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TYLER ROGOWAYView Tyler Rogoway's ArticlesAviation_Intel

China's massive Yulin Naval Base on Hainan Island is one of the greatest strategic interests in the region. It is home to China's nuclear ballistic missile submarine fleet—the backbone of its second-strike deterrent—as well as other submarines. It sits at the northern edge of the highly contentious South China Sea. To its east is the gateway to the open Pacific and Taiwan. The most intriguing feature of this facility is the mysterious submarine cave built into the side of a mountain that dominates the southern end of the installation. Although I have seen satellite images of the roadway barges removed from the opening, we have never seen one with a submarine actually using it, until now.

You can read all about Yulin Naval Base, its submarine cave, and the very high level of strategic interest the U.S. and allied regional players put on it in this past article of ours. 

The image was taken by Planet Labs, but first appeared on Radio Free Asia's social media channels. We were alerted to it via a post from @DRM_Long. Interestingly enough, not one other submarine is visible in the satellite image. The docks are completely empty. This also seems exceedingly rare based on our monitoring experience. 

PHOTO © 2020 PLANET LABS INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRINTED BY PERMISSION

The docks that usually host a number of submarines are completely empty. 

It isn't clear exactly what type of submarine is seen in the image, but our best guess would be a Shang class/Type 093 nuclear attack submarine. The type seen is really beside the point, what's important is that we finally get to see this James Bond-esque feature in action. 

As for where all the other submarines are, we have no clue. Tensions are exceedingly high in the region and the U.S. has massively upped its presence there. Meanwhile, Taiwan has gone on elevated alert as China executes war games nearby. While some of those drills could and likely do involve submarines based at Yalin, it's also possible that others have moved inside the mountain, as well. Why exactly remains unclear. 

We will update this story as more information comes available. 

Contact the author: Tyler@thedrive.com

泰勒·罗格威查看泰勒·罗格威的文章航空_英特尔

中国在海南岛上建立的庞大的榆林海军基地是该地区最大的战略利益之一。它是中国核弹道导弹潜艇舰队（其第二次攻击威慑力量的支柱）以及其他潜艇的所在地。它坐落在争议很大的南中国海的北部边缘。东面是通向太平洋和台湾的门户。该设施最引人入胜的特征是神秘的海底洞穴，该洞穴建在山峰的一侧，该山峰占据了该装置的南端。尽管我看到了从开口处移开的行车驳船的卫星图像，但到目前为止，我们还从未见过一艘实际使用潜艇的船。

您可以阅读有关榆林海军基地，其海底洞穴以及美国和盟国在其过去的文章中对战略高度关注的所有内容。 

该图像由Planet Labs拍摄，但首次出现在Free Free Asia的社交媒体频道上。@DRM_Long的帖子通知我们。有趣的是，在卫星图像中看不到另一艘潜艇。码头完全是空的。根据我们的监控经验，这似乎也极为罕见。 

照片©2020 PLANET LABS INC。保留所有权利。由许可拒绝

通常容纳许多潜艇的码头是完全空的。 

目前尚不清楚在图像中看到的是哪种类型的潜艇，但我们最好的猜测是商号/ 093型核攻击潜艇。所看到的类型确实不重要，重要的是我们终于可以看到这种詹姆斯·邦德式的功能在起作用。 

至于其他所有潜艇的位置，我们都不知道。紧张是非常高的地区和美国已经大规模调升我TS存在那里。同时，由于中国在附近进行战争，台湾已提高戒备。尽管其中一些演习可能并确实涉及驻扎在亚林的潜艇，但也有可能其他演习也已移入该山中。为什么仍然不清楚。 

随着更多信息的出现，我们将更新此故事。 

联系作者：Tyler@thedrive.com

https://twitter.com/S7i5FV0JOz6sV3A/status/1296056675217137665

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Many more punitive actions against China are coming soon, and some could disrupt important supply chains for the furniture industry, Washington, D.C., lawyer Michael Borden warned in a Home Furnishings Association webinar last week.

