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从数学定律来看假锝不能再假的拜登获胜 2020-11-16 12:34:17

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According to CBS News, President Trump does not plan to concede in the event that the media declares Joe Biden the winner of the election, and elected the 46th president of the United States. The Trump campaign and it’s top advisers called for multiple lawsuits on the grounds that the ongoing vote count would result in tallying illegally cast ballots.

The lawsuits will amount to an aggressive effort to highlight anomalies, statistical impossibilities, or other perceived problems that could affect vote counts before a final presidential winner is declared.

Many reporters at press conferences that took place in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Michigan on Thursday asked his political appointees and supporters for evidence of the wide-scale problems they alleged occurred. 

If it is just the mathematical evidence Americans are looking for, there is endless evidence. Here are just the facts.

Statistical Impossibilities in Wisconsin and Michigan: 

In Wisconsin, voter turnout matched the record high of 2004. The Wisconsin Elections Commission uses the estimated voting age population as the denominator when calculating statewide voter turnout numbers. According to the Elections Commission, there was a 73 percent turnout in this Wisconsin election.

Turnout was 67 percent in 2016; 70 percent in 2012; 69 percent in 2008; and 73 percent in 2004. Apparently Joe Biden smashed Barack Obama’s 2008 turnout in most places in the country.

In both Michigan and Wisconsin, several vote dumps occurred at approximately 4am on Wednesday morning, which showed that Joe Biden received almost 100 percent of the votes. President Trump was leading by hundreds of thousands of votes in both states as America went to sleep, and turnout in the state of Wisconsin seems to be particularly impossible.

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https://theredelephants.com/there-is

-undeniable-mathematical-evidence-

the-election-is-being-stolen/


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今年美国总统选举简直比电视剧还要精彩。先是特朗普团队说自己已经赢了,紧跟着拜登翻盘,昨天又爆出某选区6000张投给特朗普的选票错投给拜登。今天早上,拜登自称拿下超过270张选票,赢得选举。

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美国大选得票情况(11月8日早10点)

更有趣的是:有网友对一些选取的投票情况进行分析后发现:拜登的选票数量居然不符合本福特定律。

难道选举真的存在欺诈吗?本福特定律到底是什么?

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拜登得票曲线(蓝色)偏离本福特定律

去年11.11之前,我做了一期节目,教大家如何用本福特定律分析数据是否造假,当时的标的是天猫销售额2684亿。今天我们不妨借着美国大选的热点,再来带着大家复习一下本福特定律。视频请见天猫“双11”2684亿销售额造假了吗?

1首位为1的概率有多大?

我们每天都会面对成千上万的数据,其中有些数据是非人为规定、杂乱无章的。例如世界上所有国家的人口数量、GDP、国土面积,一张报纸上的经济数据,彩票在各个城市的销售额……等等。


如果我问:这些数字首位是1(比如1.25亿,16,1356万这样的数字)的概率有多大?你会如何回答呢?

也许许多人会回答:1/9。因为首位可以是1、2、3、4、5、6、7、8、9,这些数字毫无规律,自然产生,所以首位是1的可能占1/9。或者你还会用一个表格印证自己的想法:在一位数、两位数、三位数…中,首位是1的数字都只有1/9。

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不过,如果你真的拿出一张报纸进行统计,你会发现自己错了,除掉电话号码、邮政编码、日期等特定规律的数字以外,首位是1的数字大约占到30%

2本福特定律

十九世纪,在还没有计算机的时代,科学家们经常要查找对数表进行计算。1881年,天文学家纽康在查找对数表时发现:对数表的前几页总是被人翻的比较烂,而后面的页码几乎是全新的。他隐约的感觉到:自然界中的数字好像不是均匀分布的,许多数字都以1开头,所以对数表的前几页才经常被人查阅到。

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西蒙.纽康

1938年,物理学家本福特也发现了这个规律,现在被我们称为本福特定律:

从自然、生活中产生的数据,在十进制中以数字n开头的概率为:

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本福特定律预测的首位数概率分布

首位是1的数据居然比首位是9的数据多出六倍?事实真的是这样吗?

3数据检验

我们需要使用一些数据来验证本福特定律,这些数据必须具有一些特点:

第一:数据产生于生活或者自然中的,而不能是人为规定的,例如新生儿数量、死亡人数就满足这个条件,而电话号码、邮政编码、彩票开奖号码,都不满足这个规律。

第二:数据量要足够大,并且跨越几个量级。例如不同国家国家的人口从几百到几十亿,跨越了7个量级,就符合条件。而成人的身高基本都在1米到2米之间,跨度太小,就不满足这个条件。

好了,现在我们可以进行验证了。首先,我选择我的视频播放量数据来验证本福特定律。我在某个平台上上传了266个科普视频,有些视频比较受欢迎,播放量比较大,比如视频《芯片是怎么回事》有两百多万次播放。也有一些播放情况不太好,只有一两万次播放。我把所有视频的播放次数统计了出来,统计出播放次数首数字为1的(无论是播放量1万多、十几万或者一百多万)、是2、是3…的视频个数,并且计算了它们各自所占的比例,如下所示:

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某平台视频播放量首位数比例

如果我们把视频播放量的首位数比例和本福特定律预言的比例放在一起,就会发现:视频播放量基本符合本福特定律。

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视频播放量首位数比例与本福特定律对比

我们再来用国家人口验证一下。我查找了2000年世界上235个国家和地区的人口情况,人口首位数是1的国家有67个,占比28.5%。具体的首位数比例如下:

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世界各国人口首位数比例

把实际的频率和本福特定律的预测放在一起,就得到了下图,是不是也非常接近?

