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欧债危机背后的简单哲学(英文版) 2012-03-22 15:47:59

昨天收到一个email来自德国的Heidelberg University,题目是“call for papers PEIO 2013”,其中的PEIO是Political Economy of International Organizations的缩写。我想肯定是寄错了对象,第一这样的会议所期待的对象一定是经济学家,而我只懂哲学;第二我目前与任何学术界都没有联系,所以也就不可能成为他们所期待的对象。但是,我这里正好有一篇不久前在博客贴出的与政治经济学有关的哲学文章,即“欧债危机背后的简单哲学”一文,所以就匆匆将之用英文改写并加入了一些关于解决方案的设想,按照email中给出了地址寄了出去。他们会不会录用我不在乎,因为他们寄给我那份email本来就肯定是一场误会,不过因为我借此改写的机会加了一些内容,所以拿出来与可能感兴趣的朋友们分享:

 

Simple Philosophy behind Eurozone Crisis

The success of modern science has led to a great ignorance of the importance of philosophizing daily events, which finally starts to take some big toll from the global economy through a series of severe large scale crises across the world. If we look back at the causes of those crises, we could so often see clearly some very simple philosophical explanations which have obviously ignored by the top economists and elites politicians of the world. Eurozone crisis is typical of this kind.

When the Eurozone has been troubled by the crisis started around 2 years ago, the main concern of many around the world is not how to resolve the crisis in a way fair to all the countries involved but rather how to prevent the crisis from spreading to other regions. However, without a good understanding of the mechanism behind the crisis, there would be no guarantee that the crisis would not spread to other regions in some unexpected way; while with a good understanding of the mechanism we could even help to resolve the crisis in a fair way to people within the Eurozone. In this paper I would provide a simple metaphysical style philosophizing of the cause behind the Eurozone crisis and also propose some possible remedy from a high level point of view.

1.      Simple philosophical reason behind the crisis

If we could take a high level contemplation seeing through the dazzling financial figures presented to us by hundreds of financial institutions around the world towards the Eurozone crisis, we could see some very obvious philosophical reason that is rooted in the capitalist market mechanism itself. There are two important attributes of a capitalist market economy which are familiar even to nowadays middle school students around the world: 1) it promotes (nominally) fair trading with a respect of private interests of the public; 2) it encourages market based competitions. These two attributes are commonly acknowledged by economists and many ordinary people as the fundamental strengths that differentiate capitalist economy from other economic systems. The first of these two attributes is responsible for producing more to this world and the second is the key factor of rewarding the winner through distributing the products within the capitalist market system. Because of the free trading, capitalist economy could enjoy the greatest productivity over human history; however, because of the competition, capitalist economy would ultimately promote social polarization of wealth among people.

 

In a single country of capitalist market economy without any exchange with other countries, the social wealth would flow from some people to some other within that country constantly due to the capitalist competition.  As a result, without special social assistance to counteracting its consequence, the general trend could be expected with common sense to be that the rich would get richer and the poor would get poorer. During the past few centuries, one great achievement in the so called capitalist world is the establishment of social legal and benefit systems within a democratic political framework, which greatly helped maintaining a happy middle class so that they could avoid getting poorer and poorer in capitalist competitions.

 

Now if there are two that kind countries having international trading with each other, and one of which is more competitive than the other in almost all economic sectors, then based upon the previous discussion we could expect a one-directional overall wealth flow from the less competitive country to the more competitive country. To prevent this from happening, there are many conventional measures taken by countries around the world, including tariffs at border, foreign exchange surcharges, or some special taxes toward cross border international businesses, and more. These measures function like cash dams to prevent surge of cash flow out of the country while people could enjoy the prosperity brought by international businesses within the country.

