為他人作嫁衣裳：貿易強國的共同命運-jingchen-萬維博客-萬維讀者網（電腦版）

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		為他人作嫁衣裳：貿易強國的共同命運	2018-05-06 21:33:56

為他人作嫁衣裳：貿易強國的共同命運

世界上貿易順差最高的四個國家是德國，日本，中國和韓國。這四個國家有一個共同的特點，它們的出生率都低於1.5。

一個國家貿易順差高，我們會覺得這個國家的人很勤奮。但是，每個人的精力都是差不多的，生產物品的精力多了，放在人身上的精力就少了。所以，這些貿易強國的出生率都很低。

從短期看，這些貿易強國，生產物品，供別人用。從長期看，這些貿易強國，人口不斷減少，騰出空間，供別人的後代用。這種行為，怎麼看也是為他人作嫁衣裳。既然如此，為什麼這些貿易強國，仍然堅持不斷地增加生產呢？這是由於資本的力量。

貿易順差高，資本的收益高。所以在資本強勢的國家，貿易順差會長期高企。而資本流動性高，資本對一個民族的長期命運，是漠不關心的。

既然長期的貿易順差對一個民族帶來巨大的傷害，為什麼我們很少聽到這種聲音呢？同樣，這是由於資本的力量。一種聲音，能否得以傳播，取決於資本的態度。

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【語言（九）】

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【科學（五）】

· Why highly educated women and

· On the concept of perfectness

· Reflection from a riddle

· On averaging denominators

· Integrating mathematical finan

· 苦難是最好的學校

· Read The need for a new public

· The earth is a gigantic batter

【語言（七）】

· 想象和相象

· 漢語和英語讀音的相似

· 雙字詞的來源

· 標緻和婊子

· Credible and Incredible

· 英語和漢語類似的構詞法

· Excite and Incite

· Forget and For Get

· Lax and relax

【雜談（三）】

· 經緯和涇渭

· Heretics are true believers

· Faith or good deeds

· 養兒還是育女？

· Should adult children stay wit

· 女兒製作的錄像

· 兒子唱的rap

· 女兒帶着女兒來看我們，寫的一段

【語言（六）】

· 腿腳和退卻

· Copulate, copy, populate

· Emergence and emergency

· I am, I love

· Tart and top, start and stop

· 同樣的世界，不同的視角

【詩詞（四）】

· On the wisdom of wisdom teeth

· Stalin Rap to Hitler and Mao

· Winter night in the north

【詩詞（三）】

· When you try

· Winter in the deep north

· 你家的月亮

· Good bye, my friends

· 當生命之火慢慢熄滅

【語言（五）】

· 興趣，利益和利息

· Over 和 Overture

· Inspire and Expire

· 哥哥的歌

· Decadence and decay

· 閥：大人物是幹什麼的？

· 奴隸的心

· 為什麼我們喜歡壓韻？

【語言（四）】

· Screw and screwed

· Sun and moon

· Norm, normal and Normans

· Bella and bellum

· Two meanings of like

· What is a theory?

· What is man?

【經濟（二）】

· Reading James Galbraith’s The

· 為他人作嫁衣裳：貿易強國的共同

· 什麼是內需不足？

· 關於持續的貿易不平衡

· A long tradition to connect th

· On persistent trade imbalance

· On green economy

· What are rights: Some reflecti

· On Risk Management

· 怎樣計算股票的融資成本和預期回

【雜談（二）】

· There is more brainwashing in

· 女兒初為人母

· Weather and climate

· 老三的一篇短文

· When defects become an advanta

· Service of necessities and ser

· 女兒的帖子

· 荷花和塘泥

【科學（四）】

· Predictions in social sciences

· 數學的現狀和未來

· Social structures: A perspecti

· 溫度和情緒（temperature and t

· Learning, memory and decision

· The Least Action Principle: It

· When an electron falls to a pr

· 為什麼魚比肉更容易煮熟？

· 一篇關於The Unity of Science a

【詩詞（二）】

· I’d rather

· 池塘里的污泥

· Over and under

· Bond and bondage

· 早點睡覺

· 在我慢慢褪色的世界裡

· 獅的低吟，詩的回聲

【語言（三）】

· 相似的單詞，不同的意思

· 小米和 millet

· 什麼是不夠

· Easter: 詞的來源

· 論所謂的正能量 (On being posit

· Terr 是土地

· Radical 的意思是什麼？

· 努力的奴隸

· 風箏：孩子離家

· 落日：致老去的人們

· 杜達爾和瑪麗亞

· Driving crazy

· 燃燒和發燒

· 滿月的冬夜

· 獻給空巢的父母

· Burning and burn out

【健康（三）】

· Mentally stimulating

· On obsessive compulsive disord

· 吃鹽和生育

· Ginger and gingerly

· Principle Based Medicine

· Why we need pain?