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各国人口首位数比例与本福特定律对比

我们还可以用类似的方法统计世界上所有国家的GDP数据、领土面积等等,也会获得类似的结果。

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各国GDP(美元计)首位数比例

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各国领土面积(平方公里计)首位数比例

如果我们认为:无论是视频播放量还是国家人口、领土面积、GDP等,都或多或少是因为人的因素造成的,我们是否能找到与人无关的数据呢?我们再举一例:斐波那契数列。

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斐波那契数列的图形化表示

斐波那契数列也叫做兔子数列,前两个数字都是1,后面每个数字都等于前两个数字之和,于是这个数列就是

1、1、2、3、5、8、13、21、34、55、89…

我统计了前154个斐波那契数,它的大小已经从1增长到1031,其中首位数是1的数字有45个,占比29.2%。其余首位数的比例如下:

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斐波那契数列首位数比例

是不是非常神奇?除了斐波那契数列,许多物理、化学常数(例如放射性元素的半衰期)也符合本福特定律的预言。

4用本福特定律发现假账

如果我们掌握了本福特定律,就可以利用这个定律发现财务数据造假,因为造假者人为篡改了数据,就会与本福特定律产生偏差。这里最典型的例子是安然公司。


安然公司倒闭

2001年,美国最大的能源交易商、年收入破千亿美元的安然公司宣布破产,同时传出公司财务造假的传闻。于是,有人用本福特定律对安然公司公布的财务报表进行了检验。下图中左侧是所有上市公司的财务数据与本福特定律的符合情况——简直可以用“精准”二字形容;而右图是安然公司在2000-2001年的财务数据与本福特定律的偏离情况,我们会发现数字1、8、9频率相比本福特定律明显偏大,而数字2、3、4、5、7又明显偏小。这说明:安然公司的确有造假嫌疑。

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全体上市公司和安然公司财务数据与本福特定律对比

最终,经过深入细致的调查,美国司法部认定安然公司财务造假,安然公司CEO杰弗里·斯基林被判刑24年并罚款4500万美元;财务欺诈策划者费斯托被判6年徒刑并罚款2380万美元。有89年历史并且位列全球五大会计师事务所的安达信因帮助安然公司造假,被判处妨碍司法公正罪后宣告破产,从此全球五大会计师事务所变成「四大」。

现在,本福特定律已经成为会计师们判断销售数据、财务报表等数据是否造假的依据之一,甚至还有人使用本福特定律来检验选举中是否存在舞弊现象。例如:本次美国大选中,有网友指出:拜登在包括威斯康星州密尔沃基、伊利诺伊州芝加哥和宾夕法尼亚州阿勒格尼的曲线均不满足“本福特定律”,而与此同时,特朗普在多个地区的曲线却又正好满足或基本满足该定律。


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截图自“GitHub”

这是否意味着拜登存在选举舞弊?本着不干涉他国内政的原则,我对此不便于评论(评论也没啥用),让子弹飞一会儿,继续看戏。

5如何证明本福特定律?

那么,自然界中为什么会有这条神奇的定律呢?我们如何才能证明它?

因为本福特定律并非是严格定律,只在特定条件下成立,所以并不存在一般意义上的证明。或许,我们应该说,我们可以研究:究竟什么样的数据更加符合本福特定律。

在生活中,有许多数据满足这样的特点:单位时间内的增长量正比于存量

比如,我有100元,存到银行里,年利息3%,明年就会变成103元。如果我有100万,存到银行里,明年就会变成103万,这就是典型的增量正比于存量的情况。再比如,在相似的经济环境下,人口的自然增长率是比较固定的,所以一个国家的人口越多,每年新增的人口也会越多,这也符合增量正比于存量。

视频播放量又如何呢?许多视频网站都采用数据流推送的方式,一个视频有越多的人观看、点赞、评论、转发,系统就会把这个视频推送给更多的人,于是新增的观看次数也会越多。

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这就是本福特定律。

两位数是这样,三位数、四位数、五位数也同样如此。每一个数据首位数的概率情况如此,那么当大量数据堆积到一起,首位数的频率情况满足本福特定律,就不足为奇了。


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        组织下辖文学城 文章链接:

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/pXEr11FAesA2TmPSC8cN4A


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BREAKING @SidneyPowell1 “You might as well call them Venezuelan machines, because that’s essentially what they are, through a number of different companies, to do this. And yes, we have Venezuelan communists, influenced by Cuban communists, counting our votes and deciding how our 

2. election is going to come out. It’s an absolute outrage. It should be being investigated by the highest levels of our intel investigators, preferably MILITARY ... because it’s a NATIONAL SECURITY THREAT. That’s exactly why they’ve done this. Don’t forget China’s influence on 

3. all of it too. There’s Chinese money and graft in Venezuela.” 💥

Ask yourself, in the context of China’s decades long cozy & corrupt relationship with the Biden family [as revealed in the contents of the Hunter laptop, corroborated by his business associates] & 

4. @realDonaldTrump’s persistent efforts to confront China by: re-balancing trade, striking new trade deals w/ other nations [South Korea, Japan, UK, USMCA], shifting manufacturing back to the US & Puerto Rico, imposing sanctions, lowering our corporate tax rate to compete on the 

5. world stage, protecting intellectual property, the Phase-1 deal & more ... do you think China might have a tad bit of motive to put their thumb on the scales in this election? We all know that our corrupt media, political establishment, Hollywood and many world leaders would 

6. be all too willing to aid in this effort in order to regain power, protect their graft, insulate themselves from criminal probes & weaken the US to move forward w/ their plans to eliminate nation-states, massively expand the power of international organizations [ie. UN, WHO] 