 

Now if those two countries decide to remove any trading barrier between them and also use the same currency in their daily life, the less competitive country would no doubt lose their protection on the border to prevent a severe cash flow out to the more competitive country. Then one question arises: why should we even worry about this since all the countries have social legal and benefit systems to prevent the middle class people from getting poorer and poorer? The difference here is that the social benefit system of every country only serves its own people while the legal system of each country within a constitutional multi-country free market zone (e.g. Eurozone) is demanded to protect the free market business activities by people from all countries in that open market zone. Therefore, the two countries of free market business in the example here would face such an awkward situation that the competition mechanism of capitalist economy would drive the cash flow in the grand territory of all countries in the zone while the mechanism to counteract the wealth polarization of each country only function within its own territory. The poor in the less competitive country could only request help from their own government since the government of another country is not elected by them and not responsible for their welfare, and the politicians of their own government could not make use of the wealth accumulated in the any other country for the rescue within their own country.

 

Under certain economical condition, the imbalance between the polarization power of capitalist competition and the counteracting social assistance power caused by the scenario discussed in last paragraph could potentially drag the less competitive country into financial austerity whilst the total wealth continues to accumulate within the two country grand market due to the free market business in that market. That is indeed the simple philosophical cause behind the Eurozone crisis started about 2 years ago. With this philosophical understanding, we could proceed to the next step of contemplating the possible political and economical remedy to this problem.

 

2.      Proposed remedy at a high level point of view

From above discussion, we could see clearly that the root cause for potential financial crisis for the multi-country free market zone economy between two separate sovereign countries is the incompetent social assistance power to counteract the polarizing power of free market competition in the two country market. Therefore, a straightforward solution to the problem would be to establish a centralized mechanism to enhance the social assistance and to counter-balance the polarization power of free market competition.

A simple high level design could involve a centralized fund and a set of specialized financial indexes for monitoring the cash flows across borders within the multi-country free market zone, such as Eurozone. Once it is indicated by an index that the net flow across one border has exceeded certain flagged level, certain amount of cash from the fund should be dispensed to assist the economy in the country where net cash loss incurs. The source(s) of the fund money would be a subject of creative thinking for politicians and economists in those countries, which should somehow reflect two factors of the economy within that grand market: 1) the total productivity; 2) the level of the imbalanced cash flows. We could easily see the philosophical connections between these two factors with the two fundamental attributes of capitalist market economy I mentioned at the beginning of this paper.

Even though the proposed remedy could not guarantee to completely solve the problems to the countries in a multi-country open market economy zone, it could help to alleviate the difficulty cause by financial imbalance of the market to certain degree. It would definitely not be an absolutely fair design, but it is relative fair for all sides in the market economy. It is fair for the more competitive countries because it could help them to sustain the market within less competitive countries so that they could have a relatively stable grand market within the economic zone, and it is fair for the less competitive countries because it could help to lessen the damaging effect of the free competition power whilst enjoying the fruits of open market economy.

 

 

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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-23 21:34:41
庄锐兄:

谢谢你的祝福。。。

我是基督徒。。。我的路不是凭我自己来走,而是依靠上帝的带领。。。。。。
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-23 19:18:33
谢谢慕兄详细的解释。 

我所提到的tips主要是想说,如果一个人希望在某个专业方向取得某种东西,通常需要本专业某些关键人士的帮助。 我得到的帮助是不请自到的,因为有人认为我必然有所造就,帮助的条件当然是有互惠原则的。我开始没有理解更因为我面对的任务是本来是丝毫不可能成功的,所以因为我的抗拒带来了一些稀奇经历。

只是当我认识到无路可走时,却发现我可能就是为了这类问题而生,开了头没有遇到大的困难。 每一步,我好想总有很巧妙的主意,只要一直走下去就得到了意想不到的结果。这里也有一个原因,就是指路人虽然没有指明,我甚至一句也没问别人,但是好像背后有人是有某种感觉的。 不仅他们选择了我这个他们认为有潜力的人,而且他们至少指向了一个大致的方向。所以我感谢苍天,只得承认命运的奇妙! 

