十月中旬,希腊债务危机愈演愈烈的时候,在一个学术交流的聚餐中,我恰巧与一位美籍希腊裔教授邻座。该教授为美国著名学府的资深学者,知识丰富,谈吐风趣。我们的话题自然而然地触及到希腊债务危机,主要是我有些疑问,他简单解答: Q: What's your opinion on Greek debt situation? A: I thought you would ask. Well, this looks to be a direct consequence of the crony social capitalism. People just spent the money, because it was there, now the debt is due. Q: There were talks about how the Olympics might be to blame. A: Not really, if you look at the debt, the vast majority of it was accumulated after 2004, after the Olympics. Q: Infrastructure? A: That’s the sad part, there really isn't much infrastructure being built after 2004, in that sense, the money on Olympics was well spent. Q: What about Prime Minister Papandreou? I recall there was a Prime Minister Papandreou before, in the 80s. A: Yes, there was one, but this one is the son of the former. Q: Oh, can he do something about it? A: I don't think so. He was dumb enough and chose to become the Prime Minister in 2009. If that's any indication, there won't be a solution coming from him. Q: Then what would be the solution? A: The Germans and French cannot let Greek go default; they hold too much Greek debt, I guess they will accept some percentage of loss, and put stringent conditions on the Greek finance. Q: Would Greek exit from the Euro zone? A: That's too high a price to pay, Greek will become a third world country if that happens. Q: So what would you do if you are the PM? A: Well, good thing that I am not. 我们都笑了。 |