7. and initiate The Great Reset” + “Agenda 2030” protocols, among other things. How convenient that this was all precipitated by a virus that originated in Wuhan, whose lethality, by all accounts, has been completely blown out of proportion by the corporate media, our political 

8. establishment and even supposed “medical experts” [ie. Fauci - who expressed his love for Hillary Clinton in the Wikileaks emails] to justify extreme lockdown measures [crushing Western economies], colossal expansions of government power, mass mail-in votes, government spying 

9. [GPS contact tracing] and more. Not for nothing, it was also a windfall for multinational corporations and Big Pharma, because we all know what trustworthy and honest brokers they can be. We know beyond a shadow of a doubt that the tests are highly inaccurate, the death counts 

10. produced by the CDC include people who died of clear alternate causes and that the side-effects of the measures being promoted are far worse than any benefit that’s been demonstrated by “the science”. All of this is in the election year of what is undoubtedly the most 

10. polarized, consequential and hotly contest Presidential race in modern history, particularly given the MOUNTAINS of documented evidence detailing crimes of unthinkable proportions committed by the Obama admin, corrupt bureaucrats + intel officials, the media and politicians 

11. in both parties to spy on, frame & throttle the ability of the Trump administration to succeed. Perhaps this is all one big coincidence ...

or perhaps it was highly coordinated. One thing I know for sure, this election & battle to preserve the Republic is far from over. 🇺🇸 


BREAKING @ SidneyPowell1 “您最好将它们称为委内瑞拉机器,因为通过许多不同的公司,这基本上就是他们要做的。是的,我们有委内瑞拉共产党人,他们受到古巴共产党人的影响,计算我们的选票,并决定如何 

2.选举即将举行。这是绝对的愤怒。应该由我们最高级别的情报调查人员对它进行调查,最好是军方……因为这是国家安全威胁。这就是他们这样做的原因。不要忘记中国对 

3.所有这一切。委内瑞拉有中国人的钱和贪污钱。” 💥

问问自己,在中国与拜登家族长达数十年的舒适和腐败关系的背景下(正如亨特笔记本电脑的内容所揭示,并得到他的商业伙伴的证实)& 

4. @realDonaldTrump通过与中国对抗的持续努力:重新平衡贸易,与其他国家[韩国,日本,英国,USMCA]达成新的贸易协议,将制造业转移回美国和波多黎各,实施制裁,降低我们的公司税率以竞争 

5.世界舞台,保护知识产权,第一阶段交易及更多……您认为中国可能有一点动机在这次选举中大放异彩吗?我们都知道,我们腐败的媒体,政治机构,好莱坞和许多世界领导人将 

6.十分愿意协助这项工作,以便重新获得权力,保护其贪污腐败行为,使自己免受犯罪调查的侵害并削弱美国继续前进以消除其民族国家的计划,大规模扩大国际组织的力量[即 联合国,世卫组织] 

7.并启动《大重置》 +“ 2030年议程”协议。这一切都是由起源于武汉的病毒引发的,这很方便,据报道,武汉的致命性已被企业媒体,我们的政治机构完全摧毁。 

8.机构甚至被认为是“医学专家” [即 福西(Fauci)-在Wikileaks电子邮件中表达了对希拉里·克林顿(Hillary Clinton)的热爱,以证明极端的封锁措施(压碎西方经济体),政府权力的全面扩张,大量投寄票数,政府间谍 

9. [GPS联系人跟踪]等。对于跨国公司和Big Pharma而言,这并非没有代价,因为我们都知道他们可以成为什么可信赖和诚实的经纪人。我们毫不怀疑地知道测试是非常不准确的,死亡很重要 

10.美国疾病预防控制中心(CDC)生产的人员死于明显的其他原因,并且所倡导措施的副作用远不及“科学”所证明的任何益处。所有这些都在毫无疑问是最重要的选举年 

10.在现代历史上,两极分化,结果性和激烈竞争的总统竞选,尤其是考虑到有大量证据表明,奥巴马行政当局,腐败的官僚+情报官员,媒体和政客犯下了难以想象的罪行 

11.在双方进行监视,限制和限制特朗普政府成功的能力。也许这只是一个很大的巧合……

或者它是高度协调的。我可以肯定知道的一件事是,这场为维护共和国而进行的选举和战斗还远远没有结束。🇺🇸 


https://threadreaderapp.com


/thread/1328429132854784001.html


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Another one of Trump’s lawyers was harassed and threatened for the ‘crime’ of representing the President of the United States.

Last week the anti-American hacks at The Lincoln Project doxxed and harassed two of President Trump’s Pennsylvania lawyers prompting them to withdraw from a voter fraud case.

Now another one of President Trump’s lawyers had her life threatened after she filed a civil rights lawsuit to ensure a clean election in Pennsylvania.

Philadelphia lawyer Linda Kerns said in a Sunday night court filing that she was harassed and threatened by a lawyer working for Kirkland & Ellis.

TRENDING: WE CAUGHT THEM! Part 4: We Were Able to Replicate SAME IMPOSSIBLE BALLOT RATIO Found in Michigan's Kent County As Reported by Dr. Shiva – 20,000 Votes Switched from Trump to Biden

“Since this case was filed, undersigned counsel has been subjected to continuous harassment in the form of abuse e-mails, phone calls, physical and economic threats, and even accusations of treason – all for representing the President of the United States’ campaign in this litigation,” wrote Kerns in her filing.