“Watch out,” said Borden, who leads the Government Strategies group for the global law firm Sidley Austin LLP. “I know that members of this association have international supply chains, and that’s an understatement. I’ve been told by Trump campaign officials and administration officials to expect an announcement of punitive action against China and Chinese companies every three to four days between now and Election Day.”

Borden was a panelist on the webinar with Chris Andresen, HFA’s representative in the nation’s capital. Andresen noted that taking on China will be a focus of President Donald Trump’s re-election bid.

“To the extent that the Trump campaign has a defined set of issues to go against Joe Biden, certainly the situation with China is probably number one,” Andresen said.

‘Maximum chaos and disruption’

The president’s recent actions targeting Chinese social media apps TikTok and WeChat are part of a pattern that will be repeated often before the election, Borden said.

Michael Borden

“These could be broad or they could be narrow, but they will all in the immediate term cause maximum chaos and disruption,” Borden said. “You’ve got to be really mindful that every few days there are going to be other executive orders, statements, administrative actions, regulations, impositions of sanctions, and they’re coming. They’re coming, and it’s going to be all the time, and they can be really disruptive.

“So, in addition to having to manage a pandemic, you’re going to have to manage an administration that is looking right now to punish China in every possible way – for the China virus, for the destruction of the U.S. economy, human rights, cheating on trade, intellectual property theft, everything. It’s going to almost certainly between now and November directly impact all of you. … You’re going to be hearing about supply chain issues all fall long.”

“Supply chain issues have become increasingly more difficult, particularly from that part of the world,” observed HFA Executive Director Mark Schumacher, who hosted the webinar. “That’s something that all of our members have been struggling with, small or large.”

The president will act against China

Much of the webinar conversation covered the stalled negotiations over another COVID-19 congressional relief bill. Borden expressed some hope that Republicans and Democrats might agree on some priorities in September – including the proposed RESTART Act, which HFA strongly supports. It would create a new lending program for businesses with up 5,000 employees.

But Borden said executive actions aimed at China are more certain.

“Here we are talking about COVID responses, but this is something that more likely than not is going to be like a cherry on top of problems because, even if the government is going to give you something, they’re also going to be making life more difficult,” Borden said.

Those issues already include high tariffs on most home furnishings products imported from China, Andresen added. HFA, as part of a broad business coalition, opposes those tariffs.

China is an easy target now, so it’s not likely that aggressive policies toward the Asian giant would change even if Biden is elected, Andresen said.

Biden would not reverse China orders

“I think it’s shifted Joe Biden’s longstanding positions on China and our relations with them,” Andresen said. “Even his campaign has said that he would not necessarily relieve the 301 tariffs if elected although he’s looking at it. It’s all tied into the origins of this virus.”

Borden agreed.

“Don’t think that a Biden presidency changes overnight the U.S.-China relationship,” he said. “Do you think Biden on January 20 or 21 changes executive orders that President Trump has imposed against China? No chance. Why would he politically do it? So he could be called soft on China and Republicans would have an issue for the next two years, that Joe Biden is soft on China? No way.

“So don’t expect that just because Trump is no longer in office there might be a difference in approach. There might be a more muted way, more tactful way of dealing with China, but don’t expect it to be some 180-degree reversal back to the previous order.”

Not a member of the HFA? Add your voice to ours as we push for policies that help furniture retailers. Fill out the form today!