我的所谓“经验”对你来说有一个大问题。 这就是数学的问题有明确的标准,解决了就是解决了。但是搞哲学,我就算有兴趣,也不敢靠得太近。 做学术经常是要有一种献身精神的,我完全里理解做哲学研究是多么的不容易啊! 不知你年龄多大,也不知你有没有两条腿走路。 在此,请接受我诚挚的祝愿。祝愿慕兄心想事成! 
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-23 11:21:11
庄锐兄:

刚刚回复了你上一个评论,打开Bertrand Russel 的《Our Knowledge of the World》看到下面这段话正好与我刚才所写的有点相关:

In the special sciences, when they have become fully developed, the
movement is forward and synthetic, from the simpler to the more complex. But in philosophy we follow the inverse direction : from the complex and relatively concrete we proceed towards the simple and abstract by means of analysis, seeking, in the process, to
eliminate the particularity of the original subject matter, and to confine our attention entirely to the logical form of the facts concerned.

....for while mathematics, starting from comparatively simple
propositions, seeks to build up more and more complex
results by deductive synthesis, philosophy, starting
from data which are common knowledge, seeks to
purify and generalize them into the simplest statements
of abstract form that can be obtained from them by
logical analysis.

说道,文学与哲学。。。法国存在主义大师萨特尔拒领诺贝尔文学奖,人家问他为什么,他说领文学奖矮化了他的哲学家的地位 :)
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-23 10:36:01
庄锐兄:

刚写完一个补充回复就看到你的新的评论。。。。我完全同意你的看法。。。。。。谢谢
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-23 10:34:13
说道哲学与数学的关系,我这两天在读笛卡尔的《Discourse on Method》。。。尽管他是几何与物理学大师,他在书中强调形而上学要比几何更难。。。。。。这恐怕也是哲学不易懂的原因。。。。。。比如,拿我的这篇博文中的内容来说,如果我们把一个地区的经济表示为E,然后用F表示一个资本主义市场经济游戏对于这个国家的经济的影响函数,那么我可以把我在本文第一个小标题中的关系表达为 E = F(T(t),D(t)),其中,T为总产值,而D为财富分布,t为时间。对于有过数学训练的人来说,读这样一个关系式恐怕要比读我文中的英文表达更容易,我不是说我的英文不好(尽管我的英文不那么好:)),即便是英文再好的写也一样。。。。。。

但是,这里有两个基本因素使得哲学的论述要比数学更困难也更重要:1)首先,为了得出一个上述这样的数学表达需要有哲学的思考;2)绝大多数读者并没有受过数学的训练因此不一定习惯读数学的表达式。。。。。。。我不是说数学就很容易或不重要。。。数学很难学而且也很重要。。。但是,人们如同笛卡尔所说的更容易接受数学而不容易接受哲学。。。。。。可是,尽管世界各国都能认识到数学的重要,过去几个世纪里,却只有四个哲学大国相对地屹立于世界之巅。。。。。。谢谢
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-23 10:23:32
慕兄,我赞成你说的哲学重要性,这也就是我对你的文章感兴趣的主要原因。

如果只谈政治,特别是为了自己一方的利益谈政治,这个社会就落入了一个陷阱。 我很敬佩你对哲学的坚持,其实这个社会应该给予有些学科比如哲学足够的重视。哲学应该比文学更重要,好的文学里一定是少不了哲学和社会学的。政治应该只是一个应用哲学与应用社会学,不知我的这个看法是否有道理?

谢谢。
 
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-23 10:16:16
庄锐兄:

再次谢谢你的推心置腹。。。其实,目前人类文明一个悲哀就是对于哲学的忽视。。。而华人圈子更是如此。。。常听华人说中国之所以没有哲学是没有钱。。。十年前这样说。。。今天中国不但是国家经济被认为世界第二,私人可投资总额也名列世界前茅还是这样说。。。中国只会存钱不会花钱?那是骗人的。。。仅中国大陆奢侈品消费已超过美国占世界第一。。。中国人不喜欢文化产业?也是骗人,如果你去大陆,不论是电视上还是民间的各式各样的文化讲座培训比比皆是,2009年的年总产值据说已超过几十亿元人民币。。。但是,如果你看他们感兴趣的都是什么你会发现,中国的文化产业围绕两个主题:1)讲故事,电视上讲,民间讲,从古到今,只要讲故事大家都听得津津有味;2)如何赚钱,如何勾心斗角。如果有人能把讲故事与赚钱和勾心斗角结合起来那是最有吸引力的。。。。。。