“On November 14, 2020 at 8:43 am, an attorney at Kirkland & Ellis left a one-minute voicemail for undersigned counsel. The voicemail, which has been provided to counsel of record from Kirkland & Ellis in this case and will be provided to the Court via email upon request, speaks for itself and by any measure falls afoul of standards of professional conduct.”

Kirkland & Ellis’s lawyer tried to deny one of their attorneys harassed and threatened Linda Kerns before finally admitting it and then defending the conduct.

“Contacted about this message, Secretary Boockvar’s counsel first opined that despite the caller identification on the voicemail the call may not have been placed from Kirkland & Ellis. Confronted with the fact that the firm issues cell phones to its lawyers and it should be easy to check a directory to confirm that this number belongs to one of his colleagues, opposing counsel finally admitted that it did, but then excused the conduct by saying the lawyer (who works in the same office) does not work on this case or in litigation, and offering that the call was “discourteous” and apologizing for wasting time.”

Kerns asked for the Court to apply “what sanction is appropriate, and respectfully ask for an order to show cause for the above-described conduct of Secretary Bookvar’s counsel.”

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特朗普的另一位律师因代表美国总统的“罪行”而受到骚扰和威胁。

上周,林肯项目(Lincoln Project)上的反美黑客行为对特朗普总统的宾夕法尼亚州两名律师进行了骚扰和骚扰,促使他们退出了选民欺诈案。

现在,特朗普总统的另一位律师在提起民权诉讼以确保在宾夕法尼亚州举行一次干净的选举后,生命受到威胁。

费城律师琳达·科恩斯(Linda Kerns)在周日晚上的法庭文件中说,她被在柯克兰与埃利斯(Kirkland&Ellis)工作的律师骚扰和威胁。

趋势: 我们对它们进行了处理!第4部分:如Shiva博士所报道,我们能够复制在密歇根州肯特县发现的相同的不可投票比率-20,000票从特朗普改成拜登

“自本案提起以来,签名律师一直受到虐待,包括滥用电子邮件,电话,人身和经济威胁甚至叛国罪的指控,这些都是为了代表美国总统竞选活动。这项诉讼,”克恩斯在文件中写道。

“ 2020年11月14日上午8:43,Kirkland&Ellis的律师给签名的律师留下了一分钟的语音邮件。语音邮件已由Kirkland&Ellis提供给记录律师,并将根据要求通过电子邮件提供给法院。语音邮件本身就可以说明一切,并且在任何情况下都违反专业行为标准。”

柯克兰·埃利斯(Kirkland&Ellis)的律师试图否认他们的一位律师受到骚扰并威胁琳达·科恩斯(Linda Kerns),然后才最终承认,然后为该行为辩护。

“与该消息联系后,Boockvar秘书的律师首先认为,尽管语音邮件中有呼叫者身份证明,但可能不是来自Kirkland&Ellis的呼叫。面对该公司向其律师发行手机的事实,应该很容易检查目录以确认此号码属于他的一位同事,反对律师最后承认是的,但随后通过说律师(在同一办公室工作)不会处理此案或提起诉讼,并提出电话是“不道德的”,并为浪费时间而道歉。

克恩斯要求法院采取“适当的制裁措施,并尊重地要求下达命令,以表明书记秘书的上述行为的成因。”

 点击进入,逐一御览所有证据:  


https://twitter.com/VeritasTXgem



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作者:Pascal 留言时间:2020-11-17 23:04:52

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作者:Pascal 留言时间:2020-11-17 01:14:35

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作者:Pascal 回复 一冰 留言时间:2020-11-16 20:30:51

是,什么定律都不用,就可看出来,作假做到急火火往上窜,顾不得遮掩、假装掺进一些川票,完全是一派疯癫状,而且是好几个州拜票齐头同步上窜。

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作者:一冰 留言时间:2020-11-16 17:58:42

我这个不是学数学的都看出来了,最后一刻,川普仿佛被死死按住,一票不涨,拜登一方却蹭蹭地涨,也太假了,我看过多次选举(在国外新鲜,死死盯着),都是此消彼长,交替上升,咬得很紧,哪有这样的,一看就是人为的,常识都看出来了,那天我这么说,还有个睁眼说瞎话的说我是傻子川粉,我都懒得搭理他,走着瞧就是了。

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作者:体育老师 回复 thesunlover 留言时间:2020-11-16 14:22:47

[只有这三个地区不满足“本福特”定律,是否说明在其它地区满足这个定律?也就是拜登只在三个地区作弊??]

只望魔高一尺,道高一丈!

败燈当选?天理何在?

回复 | 2
作者:Pascal 留言时间:2020-11-16 14:12:05

November 5, 2020

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According to CBS News, President Trump does not plan to concede in the event that the media declares Joe Biden the winner of the election, and elected the 46th president of the United States. The Trump campaign and it’s top advisers called for multiple lawsuits on the grounds that the ongoing vote count would result in tallying illegally cast ballots.

The lawsuits will amount to an aggressive effort to highlight anomalies, statistical impossibilities, or other perceived problems that could affect vote counts before a final presidential winner is declared.

Many reporters at press conferences that took place in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Michigan on Thursday asked his political appointees and supporters for evidence of the wide-scale problems they alleged occurred.

If it is just the mathematical evidence Americans are looking for, there is endless evidence. Here are just the facts.

Statistical Impossibilities in Wisconsin and Michigan:

In Wisconsin, voter turnout matched the record high of 2004. The Wisconsin Elections Commission uses the estimated voting age population as the denominator when calculating statewide voter turnout numbers. According to the Elections Commission, there was a 73 percent turnout in this Wisconsin election.