Doug Clark

Doug is content manager and government relations staff member for the Home Furnishings Association. Please contact him with story ideas or concerns at 916-757-1167 or dclark@myhfa.org

律师迈克尔·博登（Michael Borden）上周在美国家具业协会网络研讨会上警告说，针对中国的更多惩罚性措施即将到来，有些可能会破坏家具行业的重要供应链。

“当心，” 负责全球律所Sidley Austin LLP的政府策略小组的Borden说。“我知道该协会的成员具有国际供应链，这是一种轻描淡写的说法。特朗普竞选官员和政府官员已经告诉我，预计从现在到选举日，每三到四天将对中国和中国公司采取惩罚行动。”

博登（Borden）是与HFA驻美国首都代表克里斯·安德森（Chris Andresen）举行的网络研讨会的专家。安德森（Andresen）指出，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）竞选连任的重点将是中国。

安德森说：“就特朗普竞选活动而言，与乔·拜登（Joe Biden）有一系列明确的问题，当然，与中国的局势可能是头等大事。”

“最大的混乱和破坏”

博登说，总统最近针对中国社交媒体应用TikTok和微信的行动是这种模式的一部分，这种模式将在选举前经常重复。

博登说：“这些因素可能很广泛，也可能很狭窄，但它们都将在短期内造成最大的混乱和破坏。” “您必须非常注意，每隔几天就会有其他行政命令，声明，行政行动，法规，制裁实施，而且这些制裁即将到来。他们来了，而且一直都在，而且它们可能确实具有破坏性。

“因此，除了必须应对大流行之外，您还必须管理一个正在以各种可能的方式惩罚中国的政府，包括对中国病毒，对美国经济的破坏，对人权的惩罚。 ，欺诈贸易，盗窃知识产权，一切。从现在到11月几乎肯定可以直接影响到所有人。…您将听到有关供应链问题的消息都落空了。”

主持网络研讨会的HFA执行董事Mark Schumacher指出：“供应链问题变得越来越困难，尤其是在世界那部分地区。” “这是我们所有成员无论大小都在努力的事情。”

总统将对中国采取行动

网络研讨会的大部分讨论内容都涉及就COVID-19国会救济法案进行的停滞不前的谈判。博登（Borden）表示希望共和党和民主党在9月达成一些优先事项，包括拟议的《重启法案》，HFA对此表示大力支持。它将为拥有5,000名员工的企业创建一个新的贷款计划。

但是博登说，针对中国的行政行动更加确定。

“我们在这里谈论的是COVID响应，但这很有可能像是问题上的樱桃，因为即使政府要给你一些东西，他们也会做出努力生活更加艰难。”博登说。

这些问题已经包括从中国进口的大多数家用家具的高关税，安德森补充说。作为广泛商业联盟的一部分，HFA 反对这些关税。

安德烈森说，中国现在是一个容易的目标，因此即使拜登当选，对这家亚洲巨人的积极政策也不大可能改变。

拜登不会撤销中国订单

安德森说：“我认为这改变了拜登在中国以及我们与他们之间关系的长期立场。” “即使他的竞选活动已经表明，尽管他正在竞选，但他不一定会免除301关税。这全都与这种病毒的起源有关。”

博登同意了。

他说：“别以为拜登总统一夜之间会改变美中关系。” “您认为拜登在1月20日或21日改变了特朗普总统对中国施加的行政命令吗？没有机会。他为什么会在政治上这样做？因此，他可以被称为对中国情有独钟，而共和党在接下来的两年中将面临一个问题，乔·拜登对中国情有独钟？没门。

“所以不要指望仅仅因为特朗普不再上任，方法上可能会有差异。与中国打交道的方式也许更柔和，更机智，但不要指望它会逆转180度，回到先前的顺序。”

还不是HFA会员？在我们寻求有助于家具零售商的政策时，请向我们表达您的声音。立即填写表格！

道格·克拉克

道格（Doug）是家居装饰协会的内容经理和政府关系工作人员。

请通过916-757-1167或dclark@myhfa.org与他联系，以获取

有关故事的想法或疑虑。

https://myhfa.org/disruptive-actions-against-china-coming-speaker-tells-hfa/

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  标准德语汉诺威口音配音：

         2分17秒视频链接：

https://twitter.com/NN39857782/status/1296127867013738498