構建美麗新世界的美麗理論基礎


Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow Author: Yuval Noah Harari Publisher: Harper Publication: 2016
Homo Deus:明日簡史 作者:尤瓦爾·諾亞·赫拉里 出版商:哈珀 出版時間:2016
從 70,000 年的人類歷史推斷(將其視為史詩級的趨勢發現), Harari 的預測是黑暗的、反烏托邦的和令人不安的。但他們在 工業、政治和科學界的巨獸中贏得了粉絲,包括巴拉克·奧巴馬、 馬克·扎克伯格、比爾·蓋茨、丹尼爾·卡尼曼和賈里德· 戴蒙德。
Harari 做了一些預測,但以下是引起我們注意的關鍵預測。
少數智神從芸芸智人中脫穎而出成為世界統治階層
Humans will become Gods. Homo Sapiens (wise humans) is evolving into Homo Deus (god humans) with god-like mastery over our environment and the ability to create (and destroy) life.
人類將成為神。 Homo Sapiens(智慧人類)正在進化為 Homo Deus(神人類),對我們的環境擁有神一樣的掌控力和創造 (和毀滅)生命的能力。
連剝削你的價值都沒有的“低端吃貨人口”
The Rise of the “Useless Class”. The cost of upgrading the human condition will be expensive and reserved for a tiny elite. Meanwhile, the masses will see jobs disappear as they are replaced by ever more effective and ever more efficient technology. Unlike the lumpen proletariat of yesteryear, the new “useless class” will not even be able to sell their labour.
“無用階級”的興起。提升人類狀況的成本將是昂貴的,而且是為 少數精英保留的。與此同時,隨着工作被越來越有效和越來越高效 的技術所取代,大眾將看到工作消失。與過去的流氓無產階級 不同,新的“無用階級”甚至無法出賣他們的勞動力。
“ 對比同類的動物屬,智人的許多情感、意識、思想,
其 實 是 多 余 的 。”
The Death of Humanism. The dominant religion of the early 21st Century – humanism (celebrating human intelligence, human experience (sensations, emotions and thoughts) and human values) – will be eroded by advances in science and technology. Specifically, the human sciences will challenge the human superiority and human exceptionalism that is implicit in humanism, including erroneous beliefs in the uniqueness of human sentience (feelings), human sapience (reason) and free-will. We are just animals with a God-complex.
人文主義之死。 21 世紀初的主要宗教——人文主義(頌揚人類 智慧、人類經驗(感覺、情感和思想)和人類價值觀)——將被 科技進步所侵蝕。具體而言,人文科學將挑戰人文主義所隱含的 人的優越性和人的例外論,包括對人的感覺(感覺)、人的智慧 (理性)和自由意志的唯一性的錯誤信念。我們只是具有上帝 情結的動物。
對哈拉里來說,對人類民主、人類自由和人權的影響將是重大的。 想想人文主義政治(選民最了解)、人文主義經濟學(客戶永遠 是對的)、人文主義美學(美在旁觀者眼中)、人文主義倫理 (如果感覺良好——就去做!)和人文主義教育(自己想想!)。
AI Sapience 擊敗 Human Sentience。感知(我們的感覺能力) 和智能(我們的推理能力)的“大解耦”將導致人工智能技術比 人類更聰明、更聰明。無意識但高度智能的算法將比我們更了解 我們自己,我們將越來越依賴人工智能算法來為我們的生活、 愛情和工作提供信息和指導。
我愛上了你的算法。正如人工智能將人類理解為一組算法(公式) 來預測和解釋行為一樣,人類也會效仿。個人將不再被視為不可 簡化和不可分割的自我,而是由“如果這個,那麼那個”風格的 算法組成的可分割的“個體”,這些算法為個性、激情和形象 編碼。想想 Match.com 上的類固醇,或者“通過數字認識自我” 的量化自我口頭禪。
數據主義成為新宗教。人文主義宗教將被一種新的宗教“數據 主義”所取代,因為我們將以數據為中心的世界觀取代以人為 中心的世界觀。 Dataism 已經與硅谷的專家一起,將生命視為 數據處理,將個人和組織視為算法,以及人類生命在將經驗轉化 為數據的能力方面的價值。
Once this mission is accomplished, Homo sapiens will vanish.