Turnout was 67 percent in 2016; 70 percent in 2012; 69 percent in 2008; and 73 percent in 2004. Apparently Joe Biden smashed Barack Obama’s 2008 turnout in most places in the country.

In both Michigan and Wisconsin, several vote dumps occurred at approximately 4am on Wednesday morning, which showed that Joe Biden received almost 100 percent of the votes. President Trump was leading by hundreds of thousands of votes in both states as America went to sleep, and turnout in the state of Wisconsin seems to be particularly impossible.

With absentee ballots, former vice-president Joe Biden was also up 60 points in Pennsylvania and almost 40 points in Michigan According to the New York Times. Comparably, Biden was only up single digits in absentee voting in most other battleground states. Wisconsin has not yet been reported.

Elections officials in Michigan and Wisconsin could not explain Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s sudden and dramatic vote tally increase that occurred in both states Wednesday morning.

When asked at a Wednesday press conference how this occurred, Michigan Department of State spokesperson Aneta Kiersnowski told reporters “We cannot speculate as to why the results lean one way or another.”

This is particularly concerning considering republicans led in mail-in ballots requested and mail-in and in-person ballots returned leading up to and at the start of election day.

According to NBC News on election day before the polls opened, In Michigan, Republicans led 41% to 39% in Mail-in Ballots requested. Republicans also led 42% to 39% with Mail-in and in-person ballots returned.

In Wisconsin on election day before the polls opened, Republicans led Mail-in Ballots requested 43% to 35%, and Mail-in and early in-person ballots returned 43% to 35%. Almost ALL of the ballots found, while most in the country were sleeping, after they officials stated they would stop counting, were for Joe Biden.

In Arizona where the election remains at a razor thin margin, and some analysts say might flip back to Trump, Republicans led there as well on election day.

Republicans led in mail-in ballots requested and mail-in and early early in-person ballots returned at by an even bigger percentage in Georgia than Arizona.

Some statistically savvy observers noticed other mathematical flaws, as random numbers in statistics should follow a pattern in their distribution. If the numbers are falsified, it is easy to detect.

The increase in Democrats relative to Republicans was significantly higher when the Democrat was doing worse overall in early counting. Within each ward, late votes broke heavily to the Democrat in exactly the races where they are likely to affect the result.

Fast Arriving Pennsylvania Ballots

Ballots in Pennsylvania also seem to be arriving before they’re sent out, arriving the same day, or arriving just one day after being mailed out. A data analyst explains that there are so called “fast traveling” ballots appearing. Their distribution is skewed towards mail in applications compared to the rest which are skewed towards online applications. He plotted BallottSentDate vs DallotReturnedDate. And added (BallotSentDate vs BallotSentDate) on the same plot which gave a straight line (1:1). Everything below this line traveled back in time.

If only look at those “suspicious” mail-in ballot – most of them come from Philadelphia and Lehigh, around 44%There is a difference in percentage of ’suspicious’ ballots by mail application type. OLMAILV- This is a mail ballot application that was submitted online. MAILIN-This is a mail-in ballot application. ‘Suspicious’ ballots have higher ratio of Mail-In compared to Online than normal ballots. You would expect that under normal circumstances, and if there is a perfectly legal explanation for the ‘suspicious ballots,’ the turnaround time should not depend on how the ballot was requested? Also, table above is colored by %age for “% of Total(Y)” – Y for ‘suspicious.’

Here is the percent of “suspicious” ballots vs age by county. In red are the three counties where ballots for older people get more suspicious, the blue is for younger people. Green and Lehigh are record breaking for percentage of suspicious ballots, both skewed towards older people.

Sworn Affidavits and Testimonies of Fraud

A new elections lawsuit filed in Michigan on Sunday alleges massive voter fraud in vote-counting procedures in Wayne County, a Democratic stronghold and home to the city of Detroit.

Witnesses filing sworn affidavits under oath allege that Wayne County elections officials encouraged fraud, including changing legal names and dates on ballots, ballot-harvesting, voter intimidation, and preventing poll watchers from challenging irregularities in the vote-counting process.

“This type of widespread fraud in the counting and processing of voter ballots cannot be allowed to stand. Michigan citizens are entitled to know that their elections are conducted in a fair and legal manner and that every legal vote is properly counted,” said David A. Kallman, an attorney with the Great Lakes Justice Center.

There are several sworn testimonies and witness accounts from election or postal workers, who claim that fraud was being engaged in and ballots were being wrongly discarded.

This Breakdown is From Ideas and Data:

Another portion of the sworn statements from Detroit indicate that several boxes of ballots were brought in through the back door of the TCF center at 9pm on Wednesday. Despite election rules clearly stating that all ballots needed to be inputted into the system by 9pm on Tuesday, November 3rd, election workers inputted the entire batch into the QVF system and manually added each voter to the list after 9pm.

The sworn affidavit states that the vast majority of these ballots were from people that were born on January 1st, 1900. This would make the ‘voters’ all almost 121 years old.

An alleged picture of these names in the system was taken by an observer who was later kicked out for photography.

When searching for one specific name, Paul Jones, official Michigan residents data shows a man born in 1966. A question many internet sleuths have asked, is could this be the same Paul Jones, or his relative?

A sworn affidavit from Detroit indicates the date of 1/1/1900 was likely a birthdate that was input into the system for other names in the qualified voter file who were not voting this election.

Another part of the statement claims election workers assigned ballots to random names already in the Qualified Voter File to people who haven’t voted in the 2020 election. The sworn statement alleges that election workers systematically used false information in order to be able to process the absentee ballots, such as false birthdays. “Election workers assigned ballots to random names already in the QVF to a person who had not voted. Defendants systematically used false information to process absentee ballots, such as using incorrect of false birthdays. Many times the election workers inserted new names into the QVF after the election and recorded these new voters as having a birthdate of 1/1/1900”Could this be the reason the Birthdate of January 1st, 1900 appears?

