乐天才”而杀人，常识告诉我这样的人肯定愚蠢透顶！孙维是这样的人吗？本人不认识她，当然无法肯定，也无法否定！

虽然孙维因为“嫉妒朱令”而故意杀人的可能性在我看来很小，但是因为无知而恶作劇的可能性却很大！朱令因为孤傲，与室友还有同班同学的关系好像不是很好，孙维有可能只是想惩罚她而已。可能孙维开始时并不清楚铊的毒性，以为只会造成有限的伤害。跟朱令合不来的还有其她人。所以，孙维也有可能跟其她人合伙，目的只是恶作剧，让朱令难受一下而已。这样的事情，在学生之间其实经常发生，没有什麽奇怪的。动机并不是谋杀，而是恶作剧。只是她们没想到，后果会这么严重！

因此，如果作案者真是孙维，作案的动机，更大的可能性应该是恶作剧，而不是目前大多数人认为的“嫉妒朱令的音乐天才”。

以上这些结论，是基于一种假设。假设朱令案只是一个孤立的案件，跟其它案件无关。

但是，当我更多地了解朱令的姐姐，吴今，死得不明不白时，不得不让我把朱令案和她姐姐的死联系在一起了！常识告诉我们，一个家庭里面的两姐妹，都死于非命，这本身就是一件非同寻常的事情。再加上吴今之死，充满了不少难以解释的不解之谜，更加重了两案之间的联系！如果吴今之死是个明明白白的事故。例如有目击证人看见了事故发生的过程，一切都合乎逻辑，可以解释的通，我的确没有理由把两案联系起来。但事实是，吴今案的疑点有很多。妹妹被人放毒了，姐姐的死又充满了不解之谜，非要说两者之间肯定没有关联，那才是不负责任的逻辑！在侦办案件的时候，涉案人的直系亲属，肯定可以提供有价值的线索。更何况其姐姐死得那么蹊跷!

吴今之死的大概过程网上有很多，大家可以看这篇和这里。

人们对吴今之死的主要疑点归纳起来有下面几点：

1.遗体上没有明显血迹。坠崖身亡应该有很多外伤，怎么会没有血迹？
2.遗体被发现时，吴今身上的衣服相当整洁。不象是滚落的样子。
3.遗体被发现时，她的手没有抓握东西而受伤的痕迹。按理说，失足坠崖的人在慌乱之中应该会乱抓东西。
4.遗体是1989年4月4日发现的。但在前一天，也就是4月3日，吴今父母，还有她的一些同学们已经在那一带地方找过了，都没有发现。第二天就突然出现了。奇怪吗？
5.吴今的个人用品和行李，并没有在事发现场找到。如果那真是一场失足坠崖的事故，人出事了，但随身携带的行李物品怎么会不翼而飞了？


因为这些疑点，人们就怀疑吴今遗体所发现的地方到底是不是事发的第一现场？遗体是不是被移动过？

其实，还有另外一个细节更加耐人寻味！

吴今和她的同学们计划周末（1989年4月1日和2日两天）去北京郊外野游。吴今在出发的前一天，也就是周五，3月31日，她把一份英文班的英文作业交给一位同学。吴今交代她的同学说，如果周一上课（周一8：00AM的课）的时候她没来，就请这位同学帮她交了这份作业。这个细节非常重要。请大家记住！

4月2日，他们游玩结束后准备回京。当时有两班回京的班车。早上10点和下午某个时候（我不知道具体时间）。吴今是准备乘坐10点的班车回京的。但因为时间还早，她告诉同学们想自己独自离开去看一个风景，结果这一去就是永别！

这里有一个非常重要的疑问。这种郊游都是计划好了。大家周六去，周日就回来，吴今为什麽会担心周一来不及上课？还特意把作业托给同学代交？

这说明了一个问题。吴今早在郊游出发前，也就是周五的时候，就预感到她有可能周日回不来。所以，她有可能周一早上来不及上英文课。

那么，接下去的一个问题就是为什麽她有这样的预感？

对这个问题合乎逻辑的解释就应该是，周日那一天，她还有其它活动！她还有其他同学们都不知道的活动。也可以说是她自己的秘密活动！只有这个解释才可以解释清楚她为何会在周五那一天把作业交给她的同学代缴！

那么，她那一天的秘密活动会是什麽呢？仅仅是去看风景吗？肯定不是。如果真得只是去看风景，她完全来得及回京，根本就无需担心周一来不及上课！

唯一的解释是，她的秘密活动是去见人，去参加某种人的活动。她告诉同学们去看风景只是借口。因为这活动不知道何时结束。所以她才有来不及周一早上英语班的预感和担心！

除了这种解释之外，还有其它解释吗？我希望有人能够讲出第二种可能性！

接下去就是更加重要，也是致命的问题。吴今那天想去秘密会面的是什麽人？早就有传闻说，她落入了京城里红二代们的圈套了。那么吴今那天想去秘密会面的会不会是那些红二代们？

因此，吴今之死，背后很可能有那些红二代们的影子！吴今，一位风华正茂的北大才女，很自然会成为京城那些纨绔子弟们的猎杀对象。

如果这些推理都没有问题，吴今之死背后的不合理和怪异现象，作为妹妹的朱令会一点感受都没有吗？姐妹俩感情很好，对于亲姐姐的突然过世，朱令的心里肯定会无数次地问为什麽？因此，朱令十有八九也会感受到姐姐死亡背后的不寻常之处。因此朱令应该多多少少知道了一些姐姐死亡背后的真相。这可能才是她招来杀身之祸的根本原因！杀人灭口，才可以激发真正的凶手挺而走险。朱令并不需要采取具体的行动去调查她姐姐的死因。只要朱令知道了一些真相就会让凶手寝食难安，就足以逼迫凶手铤而走险。因此，我的感觉是，朱令案背后真正的凶手，可能也是吴今案背后的凶手。朱令案的答案可能就在吴今案里！

