苹果股票还是不是值得购买? 人的习性,似乎就是跟风。投资苹果股票也不例外。在股票价格下跌的时候,很多人惊慌,唯恐逃之不及。在股价一再创新高的时候,又觉得,不继续再创新高似乎是不在情理之中。哈哈,这不,在新高到来之后,又有人在谈论:这种时候,是不是还值得投资苹果股票?追、追、追,才会有味道! 下面这篇文章的作者做了很多用心的计算。说来似乎也有不少的道理。但是,一切的一切,你可得记住了:兵败如山倒!在股票投资这个水极深的池塘里面,也会一再的成为现实。 如果一切如同大家的预期,苹果股票应该是还有成长的空间。特别是在目前这个“买预期(谣言),而卖新闻(事实)”一档子事演进的特殊时刻。 但是,你同时也得看到: 其一,苹果的股价已经成长了很多,特别是最近。在大家都热火朝天的时候,你是不是选择冷静更优? 其二,苹果意在智能电视上打出的地盘,那个已经想了好久的如意算盘,是不是已经被三星“先声夺人”占据了先机?你去COSTCO看看那数不清的这类电视,再看看它们的销量,可能会有更好的理解。 其四,苹果新产品的推出带来的盈利成长,会不会已经被“饱和”这个关键词给压住? 人们对于科技产品的喜好,是有新鲜期的。这就是为什么,科技公司通常比较短命的原因。再者,在创新到一定程度之后,公司内部的循规蹈矩会成为习惯和个性,而这种习惯和个性又会带来对创新与冒险的恐惧。这种内部的“衰败”外加对手的追赶,未来苹果的日子,肯定没有过去的时光过得美好。 所以,当你继续投资苹果股票的时候,你还是睁着半只眼比较好一点。千万别被人忽悠,胡乱跟风。 不学不行:美国独特的捐赠文明 Is Apple a Good Stock to Buy Right Now? By DAVID WOODBURN Published: August 2, 2012 at 2:31 pm Although Apple Inc. is the largest company in the markets today in terms of market capitalization, and its shares priced similar to Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), there are indications that Apple stock might actually be a good buy for investors. Yes, we don’t think the ceiling has been hit yet. In fact, we believe thestock is actually undervalued for what Apple has done and appears to be primed to do in the future. Why in the world would we come up with this conclusion, that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock is actually cheap? Let us look at several reasons having to do with the bottom line. For example, Apple has grown more than 20 percent year-over-year, and there has been no indication of that slowing down, especially if the new iPhone 5 develops sales that matches even half of its hype. With Apple already owning 68 percent of the market for tablets (seven times that of Samsung), that saturation may lead to many “default” sales when customers can’t decide between tablets and they go with the market leader, the iPad. Also, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)’s iPhone has been running a very strong second to Samsung in smartphone sales (increasing those sales every year as well), there is very little reason to believe that Apple won’t continue at least seeing double-digit growth, if not the 20-percent trend. Based on that, if the stock were in some way to mirror the company, the stock should be growing by about 20 percent every year. Right now, Apple is on track to post $45 earnings-per-share for the year. If iPhone 5 sales are as high as we expect, that EPS number could go above $50, which would lower the price-earnings ratio to 12 from the current 13 if the stock doesn’t move significantly up in the meantime. Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has $117 billion in cash and marketable securities on its balance sheet, which really don’t factor much in the company’s bottom line. If you take that money out, the company’s P/E ratio drops to 10. While a 10-percent yield is nothing to sneeze at, Apple has had a history of doing far better than that in terms of annual growth, and there is evidence that its universe of potential marketshare might actually be expanding. Take this quote from Mark Zuckerberg of Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) during his company’s quarterly earnings conference call, when he predicted that 4 to 5 billion people will have smartphones in the next five years. He essentially said that the smartphone market will expand by six to eight times what it is right now. And if Apple’s market share doesn’t get larger and holds steady during that growth, that means the company will sell six to seven times more iPhones than it is currently. Even if Zuck is half wrong, that still means Apple grows by 300 percent in iPhone sales over where it is now. Already, Apple Inc. is the most popular stock position among hedge funds (see the 10 most popular stocks among hedge funds). And those who held Apple at the end of last year and kept it through the first quarter of 2012 made nearly 39 percent on their money. And with continued steady, rapid growth, it’s possible that more hedge funds will get positions in Apple, or those already in will increase their positions in the next fewmonths or years. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has a long track record of being a fast-growing company, has strong financials in place and has a highly recognizable brand and line of products. It isn’t very long from now that Apple will be the most recognized brand in the world – going pastCoca-Cola (NYSE:KO) – and will become a trillion-dollar company. We say, dive in, the water’s fine! 不学不行:美国独特的捐赠文明 |