Massive Enthusiasm Gap:

Joe Biden with almost record low enthusiasm, underperformed across many major cities compared to Hillary Clinton in 2016.

In New York City, Chicago, and Miami, he was down 201,408, 260,835, and 6,945 respectively.

However, in the states Biden needed to overtake Trump in 2020, he gained massively. According to the Associated Press vote total data, in Atlanta, Milwaukee, and Pittsburg, he was up 76,518, 67,630, and 29,150 respectively.According to polling, The difference in enthusiasm for the candidates is significant. Trump leads 52.9 percent to 45 percent among the 51.2 percent of registered Rust Belt voters who say they are “Extremely Enthusiastic” about voting for their preferred candidate. Among likely voters who are extremely enthusiastic, the president enjoys a double-digit advantage—60.5 percent to 44.9 percent. Less than half of the supporters of former vice president Joe Biden, (46.9 percent) said they were voting for Joe Biden because they like the candidate. Approximately 8 in 10 voted for President Trump because they wanted his as President.

Pennsylvania Chaos:

In Pennsylvania, Trump led by almost 800,000 votes on election night after most Americans headed to bed. Over the course of the last 72 hours, President Trump’s lead shrunk to less than a 95,000 vote lead in the keystone state, and then Joe Biden took the lead.

Over the past couple of days, batches of votes started flowing into the final tally, mostly in favor of Joe Biden. Five Thirty Eight reported recently that “Two more batches of Pennsylvania vote were reported: 23,277 votes in Philadelphia, all for Biden”

The Pennsylvania Democratic Party predicted the remaining 580,000 uncounted mail-in ballots will go resoundingly for Joe Biden, projecting that the former vice president will carry the state by about 175,000 votes.

“Based on the Party distribution of the ballots cast in each county, we believe that 75% of the remaining ballots will go to Joe Biden,” state Sen. Sharif Street wrote in a statement. “We project Biden will win by about 175,000 votes.”

Biden is only leading in Pennsylvania by just a few thousand votes.

According to Politico, it was the ballots found in postal facilities that put Biden over the top in Pennsylvania. Postal workers found more than 1,000 ballots in Philadelphia facilities Thursday and 300 in Pittsburgh. The Philadelphia and Pittsburgh ballots were part of more than 2,000 ballots discovered in dozens of postal facilities across the two states and expedited to election officials, pursuant to a judge’s court order.

For what it’s worth, there also happens to be a record number of 90-year-olds registered to vote in one year, than at any point in Pennsylvania history.

A Pennsylvania mail carrier said in a sworn affidavit that he was ordered to collect and submit late ballots. He said supervisors then backdated them so that they appeared to be mailed in time.

“Postmaster Rob Weisenbach directed my co-workers and I to pick up ballots after Election Day and provide them to him,” Mr. Hopkins said in an affidavit. “As discussed more fully below, I heard Weisenbach tell a supervisor at my office that Weisenbach was back-dating the postmarks on the ballots to make it appear as though the ballots had been collected on November 3, 2020 despite them in fact being collected on November 4 and possibly later.”

Confirmed Errors:

On election day, there were several confirmed reporting errors that were fixed upon being revealed by journalists as they watched the numbers roll in.

Arizona

In Arizona according to Politico, An error found in Edison Research data that was identified by a journalist showed that 98% of the vote had been counted in Arizona when in fact only 84% of the vote had been counted. Officials corrected this mistake when it was pointed out.

Georgia

In Georgia, Voters were unable to cast machine ballots for a couple of hours in Morgan and Spalding counties after the electronic devices crashed, state officials said.

The companies “uploaded something last night, which is not normal, and it caused a glitch,” said Marcia Ridley, elections supervisor at Spalding County Board of Election. That glitch prevented poll workers from using the pollbooks to program smart cards that the voters insert into the voting machines.

“That is something that they don’t ever do. I’ve never seen them update anything the day before the election,” Ridley said. Ridley said she did not know what the upload contained.

Michigan

There was also something suspicious about the vote reporting in Antrim County, Michigan, where Trump beat Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016. Initial vote totals there showed Biden ahead of Trump by 29 points, a result that can’t possibly be accurate, as plenty of journalists noted.

When NY Times journalist pointed this out on Twitter, they corrected this and called this an ‘error.’

According to the Detroit Free Press, a USA Today affiliate, officials investigated the wonky election results in Antrim County.

Antrim County Clerk Sheryl Guy said results on electronic tapes and a computer were somehow scrambled after the cards were transported in sealed bags from township precincts to county offices and uploaded onto a computer.

In 2016, Trump won Antrim County with about 62% of the vote, compared with about 33% for Democrat Hillary Clinton. Trump beat Clinton by about 4,000 votes.

Wednesday morning, Antrim results showed Democrat Joe Biden leading Trump by slightly more than 3,000 votes, with 98% of precincts reporting.

Video Player00:0000:49

More in Michigan

In Oakland County’s 15th county commission district, a fixed computer glitch turned a losing Republican into a winner. A computer error led election officials in Oakland County to hand an upset victory Wednesday to a Democrat, only to switch the win back to an incumbent Republican a day later. The incumbent, Adam Kochenderfer appeared to lose by a few hundred votes, an outcome that seemed odd to many in his campaign. After the apparent computer error was found and fixed, Kochenderfer ended up winning by over 1,000 votes.