当然，这也只是一种可能性。因此，现在我们有三种可能性：

1.孙维因为“嫉妒朱令的音乐天才”而起杀心。
2.孙维们因为讨厌朱令而对她恶作剧导致朱令身残。
3.吴今的凶手因为害怕朱令知道了一些她姐姐的死亡真相而杀人灭口。

本文纯粹是从逻辑角度去分析最有可能的凶手。没有任何具体的实物证据。纯粹从作案动机这个角度去看，哪一种可能性最大?哪一种情况才可以激发凶手去铤而走险？

在我看来，答案是第三种：杀人灭口！如果真是这样，今天大家所看到了有关朱令案的很多东西，很可能都是背后的真正的凶手故意放出来的烟雾弹。朱令案的真正的凶手很可能是藏在吴今案里！

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附件：

下面这篇英文，就是吴今委托她的同学交的英文作业。题目是“To be or not to be".她在这篇作文里谈了很多生命的意义和死亡的意义。她写到了死亡(die)，悲剧(tragedy)，斗争(fight)，投降(surrender)....,三天后她就出事了，这是巧合吗？感觉起来，这不应该是一个大二女生可以体验到的东西。她怎么会有这些感受？

从吴今这篇作文里可以感受到。吴今虽然只是大二学生，其生活体验其实是挺有深度的。这是不是因为她跟那些红二代们交往密切的缘故？


--------------------------------------------
To be or Not to be

--------The meaning of life, the meaning of death

 

Every one who knows Shakespere must know his most well-known tragedy:

Hamlet and that famous line: To be or not to be, that's a question. As

for Hamlet, to be or not to be is quite a dilemma: he was doomed to be

a tragedy, whether to live or to die. Perhaps everyone will confront

the similar choice to Hamlet in his life sooner or later. To survive

or to die, to fight or to surrender, to win or to lose. He must make

the decision himself. Fortunately, I haven't come to that crucial

point yet. Up till now, my life is like a smooth sailing. Sometimes I

ask myself: do I find the real meaning of life and death? Though I am

going to be a biologist, I have no definite answer to that. But still

I believe that I did find something in life.

 

 

When I ramble along in the peaceful field, hearing the twittering of

birds, drifting in the fragrance of wild flowers, I will always praise

the beauty of life and feel really happy that I'm still alive. When I

learned the mysterious nature and the evolution of life, I was filled

with admiration by the greatness of nature. Life is a bestowing of

nature, we have no right to smother, it's a part of universe.

I remember one day, when I felt so frustrated by those misfortunes in

life, it seemed that I had done everything wrong and there was no

remedy at all. I left home, wandering along the street, feeling sad

and hopeless. It was then when I caught sight of the sunset. The sun

was like a huge burning ball, flaring and shinning, it was so glorious

and so brilliant. Soon the whole sky was flaming, the sun gathered its

last energy burning thoroughly, like the solemn end of a tragedy. It

sunk slowly under the horizon, soon darkness fell around me. I stood

there unawaring of where I was. Tears ran down my face. A voice cried

out in my heart: "I will wait, till the sun rises again, till the

first sunshine on my shoulder." Perhaps that's the meaning of life.

Everyone has his own sun and his own dream, and everyone has own

brilliant moment when his sun shines gloriously. We'll struggle and

suffer in order to reach that brilliant moment. Nothing can stop us,

no matter how hard, no matter how many times we fail. That dream,

deeply rooted in our heart, is worthy of devoting our whole life to.

All of us want to see the sun shines again and want to catch that

glorious moment to appreciate the real beauty of life.

 

 

Life is like a long river, it will end someday and somehow. No one can

escape from that eternal end, when that day comes, we'll say goodby to

this colored world. A man's life is a man's song. Whether it's sad or

happy, fierce or quiet, it's his own song. A song written in his own

way with his soul, with his life. A man lived, did what he should do,

found what he want, fulfilled his dream. He then died calmly. Because

he knew that there was nothing to regret. He had seen evil and good,

ugly and beautiful. Now it was all over, it was time for his play to

close and gave the stage to newcomer. His song was going to end, but

it would never diminish, it would become a tiny part of the chorus of

the universe, and that will sing forever. Another man lived, struggled,

but never reached his dream, for him, life was a perpetual nightmare,

then he saw the twilight, they glimmered far in the distance, though

he had no time and he would never got there, his heart was quiet, for

he knew he had tried his best. His song might only be a faint cry but

he knew it was just the prelude to the grand movement of that chorus.

He died happily, hearing the song were sung continue.

The world is beautiful, because of warm sunshine and also because of

its rain and storm. Only a man who has been drenched with tears can

understand the real meaning of happy. Once a famous writer said in one

of his novel: there is no real happy in life, but just one situation

compared with another. The whole meaning of life lies in two words

"hope and wait".

 

 

To be or not to be, it's all depends on a man's own attitude to life,

on whether he appreciates the morning sunshine, whether he want to

explore the beauty of nature. If the thunderstorms come, it all

depends on whether he still firmly believes that the sun will rise

again. Yes, the sun is going to shine, and it will shine even more

brilliant. Do not cry, just wait and hope and fight.

Life and death and the sunshine make the world. As they go round

generation by generation, day by day, the world go round. Let's sing

out our own song lauding life, lauding world.