· 關於自閉症

· 健康的定義

· 針灸的原理

· 情感的守恆定律

【科學（三）】

· 數學及其在社會科學中的應用

· 為什麼光線弱的地方會覺得浪漫？

· 美是平均，美是不變的性質

· 顏色和溫度

· 簡潔就是美

· 棲息之地：健康的樹和瀕死的樹

· 落紅不是無情物，化作春泥更護花

· 為什麼肥沃的土地上很難找到先鋒

· 不平等，效率和系統維護成本

· 生物學的統一理論

【語言（二）】

· 我，倭，和，we

· 鷦鷯，嬌嬈，wren, 人，文

· 牡丹，Botan, Botany

· 人多則移

· 英語中的幾個象形詞

· 趣味英語:一個不引人注意的前綴

【科學(二）】

· 基因突變不是完全偶然的

· 生物學和生態學的結合

· Energy consumption and cost

· 人類的平均壽命能到一百歲嗎？

· 蝴蝶效應並不存在（兼論偏微分

· 科學與經濟學的統一

· 意識: 一個經濟學和物理學的理論

· 諾獎得主年齡的變遷

· 學科細分: 社會停滯和衰退的表徵

【健康(二）】

· On cortisol and other drugs

· 為什麼負氧離子有益健康

· 吃冰和減肥

· 實用生理學

· 為什麼曬太陽有好處?

· 為什麼練功經常用圓型姿式？

· 脈搏中包含多少信息？

· 外科手術不傷身體嗎？

· 頭痛醫腳

· 怎樣才能改善內臟的功能

【人口(二）】

· 政府的法律和自然的法律

· 出生率，平均壽命，生活水平和社

· Holmes stories: The number of

· 個體年齡和社會年齡

· 多子多福

· 人口塌陷: 真正的悲劇

· 華人的高智商和低生育率

· 走出非洲

· 生命就是競爭

· 什麼是文化

· 聰明的代價：亞當和夏娃的故事

· 為什麼大道至簡

· 人口問題文章的一個匯總

· 人口警報?

· 人口紅利和人口投資

· 多生孩子: 靠政策,還是靠自己?

· 華而不實和春華秋實

· 勸君莫惜金縷衣，勸君惜取少年時

· 政府越大,出生率越低

· 關於全民基本收入

· 六四還是六三？

· Iron and blood

· 華人參政不夠踴躍嗎？

· 誰得益於大政府？兼論美國大選

· 印一百元假鈔是犯罪，印一萬億真

· 量化寬鬆和豬肉注水

· 百年大勢和英國脫歐

· 龍圖騰的含義

· 個體的肥胖和社會的肥胖

· 在什麼年紀，做什麼事情

· 早晨出行和下午出行

· 男學生在哪裡？

· 賤和基本

· 少數的重要性

· 效用函數是什麼樣子的？

· 經濟學理論不應該建立在拓撲學基

· 誰是二十世紀最偉大的經濟學家？

· 誰是十九世紀最偉大的經濟學家？

· 非平衡態經濟學理論簡介

· 凱恩斯主義適用的環境

· 從日本的負利率談起

· 關於利率

· 生產過程各要素之間的關係

· 平衡態和非平衡態經濟學

【加拿大】

· 一個登山愛好者的歷險（附視頻

· 海達圭遊記

· 紅河谷歌詞的變遷

· 洄游的三文魚

· 碧西(BC)的風景和阿省的風景

· 中加教育比較

· 決定和 decide

· 仇的兩種讀法

· 小兒子教我讀書

· 漢語單詞的起源

· 舒服和束縛

· 姓張的人為什麼這麼多？

· 紐，妞，丑，new, 牛

· 姜太公的故事

· 語言的產生和演變

· 科學研究：缺的是錢嗎？

· 數學：應用和樂趣

· 漢字和科學研究

· 社會生物學與社會

· 有趣的化學

· 蒲公英和科學研究

· 當代沒有科學大師嗎?

· 數學,美和現實

· 現實世界：理解數學的金鑰匙

· 按摩腳底為什麼這麼重要？

· 中醫的療效（續）

· 從蛋白質的不同分解途徑看痛風的

· 中醫的療效

· 從哮喘的治療談預防

· 實用生理學

· 什麼是酸性食物？

· 肥胖和內臟功能

· 呼吸的方法

· 關於抑鬱

【科學與經濟】

· 閱讀The Unity of Science and E

· 信息和熵的等價性

· 知覺的簡單和數學的簡單

· 一流的研究: 真那麼難嗎?

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