其实,说“西方人哲学好是因为有钱”本身就是胡扯。。。。。。在有钱与哲学的关系上,西方近代史告诉我们的恰恰是哲学带来国家富强而不是国家富了才有哲学。。。。。。如果你翻翻西方近代哲学史,你会吃惊地发现,所有在过去几个世纪里沉淀下来的著名哲学家都在英,法,德,美这四个国家。。。而当西方哲学在近代兴起的时候,这四个国家并非当时最富有,最强大的。。。且不说过去几个世纪里经历了多少场惨烈的战争有可能毁掉这四个国家,就是扳指头数数过去几个世纪里曾经比这四个国家中的某些强大的国家也不少,奥斯曼,匈牙利,意大利,荷兰,葡萄牙,西班牙,沙皇。。。。。。可是,那些国家的荣耀都俱往矣。。。所巧合的是,英,法,美,德(历史上分裂战乱的普鲁士)四个哲学强国在经历了多少可以导致他们衰败的风暴之后仍然屹立。。。这难道仅仅是数学概率上的巧合?

在亚洲,日本的近代哲学相对发达或许与他们的经济有些关系,但是,一来日本的历史具有被西方扶持的特殊性,二来我们也无法否认哲学对于日本经济发展的重要作用,三来日本与西方四强相比的弱势其实也反映在他们的哲学的相对落后上。。。。。。。而另一方面,尽管今天马克思主义已不那么得人心,但是如果我们冷静地回顾历史,我们恐怕难以否认中国和苏俄在上一世纪的兴起恰恰是引入了来自西方英德的马克思主义哲学的结果。。。。。。

所以,不是经济造就哲学,而是哲学造就经济。。。。。。今天对哲学的忽视在明天恐怕就要付出代价。。。西方的近代史已经告诉了我们这一点。。。英法德美近年来的危机正是在他们的哲学开始衰败时发生。。。。。。不过,我本人的感觉是,这四个国家的哲学正在悄悄地死灰复燃。。。。。。而中国在历史赋予的大好时机的同时,恐怕还陶醉于消费从别人那里学来的哲学和从老祖宗那里继承来的哲学,没有意识到哲学发展的重要性。。。。。。所以,在下一轮的重新洗牌中,能够继续屹立的恐怕还是那四个哲学强国。。。或至少是其中哲学复兴较快的。。。。。。
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-23 09:26:53
慕兄,我完全能够体会, 因为我的一切都来之不易。 在某些地方我已经说到了一点,我的经历很可能非常罕见。

我得力的地方恐怕主要是两点:一是碰巧掉进了一个顶层的圈子,二是数学毕竟在今天的社会里非常有实用价值。我对背后一些事的运转多少知道一些, 所以我常说“哪里都一样。” 

我中间碰到的麻烦比你的肯定是有过之而无不及,只是因为我做出了自己都不相信的结果后被补加。 
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-22 21:42:14
庄锐兄:

再次谢谢你的好意。。。不过你可能没有意识到一点:你所说的在你来说是简单的事,但其实也是一种“专业”用语:)。。。。。。相信很多这里的读者都不知道你在说什么。。。当年我在McGill读博士和作博士后的时候也知道在同一行业或圈子里找钱的道理。。。所以我多少还听得懂你在说什么。。。。。。