There were many other confirmed errors, including in Virginia where 100,000 extra votes were tallied for Joe Biden, and more may be revealed as the weeks go on.

There were also many processing delays, specifically in Fulton county Georgia where a pipe suddenly burst in the processing center.

On November 4th, at approximately 6:07 a.m., the staff at State Farm Arena notified Fulton County Registration and Elections of a burst pipe affecting the room where absentee ballots were being tabulated.

As of 7 p.m. on Wednesday Fulton County Elections officials said 30,000 absentee ballots were not processed due to a pipe burst. Officials reassured voters that none of the ballots were damaged and the water was quickly cleaned up.

But the emergency delayed officials from processing ballots between 5:30 a.m. and 9:30 a.m.

Biden’s Vote Tallies Supposedly Violate Benford’s Law:

Some data scientists allege that Biden’s Vote Tallies in some parts of the country violate Benford’s Law. All of the other candidates’ tallies follow Benford’s law across the country, except for Biden when he gets into some tight races. Benford’s law is one accepted test for catching election fraud, used by the State Department and forensic accountants.

Walter Mebane stated Monday that some data is in fact inconsistent, but cautioned analyzing before all vote tallies have been concluded.

Analysts previously ran the data with Allegheny absentee ballots specifically, using the Mebane 2nd digit test with Trump vs Biden. In Trump’s there were only 2 deviations but neither were significant at the 5% level.

For Biden in Allegheny absentee ballots, there are multiple significant deviations. For Trump, none of the deviations are significant at the 5% level.

Walter Mebane weighed in on the second digit analysis in a paper. He claims that Fulton county Georgia has inconsistent second digits for Democrats, but does not provide a statistical analysis as he claims he is lacking precinct data. Mebane also mentioned Chicago was inconsistent as well. He evaluated Milwaukee County and Allegheny County (not absentee ballots) and concluded that second digit distribution is consistent with Benford’s law.

Mebane’s final verdict regarding the elections in these and other jurisdictions is that analysts “should await the final production of completed vote counts and should draw on additional information about election processes that go beyond mere vote count data.”

Senate and House Races Compared to Presidential Seem Curious

Others have taken a look at ballot numbers in important states with no down-ballot votes, versus states that are not swing states, and noticed a disturbing trend.

In Michigan, Trump received 2,637,173 votes while the GOP senate candidate received 2,630,042 votes. The difference here is only 7,131 which is not far off from what we see historically. In the same state, Joe Biden received 2,787,544 votes while the Democratic senate candidate received 2,718,451. The difference is 69,093 votes which is much higher than the historical norm.

In Georgia, it’s even worse. President Trump gained 2,432,799 votes, while the GOP Senate candidate tallied 2,433,617 votes. This is a difference of only 818 votes. Joe Biden in contrast gained 2,414,651 votes, while his Democratic Senate candidate tallied 2,318,850 votes. This is a difference of 95,801 votes.

In many counties and states across the country, including in those called for Biden or where Trump is now trailing, Republicans substantially overperformed what was projected. NBC estimates Republicans may ultimately end up gaining as many as eight seats.

In Cuyahoga, Ohio, Joe Biden only had a net gain of 4,000 votes compared to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance, yet at the same time had a net gain of almost 70,000 in Wayne County Michigan. Numbers like this are unprecedented and highly questionable. Some economists have even expressed their confusion regarding what happened in Wayne county and Milwaukee in the dead of night.

Joe Biden apparently ended up with millions more votes than Barack Obama received in his historic 2008 election where he ended up with 365 electoral votes, winning Florida, North Carolina, and even Indiana. This is even with millions more votes to be counted yet in 2020.

Former Politicians of Blue Cities Chime In:

President Trump was leading big until certain Rust Belt states froze their ballot return reports. When reporting resumed, Trump began to lose steadily.In Mexico, 1988, the PRI was losing handily until ballot returns froze, only to resume in a massive pro-PRI turnaround. “In an autobiography that began circulating in Mexico this week, de la Madrid sheds more light on that dark night in Mexico’s history. What he reveals is not new, political analysts said. But in 850 pages, de la Madrid’s memoirs give the firmest confirmation to date of one of this country’s biggest open secrets: the presidential elections of 1988 were rigged.

Political analysts and historians have described that election as one of the most egregious examples of the fraud that allowed the Institutional Revolutionary Party to control this country for more than seven decades, and the beginning of the end of its authoritarian rule.”

Rod Blagojevich explained that there is no question that this is what is happening in Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit, and other cities. “In big cities where they control the political apparatus and they control the apparatus that counts the votes, and they control the polling places and the ones who count the votes, it’s widespread and it’s deep,” Blagojevich said on Friday.

Video Player00:0002:06

I guess even corrupt politicians who went to jail understand the impossibility that Biden outperformed Hillary Clinton in only cities located in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Wisconsin. All while the GOP lost zero house races, and won 8 of 11 governors races.

As Nicaraguan dictator Anastasio Somoza once said, “Indeed, you won the elections, but I won the count.”

Ballots Received After Election Day

A federal judge on Wednesday said he may call Postmaster General Louis DeJoy to testify about why the U.S. Postal Service missed an Election-Day deadline to sweep locations in several states for left behind mail-in ballots.

The order, issued by U.S. District Judge Emmet G. Sullivan, was meant to trigger sweeps of facilities in six key battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Texas, Arizona and Florida. Some of the 12 districts included in the order have legislation against accepting ballots after midnight on election night.

“Now you can tell your clients this in no uncertain terms,” Sullivan said in a Wednesday hearing. “I am not pleased about this 11th-hour development last night. You can tell your clients that someone may have a price to pay for that.”