萬物互聯(又名矩陣)。如果人類確實是一個單一的數據處理 系統,那麼我們的輸出將是創建一個新的、甚至更高效的數據 處理系統,稱為萬物互聯。一旦完成這個任務,智人就會消失。
人類的終結。進化的下一步最終將看到人類從半進化的猿猴轉變 為純粹的信息,並在此過程中擺脫其碳基生物鏈。
Extrapolating from 70,000 years of human history (think of it as trend spotting on an epic scale), Harari’s predictions are dark, dystopian and disturbing. But they have won fans among big beasts in industry, politics and science including Barack Obama, Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Daniel Kahneman and Jared Diamond. Harari makes a number predictions, but here are the key ones that grabbed our attention. Humans will become Gods. Homo Sapiens (wise humans) is evolving into Homo Deus (god humans) with god-like mastery over our environment and the ability to create (and destroy) life. The Rise of the “Useless Class”. The cost of upgrading the human condition will be expensive and reserved for a tiny elite. Meanwhile, the masses will see jobs disappear as they are replaced by ever more effective and ever more efficient technology. Unlike the lumpen proletariat of yesteryear, the new “useless class” will not even be able to sell their labour. The Death of Humanism. The dominant religion of the early 21st Century – humanism (celebrating human intelligence, human experience (sensations, emotions and thoughts) and human values) – will be eroded by advances in science and technology. Specifically, the human sciences will challenge the human superiority and human exceptionalism that is implicit in humanism, including erroneous beliefs in the uniqueness of human sentience (feelings), human sapience (reason) and free-will. We are just animals with a God-complex. For Harari, the implications for human democracy, human freedom and human rights will be significant. Think of the challenges to humanist politics (the voter knows best), humanist economics (the customer is always right), humanist aesthetics (beauty is in the eye of the beholder), humanist ethics (if it feels good – do it!) and humanist education (think for yourself!). AI Sapience beats Human Sentience. “The Great Decoupling” of sentience (our ability to feel) and sapience (our ability to reason) will result in AI technology that is smarter and more intelligent than humans. Non-conscious but highly intelligent algorithms will know us better than we know ourselves, and we will increasing rely on AI algorithms to inform and guide us in life, love and work. I’m in Love with your Algorithms. Just as AI understands humans as sets of algorithms (formulae) to predict and explain behaviour, humans will follow suit. Individuals will not longer be seen as irreducible and indivisible selves, but as divisible ‘dividuals’ made up of constellations of ‘if this, then that’ style algorithms that code for personality, passions and profile. Think Match.com on steroids, or the Quantified Self mantra of “self-knowledge through numbers”. Dataism becomes the New Religion. The religion of Humanism will be replaced by a new religion “Dataism”, as we replace a homo-centric world view in favour of a data-centric world view. Already with adepts in Silicon Valley, Dataism celebrates life as data processing, individuals and organisations as algorithms, and the value of a human life in terms of its capacity to transform experience into data. The Internet of All Things (AKA The Matrix). If humankind is indeed a single data-processing system, then our output will be the creation of a new and even more efficient data-processing system, called the Internet-of-All-Things. Once this mission is accomplished, Homo sapiens will vanish. The End of Humanity. The next step in evolution will ultimately see humans transform from semi-evolved simians into pure information and in doing so break free from their carbon-based biological chains.
https://brandgenetics.com/human-thinking/speed-summary-homo-deus-a-brief-history-of-tomorrow/





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https://gnews.org/zh-hans/1504158/
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