但是,你所不知道的可能是在你的圈子之外,尤其是象我目前这样处在社会的底层的人们的环境是什么样。。。。。。在我目前的处境之下是根本不可能在任何地方找到你所说的资金的了。。。。。。如果我有这个路子,我也不会在花了5个月的时间写了8万多字的英文书交给纽约一个不很出名的出版商两个月之后音信皆无,不回email,打电话吃鳖。。。却除了望天兴叹之外没有任何其它办法。。。。。。。

生活教会了我一个道理,不同社会环境里的人的感受是完全不一样的。。。所以当有些养尊处优的人和我谈什么批判相对主义的论调时,我总是嗤之以鼻。。。因为只有象我这样经历了人生的各种磨难的人才能真正体会到什么叫做相对主义。。。也只有在我的这种处境之下才会真正看到资本主义的一些黑暗面及它的一些合理之处。。。以你的教授的身份是根本无法体会象我这样生活在社会底层的人的完全无力和无助的感受的。。。。。。。谢谢你的好意。。。。
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-22 21:09:51
你说到tips,其实很简单。 就是愿意为你出资的人必须考虑他有何收获,比如有人有兴趣以你的文章为基点进一步合作写成一篇发表在某杂志上。当然我不知道哲学专业的情况,总之不幸的是这个世界大概没有人会愿意做对自己无益的事情。 
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-22 21:04:06
你说的对,要找点自己觉得有意义的事做;用英文和用中文当然有区别。不过我用英文只限于写数学文章,风格有点不同。 

你的其他哲学文章离我更远一点,这篇文章谈的正是我感兴趣但又不懂的东西。而且你从哲学的角度看,对我来说觉得比较自然。因为我在数学中经常是用比较笼统的思维而不是太过具体的就事论事。如果你直接就经济谈经济,我恐怕兴趣反而少一些。

谢谢慕兄。我看了一遍还是没有懂,但是觉得值得我再细读一下。 
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-22 19:49:29
庄锐兄:

谢谢你的tips。。。不过我和你不一样。。。你是教授,我是社会闲散人员。。。。。。对我来说,最大的意义是借此机会将自己对相应的问题的思路重新整理了一下,用不同的语言表达出来了。。。人经常需要给自己点理由来做些事。。。:)。。。不知你是否有这样的同感:当你用英语写的时候的思路与用中文写的时候的思路并不完全一样,各有各的好处。。。
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-22 19:41:23
谢谢慕兄回言,我还在读你的文章。但是每次都得放大,我已经完整地看过了一遍。有问题我细看后再请教。

我知道你说的不是在美国,如果能够得到至少某种资金支持那就更好。 据我所知,资助开会通常意味着还有其他的东西。

我倒是经常有开会的机会,当然都附带有资金来源。记得多年前有一次加拿大不知怎么(当然我知道是为什麽)来了一个邀请,却没有给足资金。我就提前一天离开节约了开支,花掉的刚好报销;这里头窍门很多哦。
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-22 18:56:05
庄锐兄:

谢谢评论。。。email上写的会议地址是德国。。。不过我根本不关心在哪里,因为一来我的短文被录用的机会极低,二来我也没有那笔闲钱跑那么远与一群不相干的人开什么会。。。又没有钱赚。。。;)
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-22 16:57:42
美国也有一所完全同名的大学,是德国后裔办的;好像在Ohio。
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作者:庄锐 留言时间:2012-03-22 16:56:24
从题目看我觉得应该有意思,只是我还得Ctrl+“+”放大了再读。 我建议你放大一些,方便网友们阅读。 谢谢慕兄。
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作者:慕容青草 留言时间:2012-03-22 16:25:51
长风会青攀:

Thanks for the comment....there could be hundreds of angles to see a single events.....here I am discussing some obvious philosophical logic behind the eurozone crisis......below this metaphysical layer there would be economics, politics, as well as legal issues and so on......for a short essay like this I could only focus what I apprehend best........
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作者:长风会青攀 留言时间:2012-03-22 16:02:57
Without talking about the role of wall street/jp morgan behind Eurozone Crisis?

Then I guess they will keep their hands crossed before reports of such connection showing up...
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