According to the Washington Post, more than 150,000 ballots were caught in U.S. Postal Service processing facilities and not delivered by Election Day.

In a pair of decisions, the Supreme Court on Wednesday let election officials in two key battleground states, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, accept absentee ballots for several days after Election Day.

In the Pennsylvania case, the court refused a plea from Republicans in the state that it decide before Election Day whether election officials can continue receiving absentee ballots until November 12th.

In the North Carolina case, the court let stand lower court rulings that allowed the state’s board of elections to extend the deadline to nine days after Election Day, up from the three days called for by the state legislature.

On October 26th, the Supreme Court declined to extend the deadline for counting of mail-in votes in Wisconsin, a victory for Republicans who brought the legal challenge. This particular extension order originally came from a federal judge in September, a crucial point that the conservatives on the court all agreed on: federal courts shouldn’t micromanage state-run elections.

The Supreme Court ordered Pennsylvania Democrats to respond by Thursday evening in a case challenging the state’s three-day extension for counting mail-in ballots.

President Trump has moved to intervene in a lawsuit brought by Pennsylvania Republicans, arguing the state’s Democratic Party and Secretary of State violated the law by extending the time for counting mail-in ballots to Nov. 6 at 5 p.m., despite the state legislature setting the deadline as Election Day.

The lawsuit takes issue with a state Supreme Court ruling that postmarked ballots be presumed to have been mailed before Nov. 3, even if not clearly postmarked to that effect.

North Carolina will not finish counting votes in the presidential and state elections until local elections boards process outstanding mail-in and provisional ballots next week, according to state elections officials.

The process, spelled out in state law, means the winner of North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes for president likely won’t be known until next Friday, Nov. 13.

The court, at Trump’s request, recently issued an interim order to election boards to set aside certain mail ballots that lack identifying info for the voter, and to not count those votes until after the court rules further.

Thousands of Deceased Confirmed to Be Registered and Some Even Voting:

An observer noticed something curious about some of the names on the ballots recorded in the state of Michigan. Upon further review, one particular name out of the list, and confirmed to have cast a ballot, happened to be born in 1902 and passed away in 1984.

A pollster noticed the list and video, and used social security death index data confirming the deceased registered voter.

Video Player00:0001:14

Here is a list of over 14,000 dead people who either voted in Wayne County (Detroit) or we’re registered to vote.

Here is the website where you can verify for yourself. Note that you have to guess-check the month of birth.

Another poll watcher who was later kicked out for taking photographs, noticed a decent sized list of Michigan residents who have also been confirmed to have cast their ballots. All of the names on the list he reviewed show their birthdate in chronological order. Apparently, there are many voters born in the early 1900’s in the great lakes state.

A lawsuit filed by the Public Interest Legal Foundation (PILF) alleges that there are at least 21,000 dead people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls. The lawsuit claims that Pennsylvania failed to “reasonably maintain” their voter registration records under federal and state law in time for the 2020 presidential election.

“As of October 7, 2020, at least 9,212 registrants have been dead for at least five years, at least 1,990 registrants have been dead for at least ten years, and at least 197 registrants have been dead for at least twenty years,” the lawsuit states.

“Pennsylvania still left the names of more than 21,000 dead individuals on the voter rolls less than a month before one of the most consequential general elections for federal officeholders in many years,” the lawsuit continues.

According to the lawsuit, about 92 percent of the 21,000 dead people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls died sometime before October 2019. About 216 dead people show voting credits after federally listed dates of death in 2016 and 2018, the lawsuit alleges.

Studies Finds Hundreds of Thousands of Illegal Ballots, and More Votes than Existing Registered Voters:

According to CBS LA, Ellen Swensen with the Election Integrity Project California says they found more than 277,000 questionable ballots were mailed this election year in L.A. County before election day.

That’s 63% of all the questionable ballots mailed statewide.

It includes more than 4,800 duplicate ballots mailed to the same person, and 728 ballots mailed to people who likely have died. In 2016 their investigation found many dead voters still registered. Now four years later, there are more.

If this is happening in LA, it’s certainly happening in major cities nationwide.

In October, Judicial Watch released a comparison study of Census Bureau population statistics and state voter registration data to reveal a notable disparity.

The study found that 352 U.S. counties in 29 states managed to have 1.8 million more registered voters than eligible voting-age citizens.

“In other words, the registration rates of those counties exceeded 100% of eligible voters. The study found eight states showing state-wide registration rates exceeding 100% including Michigan.

Milwaukee recently ‘updated’ its voting data for its wards after a newspaper pointed out 7 wards had more votes than registered voters. Some voter turnouts originally showed higher than 200%.

Updated

In Nevada, lawsuits are underway regarding over 3,000 individuals who have cast their ballot illegally in the election.

A Letter to from lawyers to Attorney General Bill Barr, which included 60 pages voter records, stated that they have identified 3,062 individuals who appear to have improperly cast mail ballot in the election. We verified this by cross referencing the names and addresses of voters with National Change of Address database,” said Catherine Herridge of CBS News.

回复 | 2
作者:thesunlover 留言时间:2020-11-16 13:41:45

"拜登在包括威斯康星州密尔沃基、伊利诺伊州芝加哥和宾夕法尼亚州阿勒格尼的曲线均不满足“本福特定律”,而与此同时,特朗普在多个地区的曲线却又正好满足或基本满足该定律。"

只说了结论,却没说过程,这个大选曲线是根据什么数据画出来的?还有,只有这三个地区不满足“本福特”定律,是否说明在其它地区满足这个定律?也就是拜登只在三个地区作弊??

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